Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 22, 2010

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $20.8600 (-1.84%) ($20.7800 - $21.3400) on Fri. Jan. 22, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $20.8600(-1.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(81%)    EEM(79%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.98(-18.6%)
Resistance Level   $22.53
5 Day Moving Average   $21.81(-4.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.33(-6.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.53(-7.41%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.62% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.83%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.03%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.88%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.68%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.71%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2010	22.34	22.53	22.33	21.81	21.77	21.3	20.86(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-57	-160	-43	-97	1.21	36%	0	-25.6	1.72%	0	-2.8	34	NAN
2	Jan_21_2010	22.34	22.62	22.53	22.23	22.14	21.79	21.25(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-42	-120	-37	-58	1.33	37%	0.04	-6.8	1.71%	0	-3.2	36	NAN
3	Jan_20_2010	22.33	22.67	22.71	22.57	22.47	22.24	21.92(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-20	-80	-20	-21	1.06	39%	0.09	21	1.67%	0	-2.8	40	NAN
4	Jan_19_2010	22.31	22.69	22.81	22.74	22.69	22.48	22.59(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-70	-14	-4	1.65	44%	0.13	50	1.63%	0	-0.5	47	NAN
5	Jan_15_2010	22.28	22.67	22.84	22.85	22.76	22.7	22.44(-2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-8	-30	-13	9	1.87	42%	0.04	48.7	1.65%	0	-0.9	47	NAN

6	Jan_14_2010	22.27	22.68	22.85	22.93	22.93	22.9	22.97(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10	5	22	0.45	48%	0.09	59.4	1.63%	0	1	59	NAN
7	Jan_13_2010	22.25	22.64	22.81	22.89	22.9	22.82	22.94(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-20	-3	17	0.75	48%	0.09	59.4	1.66%	0	1	61	NAN
8	Jan_12_2010	22.23	22.62	22.81	22.88	22.87	22.95	22.76(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	20	-2	26	1.17	48%	0.09	57	1.66%	0	0.5	62	NAN
9	Jan_11_2010	22.21	22.59	22.8	22.89	22.9	22.99	23.16(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	30	10	42	0.58	49%	0.14	50.8	1.65%	0	2	72	NAN
10	Jan_8_2010	22.18	22.54	22.75	22.84	22.84	22.79	22.8(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-20	3	45	0.52	51%	0.09	41.7	1.64%	0	1	71	NAN

11	Jan_7_2010	22.16	22.51	22.73	22.77	22.86	22.82	22.77(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-0	1	38	0.5	51%	0.14	20	1.65%	0	1	53	NAN
12	Jan_6_2010	22.13	22.47	22.7	22.72	22.82	22.89	22.93(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	30	3	38	0.49	53%	0.18	0.8	1.65%	0	1.6	62	NAN
13	Jan_5_2010	22.09	22.46	22.63	22.69	22.73	22.91	22.79(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	60	4	33	4.53	53%	0.14	0	1.67%	0	1.2	55	NAN
14	Jan_4_2010	22.06	22.45	22.57	22.7	22.72	22.75	22.9(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	10	9	35	0.72	53%	0.18	5.2	1.68%	0	1.7	61	NAN
15	Dec_31_2009	22.02	22.43	22.48	22.66	22.68	22.56	22.44(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-30	-6	25	1.21	48%	0.14	-8.1	1.66%	0	0	56	NAN

16	Dec_30_2009	21.99	22.45	22.5	22.69	22.71	22.69	22.55(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-0	-2	35	0.83	48%	0.09	-4.2	1.72%	0	0.4	59	NAN
17	Dec_29_2009	21.97	22.47	22.47	22.66	22.7	22.8	22.79(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	40	10	41	0.47	48%	0.14	-5.2	1.72%	0	1.1	65	NAN
18	Dec_28_2009	21.94	22.46	22.43	22.54	22.59	22.73	22.82(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	50	13	30	0.28	50%	0.18	-14.7	1.72%	0	1.2	51	NAN
19	Dec_24_2009	21.9	22.43	22.37	22.41	22.47	22.6	22.71(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	50	14	13	0.16	48%	0.09	-30.4	1.72%	0	1	48	NAN
20	Dec_23_2009	21.88	22.45	22.31	22.27	22.34	22.46	22.56(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	50	5	-9	0.45	48%	0.09	-38.4	1.74%	0	0.4	47	NAN

21	Dec_22_2009	21.86	22.47	22.27	22.28	22.24	22.34	22.4(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	30	4	-20	0.38	48%	0.05	-35.4	1.74%	0	-0.2	39	NAN
22	Dec_21_2009	21.85	22.49	22.23	22.26	22.29	22.22	22.22(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-20	0	-37	0.71	48%	0.14	-38.4	1.75%	0	-0.8	35	NAN
23	Dec_18_2009	21.82	22.5	22.27	22.3	22.28	22.15	22.17(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-40	-9	-36	0.35	48%	0.09	-37.4	1.75%	0	-1	46	NAN
24	Dec_17_2009	21.8	22.52	22.32	22.32	22.35	22.37	22.02(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	10	-4	-30	0.66	48%	0.09	-33.1	1.75%	0	-1.6	45	NAN
25	Dec_16_2009	21.78	22.57	22.38	22.35	22.39	22.42	22.61(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	10	9	-30	0.83	52%		-25.4	1.72%	0	0.1	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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