Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 24, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $22.0300 (3.62%) ($21.7400 - $22.0600) on Fri. Sep. 24, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $22.0300(3.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.56(2.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.32(3.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.7(6.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.67% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(71%) Average negative next day return: -1.89%(29%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 1.85%(59%) Average negative next three day return: -1.51%(41%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 2.78%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.27%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101024

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_24_2010	20.06	20.7	21.32	21.56	21.59	21.59	22.03(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	0	19	119	1.24	57%	0.15	71.9	1.63%	0	1.8	71	0
2	Sep_23_2010	20.03	20.56	21.16	21.36	21.42	21.46	21.26(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	20	-2	100	1.77	54%	0.05	60.3	1.58%	0	0.9	68	0
3	Sep_22_2010	20.02	20.46	21.08	21.35	21.37	21.58	21.61(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	70	15	112	0.75	56%	0.05	51.6	1.58%	0	1.5	77	0
4	Sep_21_2010	20.01	20.35	20.94	21.25	21.25	21.37	21.55(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	40	14	120	1.43	56%	0	42.3	1.58%	0	1.6	83	0
5	Sep_20_2010	20.01	20.25	20.79	21.16	21.14	21.15	21.35(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	0	9	126	1.08	56%	0	37.6	1.58%	0	1.5	83	0

6	Sep_17_2010	20.01	20.16	20.7	21.05	21.07	21.13	21.01(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	20	8	134	0.42	54%	0	33.6	1.57%	0	1.3	70	0
7	Sep_16_2010	20.01	20.11	20.62	20.94	21.01	21.12	21.21(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	50	18	146	1.02	54%	0	29.1	1.56%	0	1.7	76	0
8	Sep_15_2010	20.01	20.07	20.5	20.76	20.83	21.01	21.13(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	70	18	143	1.13	57%	0	23.8	1.57%	0	1.8	74	0
9	Sep_14_2010	20.01	20.04	20.33	20.57	20.66	20.9	21.08(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	48	90	23	123	1.14	57%	-0.1	8	1.62%	0	1.9	73	0
10	Sep_13_2010	20.03	19.99	20.14	20.37	20.48	20.64	20.84(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	70	15	95	1.62	57%	-0.05	-16.3	1.61%	0	1.7	65	0

11	Sep_10_2010	20.04	19.94	20.01	20.29	20.48	20.42	20.43(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	40	6	85	0.75	59%	-0.05	-38.1	1.6%	0	1.1	60	0
12	Sep_9_2010	20.05	19.94	19.9	20.25	20.3	20.32	20.33(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	10	9	66	0.95	59%	-0.1	-54.4	1.67%	0	0.9	51	0
13	Sep_8_2010	20.07	19.93	19.8	20.2	20.24	20.17	20.17(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-20	8	41	1.31	59%	-0.1	-69	1.67%	0	0.5	43	0
14	Sep_7_2010	20.09	19.99	19.72	20.03	20.19	20.28	20.06(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	60	13	6	0.8	59%	-0.2	-63.5	1.67%	0	0.1	41	0
15	Sep_3_2010	20.13	20.07	19.67	19.86	19.99	20.32	20.48(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	140	21	-17	0.76	56%	-0.1	-52.9	1.74%	0	0.5	52	0

16	Sep_2_2010	20.15	20.12	19.59	19.69	19.7	20.09	20.23(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	140	27	-38	0.89	58%	-0.15	-50.1	1.73%	0	0.1	50	0
17	Sep_1_2010	20.18	20.18	19.56	19.5	19.53	19.66	20.08(3.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	50	21	-62	1.79	58%	-0.1	-48.8	1.75%	0	-0.1	45	0
18	Aug_31_2010	20.2	20.25	19.59	19.35	19.38	19.32	19.31(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-20	-3	-89	1.06	54%	-0.15	-47.3	1.68%	0	-1	30	0
19	Aug_30_2010	20.23	20.36	19.71	19.36	19.38	19.4	19.21(-2.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-31	10	-6	-104	0.91	54%	-0.15	-45.3	1.7%	0	-1.3	20	0
20	Aug_27_2010	20.26	20.47	19.82	19.44	19.36	19.43	19.62(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	10	1	-120	1.72	62%	-0.15	-42.2	1.68%	0	-1	20	0

21	Aug_26_2010	20.29	20.53	19.87	19.46	19.41	19.31	19.28(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-42	-40	-10	-137	2.1	61%	-0.1	-42.6	1.82%	0	-1.5	14	0
22	Aug_25_2010	20.31	20.61	19.97	19.63	19.5	19.28	19.33(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-55	-100	-24	-148	1.22	61%	-0.15	-38.8	1.83%	0	-1.7	15	0
23	Aug_24_2010	20.34	20.69	20.09	19.88	19.77	19.51	19.36(-1.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-53	-110	-23	-144	1.29	58%	-0.15	-26.4	1.84%	0	-1.8	18	0
24	Aug_23_2010	20.37	20.77	20.3	20.12	20.08	19.71	19.63(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-44	-130	-18	-122	1.53	58%	-0.05	-13.4	1.86%	0	-1.8	22	0
25	Aug_20_2010	20.38	20.84	20.5	20.24	20.29	20.02	19.72(-2.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-41	-90	-18	-109	2.09	55%		-4.6	1.86%	0	-1.9	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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