Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 14, 2009

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.3200 (2.64%) ($23.1100 - $23.3400) on Wed. Oct. 14, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $23.3200(2.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(81%)    EEM(79%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.75(2.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.27(4.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.22(4.95%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   31.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.07% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.66%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.56%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 2.1%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -0.9%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.46%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.84%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2009	20.09	22.22	22.27	22.75	22.79	22.97	23.32(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	39	60	25	81	0.53	70%	0.2	44.4	1.53%	0	2.4	69	NAN
2	Oct_13_2009	20.05	22.17	22.14	22.52	22.59	22.74	22.72(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	60	14	54	0.59	71%	0.15	46.6	1.51%	0	1.4	55	NAN
3	Oct_12_2009	20.02	22.13	22.08	22.39	22.45	22.62	22.74(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	60	22	40	0.81	71%	0.2	50.3	1.55%	0	1.6	51	NAN
4	Oct_9_2009	19.98	22.08	22.02	22.16	22.27	22.45	22.47(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	70	24	19	0.8	71%	0.2	50.3	1.56%	0	1.1	53	NAN
5	Oct_8_2009	19.94	22.05	21.94	21.92	22.02	22.29	22.5(1.58%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.7	15	100	25	-14	1.87	71%	0.2	54.5	1.57%	0	1.3	49	NAN

6	Oct_7_2009	19.9	22.02	21.94	21.92	21.72	22.08	22.15(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	120	12	-49	1.06	65%	0.15	59.1	1.57%	0	0.4	46	NAN
7	Oct_6_2009	19.87	21.99	21.87	21.71	21.61	21.76	22.09(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	30	11	-51	0.92	65%	0.2	70.5	1.62%	0	0.3	45	NAN
8	Oct_5_2009	19.83	21.94	21.9	21.73	21.64	21.35	21.59(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-110	-14	-55	0.85	63%	0.25	73.6	1.61%	0	-0.9	45	NAN
9	Oct_2_2009	19.78	21.91	21.96	21.86	21.81	21.46	21.29(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-120	-24	-44	9.3	58%	0.15	66	1.62%	0	-1.3	44	NAN
10	Oct_1_2009	19.75	21.87	22.08	21.95	22.04	21.92	21.41(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-30	-11	-20	0.63	58%	0.2	52.1	1.7%	0	-0.8	46	NAN

11	Sep_30_2009	19.71	21.82	22.18	22.03	22.05	21.92	22.19(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	30	-0	-0	0.71	62%	0.2	42	1.65%	0	0.5	59	NAN
12	Sep_29_2009	19.67	21.72	22.2	22.04	22.04	22.15	22.16(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	30	1	14	0.64	62%	0.2	32.9	1.66%	0	0.6	64	NAN
13	Sep_28_2009	19.63	21.66	22.19	22.11	22.11	21.96	22.23(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-50	0	33	1.52	62%	0.2	35.8	1.67%	0	0.7	70	NAN
14	Sep_25_2009	19.59	21.6	22.16	22.09	22.19	21.94	21.76(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-70	-18	43	0.75	60%	0.2	37.1	1.66%	0	0.2	72	NAN
15	Sep_24_2009	19.55	21.57	22.18	22.23	22.25	22.26	21.82(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	10	-14	83	0.87	60%	0.21	47.9	1.66%	0	0.3	78	NAN

16	Sep_23_2009	19.51	21.53	22.19	22.35	22.25	22.45	22.25(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	30	5	133	1.42	63%	0.21	59.5	1.63%	0	0.9	87	NAN
17	Sep_22_2009	19.47	21.47	22.12	22.38	22.34	22.45	22.48(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	-40	5	161	0.96	58%	0.26	70.9	1.64%	0	1.3	92	NAN
18	Sep_21_2009	19.42	21.39	21.99	22.29	22.31	22.24	22.16(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	36	-20	-3	152	0.64	58%	0.26	79.2	1.7%	0	1.1	68	NAN
19	Sep_18_2009	19.37	21.32	21.86	22.24	22.29	22.44	22.43(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	50	12	152	0.48	58%	0.26	84.4	1.69%	0	1.6	68	NAN
20	Sep_17_2009	19.32	21.21	21.65	22.12	22.11	22.37	22.42(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	45	80	16	133	0.52	58%	0.26	79.4	1.69%	0	1.7	67	NAN

21	Sep_16_2009	19.27	21.08	21.42	22	21.97	22.13	22.42(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	50	21	113	0.58	58%	0.31	75.2	1.69%	0	1.9	68	NAN
22	Sep_15_2009	19.21	20.95	21.2	21.82	21.81	21.85	22.03(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	10	12	79	1.64	50%	0.26	68.8	1.7%	0	1.6	63	NAN
23	Sep_14_2009	19.16	20.83	21.08	21.65	21.7	21.82	21.9(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	50	17	65	0.73	50%	0.26	56.4	1.8%	0	1.6	65	NAN
24	Sep_11_2009	19.11	20.74	20.98	21.41	21.54	21.76	21.83(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	90	27	51	0.52	50%	0.31	47.9	1.81%	0	1.7	65	NAN
25	Sep_10_2009	19.05	20.67	20.9	21.09	21.2	21.58	21.82(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	140	30	38	0.53	50%		37.9	1.81%	0	1.9	72	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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