Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $21.4200 (0.66%) ($21.2200 - $21.4300) on Thu. Mar. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $21.4200(0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.18(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.88(2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.52(4.39%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.34% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 0.78%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.53%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 1.56%(22%) Average negative next three day return: -1.09%(78%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 1.52%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.94%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2010	21.75	20.52	20.88	21.18	21.17	21.29	21.42(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	40	17	119	1.01	36%	-0.05	70.9	1.4%	0	1.9	70	0
2	Mar_10_2010	21.76	20.45	20.73	21.05	21.09	21.11	21.28(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	10	10	97	0.52	36%	-0.09	61.9	1.4%	0	1.9	70	0
3	Mar_9_2010	21.78	20.39	20.6	20.97	20.99	21.05	21.03(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	20	5	81	1.76	36%	-0.14	52.6	1.39%	0	1.6	67	0
4	Mar_8_2010	21.81	20.32	20.5	20.89	20.96	21.07	21.06(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	50	18	72	1.4	34%	-0.09	33.2	1.39%	0	1.8	66	0
5	Mar_5_2010	21.83	20.25	20.43	20.74	20.83	20.93	21.11(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	33	50	21	68	1.49	34%	-0.09	17.1	1.41%	0	2.2	76	0

6	Mar_4_2010	21.85	20.19	20.34	20.53	20.64	20.85	20.79(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	90	21	51	1.61	31%	-0.14	-5.5	1.41%	0	1.8	65	0
7	Mar_3_2010	21.88	20.19	20.29	20.35	20.43	20.74	20.84(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	31	120	28	39	2.13	31%	-0.09	-21.4	1.41%	0	1.9	65	0
8	Mar_2_2010	21.9	20.19	20.23	20.19	20.15	20.44	20.63(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	90	24	22	0.78	31%	-0.09	-33.1	1.41%	0	1.3	60	0
9	Mar_1_2010	21.92	20.19	20.2	20.06	20.01	20.12	20.32(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	30	9	17	1.94	32%	-0.09	-48.3	1.39%	0	0.4	67	0
10	Feb_26_2010	21.94	20.18	20.2	20.07	19.96	19.87	20.05(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-50	-8	13	2.69	30%	-0.14	-53.9	1.44%	0	-0.4	59	0

11	Feb_25_2010	21.97	20.21	20.14	20.14	20.08	19.9	19.93(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-70	-13	19	0.69	30%	-0.09	-56.3	1.45%	0	-0.8	50	0
12	Feb_24_2010	21.99	20.26	20.16	20.22	20.21	20.05	20.01(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-60	-12	14	1.83	30%	-0.09	-57.9	1.46%	0	-0.6	37	0
13	Feb_23_2010	22.01	20.3	20.17	20.27	20.29	20.26	19.98(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-10	-10	5	0.9	34%	-0.09	-68.1	1.46%	0	-0.8	35	0
14	Feb_22_2010	22.03	20.36	20.14	20.34	20.35	20.38	20.39(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	10	12	1	0.62	35%	-0.05	-73.3	1.48%	0	0.1	45	0
15	Feb_19_2010	22.04	20.38	20.07	20.22	20.27	20.32	20.38(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	20	8	-26	0.56	34%	-0.05	-99.6	1.48%	0	0	50	0

16	Feb_18_2010	22.05	20.42	20.03	20.15	20.11	20.33	20.33(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	70	10	-44	0.53	34%	-0.09	-110.6	1.5%	0	-0.2	47	0
17	Feb_17_2010	22.07	20.49	20.07	20.09	20	20.22	20.29(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	60	14	-52	1.81	34%	-0.09	-103.5	1.5%	0	-0.3	41	0
18	Feb_16_2010	22.09	20.59	20.13	20.06	19.92	19.9	20.33(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-30	15	-56	1.24	37%	-0.05	-88	1.5%	0	-0.4	41	0
19	Feb_12_2010	22.1	20.69	20.15	19.9	19.9	19.78	19.77(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-40	-4	-89	1.39	33%	-0.09	-86	1.49%	0	-1.1	33	0
20	Feb_11_2010	22.12	20.85	20.21	19.89	19.89	19.94	20.03(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	20	-1	-100	2.93	33%	-0.14	-77.1	1.49%	0	-0.9	39	0

21	Feb_10_2010	22.15	20.99	20.27	19.88	19.84	20.02	20.05(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	60	-5	-115	2.06	33%	-0.09	-71.9	1.5%	0	-0.9	35	0
22	Feb_9_2010	22.17	21.12	20.36	20.04	19.88	19.83	20.12(3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-40	-10	-118	1.16	39%	-0.09	-66.2	1.5%	0	-1	30	0
23	Feb_8_2010	22.19	21.27	20.44	20.22	20.1	19.65	19.53(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-56	-170	-30	-133	0.74	35%	-0.14	-58.6	1.54%	0	-1.6	18	0
24	Feb_5_2010	22.22	21.43	20.6	20.45	20.43	19.94	19.7(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-58	-170	-33	-134	3.81	37%	-0.13	-54.1	1.54%	0	-1.6	22	0
25	Feb_4_2010	22.25	21.59	20.73	20.58	20.68	20.55	20(-4.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-53	-30	-20	-150	1.57	37%		-52.8	1.55%	0	-1.6	20	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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