Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $22.4200 (1.77%) ($22.1800 - $22.4800) on Wed. Sep. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $22.4200(1.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(81%)    EEM(79%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $22(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.42(4.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.08(6.36%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   32.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.27% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.08%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 3.17%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.71%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.35%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.59%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2009	19.27	21.08	21.42	22	21.97	22.13	22.42(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	50	21	113	0.58	58%	0.31	75.2	1.69%	0	1.9	68	NAN
2	Sep_15_2009	19.21	20.95	21.2	21.82	21.81	21.85	22.03(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	10	12	79	1.64	50%	0.26	68.8	1.7%	0	1.6	63	NAN
3	Sep_14_2009	19.16	20.83	21.08	21.65	21.7	21.82	21.9(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	50	17	65	0.73	50%	0.26	56.4	1.8%	0	1.6	65	NAN
4	Sep_11_2009	19.11	20.74	20.98	21.41	21.54	21.76	21.83(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	90	27	51	0.52	50%	0.31	47.9	1.81%	0	1.7	65	NAN
5	Sep_10_2009	19.05	20.67	20.9	21.09	21.2	21.58	21.82(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	140	30	38	0.53	50%	0.26	37.9	1.81%	0	1.9	72	NAN

6	Sep_9_2009	19	20.58	20.81	20.76	20.85	21.33	21.51(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	170	35	26	1.24	50%	0.32	20.9	1.8%	0	1.8	72	NAN
7	Sep_8_2009	18.94	20.5	20.76	20.49	20.5	20.82	21.2(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	110	18	16	1.22	50%	0.37	0.4	1.8%	0	1.4	73	NAN
8	Sep_4_2009	18.87	20.45	20.72	20.43	20.32	20.38	20.68(2.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	5	0	-1	22	1.52	47%	0.21	-7.6	1.78%	0	0.5	71	NAN
9	Sep_3_2009	18.83	20.44	20.73	20.51	20.42	20.19	20.24(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-90	-16	33	0.8	41%	0.16	-0.4	1.76%	0	-0.4	52	NAN
10	Sep_2_2009	18.8	20.45	20.73	20.69	20.66	20.26	20.15(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-140	-24	42	1.57	41%	0.21	16.8	1.8%	0	-0.7	47	NAN

11	Sep_1_2009	18.76	20.47	20.74	20.87	20.88	20.66	20.17(-3.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-2	-70	-22	58	0.92	45%	0.21	37.7	1.81%	0	-0.7	52	NAN
12	Aug_31_2009	18.72	20.5	20.71	21.05	21.01	21.05	20.91(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	10	-2	82	0.5	49%	0.11	60.5	1.8%	0	0.9	65	NAN
13	Aug_28_2009	18.7	20.49	20.58	21.04	21.09	21.09	21.08(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	10	7	75	0.53	49%	0.27	69.1	1.8%	0	1.3	60	NAN
14	Aug_27_2009	18.65	20.44	20.49	20.99	21.02	20.97	21.12(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10	7	70	3.1	49%	0.27	69.5	1.81%	0	1.5	58	NAN
15	Aug_26_2009	18.6	20.37	20.42	20.8	20.98	21.09	21.05(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	60	15	57	0.39	49%	0.27	59.7	1.82%	0	1.5	57	NAN

16	Aug_25_2009	18.55	20.3	20.33	20.59	20.77	21.07	21.1(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	130	27	37	0.43	49%	0.27	50.2	1.82%	0	1.8	55	NAN
17	Aug_24_2009	18.5	20.23	20.21	20.31	20.41	20.86	20.84(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	23	170	30	2	0.54	49%	0.27	40.9	1.83%	0	1.5	49	NAN
18	Aug_21_2009	18.45	20.18	20.14	20.06	20.09	20.46	20.84(3.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	12	130	26	-30	0.66	49%	0.27	34.6	1.83%	0	1.7	48	NAN
19	Aug_20_2009	18.4	20.13	20.09	19.93	19.78	19.97	20.19(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	40	3	-48	0.5	44%	0.27	43.1	1.8%	0	0.2	52	NAN
20	Aug_19_2009	18.35	20.11	20.11	19.99	19.83	19.73	19.97(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-60	-1	-36	1.57	44%	0.27	55.2	1.81%	0	-0.4	54	NAN

21	Aug_18_2009	18.3	20.08	20.16	20.03	20	19.59	19.72(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-150	-14	-25	0.44	50%	0.27	60.7	1.81%	0	-0.8	54	NAN
22	Aug_17_2009	18.25	20.06	20.27	20.08	20.11	19.93	19.57(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-60	-21	-8	1.38	50%	0.22	74.4	1.89%	0	-1	53	NAN
23	Aug_14_2009	18.21	20.05	20.27	20.22	20.22	20.4	20.22(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	60	1	27	0.73	54%	0.28	86.2	1.86%	0	0.3	56	NAN
24	Aug_13_2009	18.16	19.98	20.39	20.26	20.21	20.3	20.47(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	20	8	37	0.46	49%	0.28	95.3	1.85%	0	0.8	61	NAN
25	Aug_12_2009	18.11	19.9	20.33	20.25	20.23	20.03	20.16(1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-70	-8	30	0.51	49%		99.7	1.92%	0	0.4	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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