Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $26.6800 (-0.26%) ($26.4800 - $26.7500) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $26.6800(-0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(11%)    IGOV(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.52(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.06(2.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.37(5.16%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.55% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.24%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 3.41%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -3.17%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.92%(86%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.28%(14%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2011	24.82	25.37	26.06	26.52	26.51	26.67	26.68(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	40	17	141	11.44	57%	0.16	29.3	1.4%	0	1.5	83	0
2	Apr_6_2011	24.78	25.29	25.94	26.37	26.42	26.49	26.75(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	20	19	154	1.75	57%	0.12	20	1.4%	0	1.7	85	0
3	Apr_5_2011	24.75	25.22	25.75	26.18	26.22	26.36	26.35(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	40	14	164	3.94	53%	0.12	14.5	1.4%	0	1.4	88	0
4	Apr_4_2011	24.72	25.18	25.61	25.99	26.09	26.34	26.42(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	80	29	167	4.5	53%	0.12	9.5	1.41%	0	1.6	72	0
5	Apr_1_2011	24.69	25.14	25.47	25.76	25.78	26.07	26.38(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	80	25	151	2.12	53%	0.08	0.3	1.41%	0	1.7	61	0

6	Mar_31_2011	24.67	25.11	25.27	25.55	25.55	25.83	25.95(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	80	20	119	2.13	51%	0.08	-5.5	1.41%	0	1.2	55	0
7	Mar_30_2011	24.65	25.12	25.09	25.46	25.42	25.49	25.8(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	10	20	98	3.41	51%	0.08	-3.5	1.41%	0	0.9	55	0
8	Mar_29_2011	24.63	25.12	24.84	25.27	25.32	25.28	25.38(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10	6	37	3.9	49%	0.04	-9.1	1.4%	0	0.4	46	0
9	Mar_28_2011	24.62	25.11	24.71	25.17	25.21	25.35	25.27(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	40	3	0	2.27	49%	0.04	-13.2	1.4%	0	0.2	44	0
10	Mar_25_2011	24.61	25.14	24.66	25.14	25.12	25.37	25.33(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	16	70	24	-10	5.73	49%	0	-16.3	1.4%	0	0.3	44	0

11	Mar_24_2011	24.61	25.15	24.63	24.95	25.03	25.07	25.5(2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	20	29	-39	4.06	49%	0.04	-26.5	1.4%	0	0.5	44	0
12	Mar_23_2011	24.6	25.14	24.57	24.66	24.82	24.87	24.85(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	30	18	-91	10.37	45%	0.04	-41.5	1.38%	0	-0.4	36	0
13	Mar_22_2011	24.59	25.17	24.64	24.33	24.66	25	24.92(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	140	26	-122	2.84	45%	0.04	-56.1	1.38%	0	-0.3	42	0
14	Mar_21_2011	24.58	25.21	24.71	24.16	24.32	24.78	25.09(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-15	150	26	-138	2.03	45%	0.08	-62.5	1.37%	0	-0.2	46	0
15	Mar_18_2011	24.56	25.26	24.77	24.12	24	24.33	24.38(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-36	80	6	-162	3.65	40%	0	-60.4	1.31%	0	-1.1	36	0

16	Mar_17_2011	24.56	25.35	24.92	24.28	24.08	23.86	24.08(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-90	-11	-149	5.14	40%	0.04	-55.2	1.32%	0	-1.6	39	0
17	Mar_16_2011	24.55	25.45	25.14	24.48	24.31	23.68	23.2(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-88	-200	-67	-150	6.99	32%	-0.04	-53	1.22%	0	-3.1	31	0
18	Mar_15_2011	24.56	25.59	25.41	24.97	24.7	24.3	24.06(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-74	-150	-66	-99	10.63	35%	0	-51.3	1.14%	0	-3	36	0
19	Mar_14_2011	24.56	25.69	25.58	25.32	25.19	24.95	24.88(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-32	-80	-26	-48	6.8	40%	0.04	-41	1.08%	0	-2.2	41	0
20	Mar_11_2011	24.55	25.75	25.7	25.51	25.39	25.1	25.17(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-34	-90	-34	-34	2.04	42%	0.08	-24.2	1.07%	0	-1.8	37	0

21	Mar_10_2011	24.53	25.79	25.74	25.67	25.63	25.44	25.08(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-32	-60	-34	-25	2.89	42%	0.04	-5.4	1.08%	0	-2.4	39	0
22	Mar_9_2011	24.52	25.84	25.78	25.9	25.86	25.68	25.67(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-50	-12	-2	1.81	47%	0.12	31.2	1.04%	0	-0.7	44	0
23	Mar_8_2011	24.49	25.86	25.77	25.92	25.97	25.83	25.8(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-30	-7	-4	2.25	47%	0.08	37.6	1.04%	0	-0.2	51	0
24	Mar_7_2011	24.47	25.85	25.75	25.87	25.99	26.03	25.84(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	20	-6	-15	5.08	47%	0.12	38.1	1.04%	0	-0	49	0
25	Mar_4_2011	24.44	25.83	25.79	25.91	25.95	26.11	25.95(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	50	14	4	5.15	47%		45.7	1.03%	0	0.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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