Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 2, 2011

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $28.7300 (-0.17%) ($28.7000 - $29.0500) on Mon. May. 2, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $28.7300(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(11%)    IGOV(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.48(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.7(3.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.2(5.63%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   23.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.16% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(70%) Average negative next day return: -1.49%(30%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 1.56%(65%) Average negative next three day return: -1.47%(35%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 2.49%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.35%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2011	25.4	27.2	27.7	28.48	28.6	28.82	28.73(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	70	24	150	3.29	56%	0.16	83.5	1.47%	0	1.8	70	0
2	Apr_29_2011	25.36	27.08	27.5	28.22	28.31	28.65	28.78(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	90	30	133	3.91	58%	0.2	87.5	1.46%	0	2.1	70	0
3	Apr_28_2011	25.31	26.93	27.29	27.95	27.97	28.38	28.65(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	55	100	35	115	4.34	56%	0.2	89.9	1.47%	0	2.4	70	0
4	Apr_27_2011	25.26	26.79	27.09	27.65	27.67	27.96	28.43(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	54	80	41	92	7.24	56%	0.2	95.4	1.5%	0	2.6	68	0
5	Apr_26_2011	25.21	26.63	26.89	27.19	27.4	27.56	27.83(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	60	34	55	3.97	54%	0.12	86.7	1.48%	0	2.1	68	0

6	Apr_25_2011	25.18	26.5	26.78	26.8	26.98	27.38	27.43(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	120	20	23	3.34	54%	0.2	69.9	1.47%	0	1.6	63	0
7	Apr_21_2011	25.13	26.4	26.71	26.66	26.59	27.23	27.39(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	160	32	23	1.39	54%	0.16	69.2	1.46%	0	1.7	63	0
8	Apr_20_2011	25.09	26.3	26.63	26.54	26.43	26.58	27.17(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	30	28	22	2.83	54%	0.2	71.7	1.46%	0	1.4	67	0
9	Apr_19_2011	25.04	26.19	26.58	26.46	26.31	25.95	26.11(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-13	-110	-20	9	1.88	49%	0.12	78.2	1.38%	0	-0.1	59	0
10	Apr_18_2011	25.01	26.14	26.62	26.55	26.49	26.27	25.89(-3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-14	-60	-28	30	5.37	49%	0.12	84.5	1.38%	0	-0.4	63	0

11	Apr_15_2011	24.98	26.1	26.68	26.73	26.68	26.67	26.72(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-10	-4	79	5.6	53%	0.04	84.7	1.32%	0	0.8	81	0
12	Apr_14_2011	24.97	25.99	26.65	26.76	26.72	26.72	26.83(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	27	-0	2	102	17.18	53%	0.16	74.3	1.33%	0	1	82	0
13	Apr_13_2011	24.93	25.86	26.57	26.73	26.77	26.69	26.73(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	27	-20	-0	108	10.42	53%	0.12	59	1.33%	0	0.9	75	0
14	Apr_12_2011	24.9	25.69	26.48	26.74	26.73	26.71	26.59(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-10	-3	126	11.35	57%	0.12	46.9	1.33%	0	0.9	80	0
15	Apr_11_2011	24.87	25.57	26.37	26.69	26.76	26.86	26.8(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	30	11	133	10.72	57%	0.08	38.9	1.38%	0	1.2	82	0

16	Apr_8_2011	24.85	25.47	26.22	26.61	26.62	26.76	26.87(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	40	11	130	12.28	57%	0.12	34	1.39%	0	1.5	78	0
17	Apr_7_2011	24.82	25.37	26.06	26.52	26.51	26.67	26.68(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	40	17	141	11.44	57%	0.16	29.3	1.4%	0	1.5	83	0
18	Apr_6_2011	24.78	25.29	25.94	26.37	26.42	26.49	26.75(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	20	19	154	1.75	57%	0.12	20	1.4%	0	1.7	85	0
19	Apr_5_2011	24.75	25.22	25.75	26.18	26.22	26.36	26.35(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	40	14	164	3.94	53%	0.12	14.5	1.4%	0	1.4	88	0
20	Apr_4_2011	24.72	25.18	25.61	25.99	26.09	26.34	26.42(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	80	29	167	4.5	53%	0.12	9.5	1.41%	0	1.6	72	0

21	Apr_1_2011	24.69	25.14	25.47	25.76	25.78	26.07	26.38(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	80	25	151	2.12	53%	0.08	0.3	1.41%	0	1.7	61	0
22	Mar_31_2011	24.67	25.11	25.27	25.55	25.55	25.83	25.95(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	80	20	119	2.13	51%	0.08	-5.5	1.41%	0	1.2	55	0
23	Mar_30_2011	24.65	25.12	25.09	25.46	25.42	25.49	25.8(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	10	20	98	3.41	51%	0.08	-3.5	1.41%	0	0.9	55	0
24	Mar_29_2011	24.63	25.12	24.84	25.27	25.32	25.28	25.38(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10	6	37	3.9	49%	0.04	-9.1	1.4%	0	0.4	46	0
25	Mar_28_2011	24.62	25.11	24.71	25.17	25.21	25.35	25.27(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	40	3	0	2.27	49%		-13.2	1.4%	0	0.2	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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