Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 4, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $20.0000 (-4.08%) ($19.9400 - $20.4900) on Thu. Feb. 4, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $20.0000(-4.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(81%)    EEM(78%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $11.76(-41.2%)
Resistance Level   $21.59
5 Day Moving Average   $20.58(-2.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.73(-3.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.59(-7.36%)
To recent high   -13.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 4.72% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.67%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.12%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 2.08%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -4.79%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 1.26%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.58%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100304

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2010	22.25	21.59	20.73	20.58	20.68	20.55	20(-4.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-53	-30	-20	-150	1.57	37%	-0.09	-52.8	1.55%	0	-1.6	20	NAN
2	Feb_3_2010	22.27	21.74	20.86	20.69	20.75	20.93	20.85(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	70	3	-166	0.93	41%	-0.09	-51.7	1.48%	0	-0.9	24	NAN
3	Feb_2_2010	22.29	21.84	20.95	20.69	20.71	20.81	21(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-39	30	8	-178	5.76	41%	-0.04	-52.3	1.48%	0	-0.9	29	NAN
4	Feb_1_2010	22.3	21.93	21.1	20.72	20.7	20.58	20.7(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-55	-40	-7	-197	0.85	41%	-0.04	-51.5	1.47%	0	-1.3	21	NAN
5	Jan_29_2010	22.31	22.02	21.26	20.8	20.78	20.6	20.34(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-59	-60	-16	-189	1.16	39%	-0.04	-52	1.57%	0	-1.8	23	NAN

6	Jan_28_2010	22.32	22.14	21.52	20.9	20.95	20.82	20.58(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-40	-14	-171	0.81	37%	-0.04	-53.4	1.63%	0	-1.8	25	NAN
7	Jan_27_2010	22.33	22.26	21.75	21.03	21.03	20.97	20.97(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-20	-17	-159	1.33	38%	-0.04	-52.6	1.67%	0	-1.7	26	NAN
8	Jan_26_2010	22.34	22.36	21.93	21.22	21.19	21.08	21.01(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-40	-23	-146	3.55	36%	-0.04	-45.7	1.68%	0	-1.8	29	NAN
9	Jan_25_2010	22.35	22.45	22.15	21.54	21.44	21.09	21.08(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-49	-130	-26	-116	1.08	36%	0.04	-33.3	1.73%	0	-2.1	29	NAN
10	Jan_22_2010	22.34	22.53	22.33	21.81	21.77	21.3	20.86(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-57	-160	-43	-97	1.21	36%	0	-25.6	1.72%	0	-2.8	34	NAN

11	Jan_21_2010	22.34	22.62	22.53	22.23	22.14	21.79	21.25(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-42	-120	-37	-58	1.33	37%	0.04	-6.8	1.71%	0	-3.2	36	NAN
12	Jan_20_2010	22.33	22.67	22.71	22.57	22.47	22.24	21.92(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-20	-80	-20	-21	1.06	39%	0.09	21	1.67%	0	-2.8	40	NAN
13	Jan_19_2010	22.31	22.69	22.81	22.74	22.69	22.48	22.59(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-70	-14	-4	1.65	44%	0.13	50	1.63%	0	-0.5	47	NAN
14	Jan_15_2010	22.28	22.67	22.84	22.85	22.76	22.7	22.44(-2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-8	-30	-13	9	1.87	42%	0.04	48.7	1.65%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
15	Jan_14_2010	22.27	22.68	22.85	22.93	22.93	22.9	22.97(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10	5	22	0.45	48%	0.09	59.4	1.63%	0	1	59	NAN

16	Jan_13_2010	22.25	22.64	22.81	22.89	22.9	22.82	22.94(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-20	-3	17	0.75	48%	0.09	59.4	1.66%	0	1	61	NAN
17	Jan_12_2010	22.23	22.62	22.81	22.88	22.87	22.95	22.76(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	20	-2	26	1.17	48%	0.09	57	1.66%	0	0.5	62	NAN
18	Jan_11_2010	22.21	22.59	22.8	22.89	22.9	22.99	23.16(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	30	10	42	0.58	49%	0.14	50.8	1.65%	0	2	72	NAN
19	Jan_8_2010	22.18	22.54	22.75	22.84	22.84	22.79	22.8(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-20	3	45	0.52	51%	0.09	41.7	1.64%	0	1	71	NAN
20	Jan_7_2010	22.16	22.51	22.73	22.77	22.86	22.82	22.77(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-0	1	38	0.5	51%	0.14	20	1.65%	0	1	53	NAN

21	Jan_6_2010	22.13	22.47	22.7	22.72	22.82	22.89	22.93(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	30	3	38	0.49	53%	0.18	0.8	1.65%	0	1.6	62	NAN
22	Jan_5_2010	22.09	22.46	22.63	22.69	22.73	22.91	22.79(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	60	4	33	4.53	53%	0.14	0	1.67%	0	1.2	55	NAN
23	Jan_4_2010	22.06	22.45	22.57	22.7	22.72	22.75	22.9(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	10	9	35	0.72	53%	0.18	5.2	1.68%	0	1.7	61	NAN
24	Dec_31_2009	22.02	22.43	22.48	22.66	22.68	22.56	22.44(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-30	-6	25	1.21	48%	0.14	-8.1	1.66%	0	0	56	NAN
25	Dec_30_2009	21.99	22.45	22.5	22.69	22.71	22.69	22.55(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-0	-2	35	0.83	48%		-4.2	1.72%	0	0.4	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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