Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 31, 2011

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $27.1500 (3.23%) ($26.8900 - $27.1800) on Tue. May. 31, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $27.1500(3.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(10%)    IGOV(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.07(-22.39%)
5 Day Moving Average   $26.29(3.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.42(2.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.94(0.78%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   17%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.82% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_31_2011	26.04	26.94	26.42	26.29	26.3	26.66	27.15(3.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	100	36	-47	2.65	49%	0.27	-69.9	1.6%	0	0.3	40	0
2	May_27_2011	25.97	27.01	26.37	26.01	26.02	26.11	26.3(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	30	7	-93	2.02	46%	0.12	-61.1	1.57%	0	-0.8	36	0
3	May_26_2011	25.94	27.13	26.41	26.03	25.89	25.94	26.09(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-0	-13	-110	3.81	46%	0.08	-52.9	1.57%	0	-1.1	34	0
4	May_25_2011	25.92	27.26	26.54	26.24	26.04	25.93	26.02(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-50	-11	-95	1.87	46%	0.08	-41.1	1.59%	0	-1.3	32	0
5	May_24_2011	25.9	27.38	26.66	26.41	26.34	25.84	25.89(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-140	-21	-99	4.05	46%	0.08	-26.5	1.59%	0	-1.7	25	0

6	May_23_2011	25.88	27.49	26.86	26.56	26.54	26.15	25.73(-2.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-52	-110	-35	-103	4.99	46%	0.08	-13.4	1.59%	0	-2.1	21	0
7	May_20_2011	25.86	27.58	27.05	26.77	26.75	26.84	26.4(-2.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-29	20	-7	-94	3.1	46%	0.12	-3	1.57%	0	-1.6	23	0
8	May_19_2011	25.83	27.64	27.16	26.84	26.8	26.93	27.15(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	30	7	-102	3.4	49%	0.12	3.7	1.54%	0	-0.7	26	0
9	May_18_2011	25.8	27.65	27.19	26.89	26.77	26.65	26.88(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-40	-7	-119	2.04	49%	0.12	8.5	1.55%	0	-1.1	24	0
10	May_17_2011	25.77	27.62	27.32	26.97	26.88	26.67	26.66(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-60	-23	-124	13.22	49%	0.12	8.2	1.55%	0	-1.3	26	0

11	May_16_2011	25.74	27.62	27.51	27.22	27.11	26.88	26.74(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-70	-19	-96	3.55	49%	0.04	11	1.55%	0	-1.1	39	0
12	May_13_2011	25.73	27.6	27.71	27.37	27.36	27.09	26.79(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-70	-16	-70	2.91	49%	0.12	15.7	1.53%	0	-1	46	0
13	May_12_2011	25.7	27.62	27.91	27.51	27.46	27.33	27.38(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-40	-13	-42	2.55	51%	0.12	21.7	1.52%	0	-0.3	53	0
14	May_11_2011	25.67	27.59	28.03	27.54	27.58	27.62	27.29(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	10	-8	-20	4.41	51%	0.12	22.2	1.53%	0	-0.4	55	0
15	May_10_2011	25.64	27.56	28.15	27.72	27.63	27.59	27.89(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-20	-8	24	3.02	53%	0.2	29.2	1.5%	0	0.4	74	0

16	May_9_2011	25.59	27.51	28.15	27.86	27.79	27.54	27.5(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-70	-22	57	2.8	53%	0.12	36.1	1.5%	0	-0	74	0
17	May_6_2011	25.56	27.48	28.16	28.11	28.09	27.66	27.47(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-110	-31	85	6.86	53%	0.16	46.7	1.49%	0	-0	60	0
18	May_5_2011	25.52	27.44	28.17	28.37	28.39	28.04	27.53(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-80	-32	116	2.66	53%	0.12	58.9	1.5%	0	0.1	59	0
19	May_4_2011	25.49	27.41	28.15	28.6	28.67	28.52	28.22(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	32	-30	-10	156	5.03	56%	0.16	70.7	1.47%	0	0.9	67	0
20	May_3_2011	25.45	27.31	27.96	28.64	28.7	28.74	28.6(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	20	7	166	2.91	56%	0.2	77.6	1.46%	0	1.4	73	0

21	May_2_2011	25.4	27.2	27.7	28.48	28.6	28.82	28.73(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	70	24	150	3.29	56%	0.16	83.5	1.47%	0	1.8	70	0
22	Apr_29_2011	25.36	27.08	27.5	28.22	28.31	28.65	28.78(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	90	30	133	3.91	58%	0.2	87.5	1.46%	0	2.1	70	0
23	Apr_28_2011	25.31	26.93	27.29	27.95	27.97	28.38	28.65(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	55	100	35	115	4.34	56%	0.2	89.9	1.47%	0	2.4	70	0
24	Apr_27_2011	25.26	26.79	27.09	27.65	27.67	27.96	28.43(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	54	80	41	92	7.24	56%	0.2	95.4	1.5%	0	2.6	68	0
25	Apr_26_2011	25.21	26.63	26.89	27.19	27.4	27.56	27.83(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	60	34	55	3.97	54%		86.7	1.48%	0	2.1	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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