Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $22.1100 (-2.08%) ($21.9300 - $22.4600) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $22.1100(-2.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(81%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.41(-1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.25(-0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.95(0.73%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.52%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.56%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.58%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.85%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.53%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.29%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2010	21.63	21.95	22.25	22.41	22.4	22.36	22.11(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10	-8	53	1.14	46%	0	51.3	1.33%	0	0.4	63	0
2	Apr_15_2010	21.63	21.92	22.26	22.42	22.43	22.53	22.58(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	30	15	82	3.45	45%	0	54.7	1.32%	0	1.6	78	0
3	Apr_14_2010	21.63	21.88	22.19	22.28	22.32	22.44	22.63(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	34	40	18	80	1.42	45%	-0.05	55.1	1.35%	0	1.9	81	0
4	Apr_13_2010	21.64	21.83	22.1	22.14	22.11	22.33	22.37(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	70	10	68	0.68	45%	0	58.8	1.34%	0	1.5	68	0
5	Apr_12_2010	21.64	21.78	22.05	22.09	22.01	22.21	22.36(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	50	15	75	0.72	43%	0	60.9	1.34%	0	1.7	70	0

6	Apr_9_2010	21.64	21.73	21.97	22.07	21.92	21.89	22.17(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-30	1	72	1.06	43%	-0.05	72	1.36%	0	1.4	68	0
7	Apr_8_2010	21.65	21.69	21.89	22.07	21.97	21.81	21.87(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-70	-8	67	1.51	41%	-0.05	87	1.36%	0	0.6	56	0
8	Apr_7_2010	21.66	21.67	21.83	22.08	22.09	21.96	21.91(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-40	-4	59	1.32	41%	-0.05	90.9	1.36%	0	0.8	52	0
9	Apr_6_2010	21.67	21.62	21.79	22.05	22.07	22.13	22.13(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	20	1	56	2.17	41%	-0.05	89.5	1.36%	0	1.5	59	0
10	Apr_5_2010	21.68	21.57	21.72	22	22.02	22.22	22.26(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	70	20	58	1.72	41%	-0.05	96.1	1.36%	0	2.1	67	0

11	Apr_1_2010	21.69	21.51	21.62	21.86	21.9	22.01	22.23(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	40	22	41	1.05	44%	0	100.7	1.37%	0	2.2	61	0
12	Mar_31_2010	21.69	21.44	21.55	21.68	21.75	21.82	21.87(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	30	12	20	1.71	42%	-0.05	104.1	1.37%	0	1.4	59	0
13	Mar_30_2010	21.7	21.39	21.54	21.55	21.65	21.8	21.78(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	60	12	14	0.61	42%	0	99.4	1.37%	0	1.2	60	0
14	Mar_29_2010	21.7	21.33	21.52	21.49	21.49	21.68	21.84(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	60	15	20	0.49	42%	0	90.4	1.37%	0	1.3	66	0
15	Mar_26_2010	21.7	21.26	21.52	21.4	21.4	21.5	21.59(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	30	13	16	1.52	42%	-0.05	72.5	1.36%	0	0.7	62	0

16	Mar_25_2010	21.71	21.18	21.47	21.35	21.3	21.3	21.34(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10	-3	12	1.24	42%	0	58.5	1.36%	0	0.3	57	0
17	Mar_24_2010	21.71	21.12	21.48	21.4	21.29	21.29	21.19(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-20	-11	27	2.12	42%	0.05	53.5	1.36%	0	0.1	62	0
18	Mar_23_2010	21.7	21.07	21.49	21.52	21.41	21.3	21.48(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-50	-4	53	0.65	42%	0	53.9	1.36%	0	0.7	67	0
19	Mar_22_2010	21.7	20.99	21.45	21.56	21.5	21.29	21.39(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-80	-10	64	0.42	42%	0	53.4	1.36%	0	0.7	69	0
20	Mar_19_2010	21.7	20.94	21.42	21.55	21.6	21.51	21.35(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-20	-10	80	0.45	42%	0	57.5	1.35%	0	0.7	74	0

21	Mar_18_2010	21.7	20.9	21.4	21.59	21.59	21.71	21.6(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	40	3	112	0.44	42%	0	63.1	1.36%	0	1.2	83	0
22	Mar_17_2010	21.7	20.83	21.32	21.56	21.57	21.69	21.78(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	40	17	133	1.14	39%	0	66.5	1.36%	0	1.6	88	0
23	Mar_16_2010	21.7	20.75	21.23	21.46	21.46	21.48	21.67(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	10	11	134	0.48	39%	-0.05	68.1	1.4%	0	1.7	85	0
24	Mar_15_2010	21.71	20.68	21.12	21.33	21.38	21.46	21.37(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	30	7	134	0.41	36%	-0.09	72.9	1.4%	0	1.4	83	0
25	Mar_12_2010	21.73	20.6	21.02	21.27	21.28	21.45	21.55(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	60	14	132	0.35	36%		69.4	1.39%	0	1.8	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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