Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $20.3300 (2.83%) ($19.8500 - $20.3400) on Tue. Feb. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $20.3300(2.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.26(-34.78%)
Resistance Level   $20.59
5 Day Moving Average   $20.06(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.13(0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.59(-1.26%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.59% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2010	22.09	20.59	20.13	20.06	19.92	19.9	20.33(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-30	15	-56	1.24	37%	-0.05	-88	1.5%	0	-0.4	41	0
2	Feb_12_2010	22.1	20.69	20.15	19.9	19.9	19.78	19.77(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-40	-4	-89	1.39	33%	-0.09	-86	1.49%	0	-1.1	33	0
3	Feb_11_2010	22.12	20.85	20.21	19.89	19.89	19.94	20.03(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	20	-1	-100	2.93	33%	-0.14	-77.1	1.49%	0	-0.9	39	0
4	Feb_10_2010	22.15	20.99	20.27	19.88	19.84	20.02	20.05(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	60	-5	-115	2.06	33%	-0.09	-71.9	1.5%	0	-0.9	35	0
5	Feb_9_2010	22.17	21.12	20.36	20.04	19.88	19.83	20.12(3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-40	-10	-118	1.16	39%	-0.09	-66.2	1.5%	0	-1	30	0

6	Feb_8_2010	22.19	21.27	20.44	20.22	20.1	19.65	19.53(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-56	-170	-30	-133	0.74	35%	-0.14	-58.6	1.54%	0	-1.6	18	0
7	Feb_5_2010	22.22	21.43	20.6	20.45	20.43	19.94	19.7(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-58	-170	-33	-134	3.81	37%	-0.13	-54.1	1.54%	0	-1.6	22	0
8	Feb_4_2010	22.25	21.59	20.73	20.58	20.68	20.55	20(-4.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-53	-30	-20	-150	1.57	37%	-0.09	-52.8	1.55%	0	-1.6	20	0
9	Feb_3_2010	22.27	21.74	20.86	20.69	20.75	20.93	20.85(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	70	3	-166	0.93	41%	-0.09	-51.7	1.48%	0	-0.9	24	0
10	Feb_2_2010	22.29	21.84	20.95	20.69	20.71	20.81	21(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-39	30	8	-178	5.76	41%	-0.04	-52.3	1.48%	0	-0.9	29	0

11	Feb_1_2010	22.3	21.93	21.1	20.72	20.7	20.58	20.7(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-55	-40	-7	-197	0.85	41%	-0.04	-51.5	1.47%	0	-1.3	21	0
12	Jan_29_2010	22.31	22.02	21.26	20.8	20.78	20.6	20.34(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-59	-60	-16	-189	1.16	39%	-0.04	-52	1.57%	0	-1.8	23	0
13	Jan_28_2010	22.32	22.14	21.52	20.9	20.95	20.82	20.58(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-40	-14	-171	0.81	37%	-0.04	-53.4	1.63%	0	-1.8	25	0
14	Jan_27_2010	22.33	22.26	21.75	21.03	21.03	20.97	20.97(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-20	-17	-159	1.33	38%	-0.04	-52.6	1.67%	0	-1.7	26	0
15	Jan_26_2010	22.34	22.36	21.93	21.22	21.19	21.08	21.01(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-40	-23	-146	3.55	36%	-0.04	-45.7	1.68%	0	-1.8	29	0

16	Jan_25_2010	22.35	22.45	22.15	21.54	21.44	21.09	21.08(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-49	-130	-26	-116	1.08	36%	0.04	-33.3	1.73%	0	-2.1	29	0
17	Jan_22_2010	22.34	22.53	22.33	21.81	21.77	21.3	20.86(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-57	-160	-43	-97	1.21	36%	0	-25.6	1.72%	0	-2.8	34	0
18	Jan_21_2010	22.34	22.62	22.53	22.23	22.14	21.79	21.25(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-42	-120	-37	-58	1.33	37%	0.04	-6.8	1.71%	0	-3.2	36	0
19	Jan_20_2010	22.33	22.67	22.71	22.57	22.47	22.24	21.92(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-20	-80	-20	-21	1.06	39%	0.09	21	1.67%	0	-2.8	40	0
20	Jan_19_2010	22.31	22.69	22.81	22.74	22.69	22.48	22.59(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-70	-14	-4	1.65	44%	0.13	50	1.63%	0	-0.5	47	0

21	Jan_15_2010	22.28	22.67	22.84	22.85	22.76	22.7	22.44(-2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-8	-30	-13	9	1.87	42%	0.04	48.7	1.65%	0	-0.9	47	0
22	Jan_14_2010	22.27	22.68	22.85	22.93	22.93	22.9	22.97(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10	5	22	0.45	48%	0.09	59.4	1.63%	0	1	59	0
23	Jan_13_2010	22.25	22.64	22.81	22.89	22.9	22.82	22.94(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-20	-3	17	0.75	48%	0.09	59.4	1.66%	0	1	61	0
24	Jan_12_2010	22.23	22.62	22.81	22.88	22.87	22.95	22.76(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	20	-2	26	1.17	48%	0.09	57	1.66%	0	0.5	62	0
25	Jan_11_2010	22.21	22.59	22.8	22.89	22.9	22.99	23.16(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	30	10	42	0.58	49%		50.8	1.65%	0	2	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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