Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 26, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $21.5900 (1.17%) ($21.4600 - $21.6800) on Fri. Mar. 26, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $21.5900(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.4(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.47(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.26(1.55%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.07% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.29%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.28%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.01%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.66%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.84%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.51%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100426

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_26_2010	21.7	21.26		21.4	21.4	21.5	21.59(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	30	13	16	1.52	42%	-0.05	72.5	1.36%	0	0.7	62	NAN
2	Mar_25_2010	21.71	21.18	21.47	21.35	21.3	21.3	21.34(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10	-3	12	1.24	42%	0	58.5	1.36%	0	0.3	57	NAN
3	Mar_24_2010	21.71	21.12	21.48	21.4	21.29	21.29	21.19(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-20	-11	27	2.12	42%	0.05	53.5	1.36%	0	0.1	62	NAN
4	Mar_23_2010	21.7	21.07	21.49	21.52	21.41	21.3	21.48(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-50	-4	53	0.65	42%	0	53.9	1.36%	0	0.7	67	NAN
5	Mar_22_2010	21.7	20.99	21.45	21.56	21.5	21.29	21.39(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-80	-10	64	0.42	42%	0	53.4	1.36%	0	0.7	69	NAN

6	Mar_19_2010	21.7	20.94	21.42	21.55	21.6	21.51	21.35(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-20	-10	80	0.45	42%	0	57.5	1.35%	0	0.7	74	NAN
7	Mar_18_2010	21.7	20.9	21.4	21.59	21.59	21.71	21.6(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	40	3	112	0.44	42%	0	63.1	1.36%	0	1.2	83	NAN
8	Mar_17_2010	21.7	20.83	21.32	21.56	21.57	21.69	21.78(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	40	17	133	1.14	39%	0	66.5	1.36%	0	1.6	88	NAN
9	Mar_16_2010	21.7	20.75	21.23	21.46	21.46	21.48	21.67(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	10	11	134	0.48	39%	-0.05	68.1	1.4%	0	1.7	85	NAN
10	Mar_15_2010	21.71	20.68	21.12	21.33	21.38	21.46	21.37(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	30	7	134	0.41	36%	-0.09	72.9	1.4%	0	1.4	83	NAN

11	Mar_12_2010	21.73	20.6	21.02	21.27	21.28	21.45	21.55(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	60	14	132	0.35	36%	-0.09	69.4	1.39%	0	1.8	72	NAN
12	Mar_11_2010	21.75	20.52	20.88	21.18	21.17	21.29	21.42(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	40	17	119	1.01	36%	-0.05	70.9	1.4%	0	1.9	70	NAN
13	Mar_10_2010	21.76	20.45	20.73	21.05	21.09	21.11	21.28(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	10	10	97	0.52	36%	-0.09	61.9	1.4%	0	1.9	70	NAN
14	Mar_9_2010	21.78	20.39	20.6	20.97	20.99	21.05	21.03(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	20	5	81	1.76	36%	-0.14	52.6	1.39%	0	1.6	67	NAN
15	Mar_8_2010	21.81	20.32	20.5	20.89	20.96	21.07	21.06(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	50	18	72	1.4	34%	-0.09	33.2	1.39%	0	1.8	66	NAN

16	Mar_5_2010	21.83	20.25	20.43	20.74	20.83	20.93	21.11(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	33	50	21	68	1.49	34%	-0.09	17.1	1.41%	0	2.2	76	NAN
17	Mar_4_2010	21.85	20.19	20.34	20.53	20.64	20.85	20.79(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	90	21	51	1.61	31%	-0.14	-5.5	1.41%	0	1.8	65	NAN
18	Mar_3_2010	21.88	20.19	20.29	20.35	20.43	20.74	20.84(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	31	120	28	39	2.13	31%	-0.09	-21.4	1.41%	0	1.9	65	NAN
19	Mar_2_2010	21.9	20.19	20.23	20.19	20.15	20.44	20.63(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	90	24	22	0.78	31%	-0.09	-33.1	1.41%	0	1.3	60	NAN
20	Mar_1_2010	21.92	20.19	20.2	20.06	20.01	20.12	20.32(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	30	9	17	1.94	32%	-0.09	-48.3	1.39%	0	0.4	67	NAN

21	Feb_26_2010	21.94	20.18	20.2	20.07	19.96	19.87	20.05(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-50	-8	13	2.69	30%	-0.14	-53.9	1.44%	0	-0.4	59	NAN
22	Feb_25_2010	21.97	20.21	20.14	20.14	20.08	19.9	19.93(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-70	-13	19	0.69	30%	-0.09	-56.3	1.45%	0	-0.8	50	NAN
23	Feb_24_2010	21.99	20.26	20.16	20.22	20.21	20.05	20.01(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-60	-12	14	1.83	30%	-0.09	-57.9	1.46%	0	-0.6	37	NAN
24	Feb_23_2010	22.01	20.3	20.17	20.27	20.29	20.26	19.98(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-10	-10	5	0.9	34%	-0.09	-68.1	1.46%	0	-0.8	35	NAN
25	Feb_22_2010	22.03	20.36	20.14	20.34	20.35	20.38	20.39(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	10	12	1	0.62	35%		-73.3	1.48%	0	0.1	45	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.