Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 26, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.8100 (-0.92%) ($23.6100 - $23.8200) on Tue. Oct. 26, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $23.8100(-0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(11%)    IGOV(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.81(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.62(0.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.03(3.39%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   23.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.04% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.71%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.88%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.93%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.66%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.96%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_26_2010	20.83	23.03	23.62	23.81	23.87	23.91	23.81(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	20	9	102	2.3	54%	0.24	74.7	1.5%	0	1.1	69	0
2	Oct_25_2010	20.78	22.94	23.52	23.65	23.79	23.97	24.03(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	70	13	97	4.59	54%	0.29	71.3	1.5%	0	1.5	76	0
3	Oct_22_2010	20.72	22.83	23.38	23.59	23.54	23.83	23.84(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	80	12	108	1.65	58%	0.19	76.5	1.5%	0	1.5	79	0
4	Oct_21_2010	20.68	22.74	23.27	23.52	23.48	23.62	23.77(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	40	15	108	2.97	58%	0.24	79.2	1.57%	0	1.5	69	0
5	Oct_20_2010	20.63	22.62	23.15	23.48	23.42	23.26	23.59(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-60	1	109	2.32	58%	0.19	80	1.59%	0	1.4	70	0

6	Oct_19_2010	20.59	22.52	23.05	23.4	23.44	23.34	23.01(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-20	-5	112	1.66	56%	0.15	83.2	1.57%	0	0.7	65	0
7	Oct_18_2010	20.56	22.44	22.99	23.35	23.46	23.57	23.75(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	50	18	127	0.9	60%	0.19	81.4	1.52%	0	1.9	76	0
8	Oct_15_2010	20.52	22.32	22.79	23.13	23.23	23.53	23.5(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	100	19	104	1.72	57%	0.24	79	1.55%	0	1.7	76	0
9	Oct_14_2010	20.47	22.2	22.66	22.97	23.01	23.35	23.54(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	110	29	98	0.93	57%	0.24	80.5	1.55%	0	2.1	73	0
10	Oct_13_2010	20.42	22.08	22.5	22.77	22.8	22.92	23.21(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	40	18	89	1.41	59%	0.25	85.3	1.54%	0	1.9	78	0

11	Oct_12_2010	20.37	21.97	22.38	22.65	22.66	22.92	22.76(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	0	5	79	1.43	57%	0.2	92.7	1.56%	0	1.4	67	0
12	Oct_11_2010	20.33	21.89	22.31	22.57	22.64	22.67	22.65(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	20	13	85	1.62	57%	0.15	98.1	1.56%	0	1.3	67	0
13	Oct_8_2010	20.3	21.8	22.24	22.39	22.52	22.65	22.69(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	60	11	77	0.95	57%	0.2	86.8	1.56%	0	1.5	70	0
14	Oct_7_2010	20.26	21.69	22.17	22.3	22.31	22.6	22.56(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	90	16	88	0.95	59%	0.15	80.7	1.56%	0	1.4	72	0
15	Oct_6_2010	20.23	21.58	22.04	22.18	22.21	22.39	22.6(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	60	20	81	1.18	61%	0.15	75.2	1.58%	0	1.5	68	0

16	Oct_5_2010	20.2	21.46	21.94	22.07	22.09	22.03	22.35(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-20	4	73	1.26	61%	0.1	75.7	1.59%	0	1.3	67	0
17	Oct_4_2010	20.18	21.34	21.86	22.02	22.04	22.02	21.76(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-0	-7	73	1.98	59%	0.1	82.8	1.58%	0	0.6	63	0
18	Oct_1_2010	20.16	21.28	21.82	22.05	22.07	22.16	22.21(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	30	6	92	0.85	62%	0.1	89.8	1.56%	0	1.4	74	0
19	Sep_30_2010	20.14	21.18	21.71	22.02	22	22.07	22(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	20	12	103	0.91	62%	0.1	96.2	1.57%	0	1.2	77	0
20	Sep_29_2010	20.12	21.09	21.63	21.87	21.95	21.99	22.05(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	20	10	104	1.45	57%	0.1	94.7	1.57%	0	1.4	79	0

21	Sep_28_2010	20.1	20.95	21.54	21.78	21.77	21.94	22.09(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	50	8	108	0.99	57%	0.05	85.3	1.64%	0	1.6	81	0
22	Sep_27_2010	20.09	20.81	21.43	21.67	21.69	21.92	21.91(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	80	18	121	0.96	57%	0.15	74.9	1.64%	0	1.4	81	0
23	Sep_24_2010	20.06	20.7	21.32	21.56	21.59	21.59	22.03(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	0	19	119	1.24	57%	0.15	71.9	1.63%	0	1.8	71	0
24	Sep_23_2010	20.03	20.56	21.16	21.36	21.42	21.46	21.26(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	20	-2	100	1.77	54%	0.05	60.3	1.58%	0	0.9	68	0
25	Sep_22_2010	20.02	20.46	21.08	21.35	21.37	21.58	21.61(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	70	15	112	0.75	56%		51.6	1.58%	0	1.5	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.