Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 7, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $24.0800 (0.04%) ($24.0800 - $24.4800) on Tue. Dec. 7, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $24.0800(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(10%)    IGOV(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.93(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.56(2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.71(1.56%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   20%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.94% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -10.26%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -12.91%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.72%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2010	22.06	23.71		23.93	24.02	24.15	24.08(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	50	25	25	1.47	62%	0.18	-22.7	1.47%	0	0.8	58	0
2	Dec_6_2010	22.02	23.72		23.62	23.78	24.08	24.07(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	110	27	1	1.55	62%	0.18	-33.7	1.5%	0	0.7	52	0
3	Dec_3_2010	21.98	23.74	23.56	23.4	23.4	23.88	24.24(1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	19	140	29	-12	1.62	62%	0.18	-37.7	1.51%	0	1	53	0
4	Dec_2_2010	21.94	23.76	23.54	23.24	23.08	23.47	23.87(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	11	100	23	-26	1.61	61%	0.14	-35.5	1.5%	0	0.2	50	0
5	Dec_1_2010	21.91	23.77	23.49	23.19	23.03	22.91	23.4(3.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-60	8	-48	2.86	62%	0.18	-31.8	1.49%	0	-0.7	43	0

6	Nov_30_2010	21.87	23.81	23.48	23.15	23.11	22.69	22.53(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-50	-130	-39	-84	3.94	56%	0.09	-31.2	1.48%	0	-2.3	33	0
7	Nov_29_2010	21.85	23.88	23.62	23.48	23.33	23.15	22.94(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-70	-33	-61	21.24	59%	0.14	-21.3	1.49%	0	-2	33	0
8	Nov_26_2010	21.82	23.93	23.7	23.74	23.63	23.52	23.45(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-50	-10	-40	0.69	63%	0.28	-6.4	1.47%	0	-1.2	35	0
9	Nov_24_2010	21.76	23.93	23.74	23.87	23.8	23.5	23.61(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-100	-8	-43	0.97	63%	0.18	3	1.45%	0	-0.9	34	0
10	Nov_23_2010	21.72	23.95	23.79	23.83	23.8	23.73	23.24(-3.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-24	-40	-14	-53	3.43	62%	0.09	-0.6	1.46%	0	-1.8	38	0

11	Nov_22_2010	21.7	23.99	23.88	23.84	23.91	24.11	24.14(-0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	70	8	-48	1.96	67%	0.23	10	1.37%	0	0.4	49	0
12	Nov_19_2010	21.65	23.98	23.9	23.77	23.76	24.09	24.27(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	6	100	21	-39	3.42	61%	0.28	8.7	1.4%	0	0.8	58	0
13	Nov_18_2010	21.59	23.96	23.92	23.67	23.69	23.71	24.11(2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	10	14	-40	1.79	61%	0.23	5.3	1.43%	0	0.4	54	0
14	Nov_17_2010	21.54	23.94	23.97	23.61	23.65	23.43	23.41(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-60	-19	-46	1.25	58%	0.23	3.3	1.39%	0	-1.5	46	0
15	Nov_16_2010	21.49	23.94	24.07	23.75	23.75	23.67	23.27(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-20	-20	-21	1.63	58%	0.14	16.8	1.4%	0	-1.7	49	0

16	Nov_15_2010	21.46	23.94	24.07	23.92	23.89	23.87	23.8(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-10	-8	6	1.46	62%	0.23	35.1	1.37%	0	-0.4	52	0
17	Nov_12_2010	21.41	23.95	24.17	24.04	23.99	23.83	23.77(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-50	-15	11	3.89	62%	0.19	56	1.37%	0	-0.5	47	0
18	Nov_11_2010	21.37	23.94	24.18	24.2	24.12	23.9	23.82(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-70	-24	24	5.69	55%	0.19	76.7	1.38%	0	-0.3	51	0
19	Nov_10_2010	21.33	23.93	24.19	24.39	24.31	24.15	24.08(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-60	-13	45	2.42	55%	0.19	95.5	1.51%	0	0.4	56	0
20	Nov_9_2010	21.29	23.89	24.14	24.39	24.51	24.33	24.13(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-40	-4	53	1.16	55%	0.19	93.5	1.51%	0	0.5	60	0

21	Nov_8_2010	21.25	23.82	24.11	24.44	24.48	24.47	24.4(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	0	1	70	2.55	55%	0.19	89.2	1.51%	0	1.1	72	0
22	Nov_5_2010	21.21	23.74	24.07	24.3	24.43	24.69	24.57(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	90	19	70	1.87	55%	0.24	86	1.5%	0	1.5	59	0
23	Nov_4_2010	21.16	23.64	24	24.16	24.22	24.49	24.78(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	90	27	65	1.68	55%	0.19	83.1	1.5%	0	2	65	0
24	Nov_3_2010	21.12	23.53	23.89	23.96	23.97	24.17	24.3(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	60	18	49	1.35	53%	0.24	83.6	1.48%	0	1.5	60	0
25	Nov_2_2010	21.07	23.45	23.81	23.81	23.87	23.96	24.17(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	30	13	39	2.11	56%		77.9	1.48%	0	1.3	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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