Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 8, 2009

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $16.9200 (-0.12%) ($16.7500 - $17.1500) on Wed. Jul. 8, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.14% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $16.9200(-0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(81%)    EEM(79%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.07% (StdDev 2.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $9.93(-41.31%)
Resistance Level   $18.13
5 Day Moving Average   $17.46(-3.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.69(-4.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.13(-6.67%)
To recent high   -16.5%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 4.03% (three month std-dev: 2.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.98%(100%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.06%(18%) Average negative next three day return: -3.22%(82%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.55%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.23%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2009	16.74	18.13	17.69	17.46	17.3	17.06	16.92(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-120	-20	-62	1.42	37%	0.18	-66.7	2.14%	0	-1.7	31	0
2	Jul_7_2009	16.71	18.25	17.77	17.68	17.64	17.23	16.94(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-170	-24	-56	0.49	37%	0	-67.4	2.15%	0	-1.8	33	0
3	Jul_6_2009	16.71	18.37	17.87	17.93	17.89	17.54	17.46(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-140	-20	-45	0.59	40%	0.18	-66	2.15%	0	-1.4	34	0
4	Jul_2_2009	16.68	18.47	17.97	18.02	18.1	18.06	17.64(-3.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-0	-8	-48	0.56	48%	0.06	-59.6	2.16%	0	-1.2	27	0
5	Jul_1_2009	16.67	18.57	17.97	18.08	18.13	18.25	18.36(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	50	11	-52	1.06	52%	0.18	-53.4	2.22%	0	-0.3	31	0

6	Jun_30_2009	16.64	18.63	18.04	17.95	17.98	18.13	17.98(-1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	60	7	-77	0.45	46%	0.06	-48.9	2.22%	0	-0.8	29	0
7	Jun_29_2009	16.63	18.74	18.07	17.88	17.89	18.01	18.23(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	50	10	-92	0.4	46%	0.12	-44.5	2.31%	0	-0.6	34	0
8	Jun_26_2009	16.61	18.82	18.11	17.8	17.77	17.82	17.88(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	10	-5	-111	0.38	43%	0.12	-41.6	2.36%	0	-1.2	27	0
9	Jun_25_2009	16.59	18.9	18.26	17.92	17.8	17.78	17.94(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-30	-5	-102	0.35	43%	0.12	-35.6	2.36%	0	-1.2	27	0
10	Jun_24_2009	16.57	18.96	18.42	18.01	17.99	17.71	17.74(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-110	-10	-100	0.43	40%	0.12	-33.8	2.37%	0	-1.7	20	0

11	Jun_23_2009	16.55	19.02	18.59	18.14	18.14	17.82	17.62(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-37	-120	-18	-95	0.67	46%	0.12	-29.3	2.42%	0	-2.1	21	0
12	Jun_22_2009	16.53	19.1	18.76	18.28	18.32	18.26	17.82(-3.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-33	-20	-13	-91	1.15	46%	0.12	-20.1	2.53%	0	-2.1	18	0
13	Jun_19_2009	16.51	19.16	18.92	18.45	18.44	18.46	18.49(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	10	-8	-88	0.36	49%	0.18	-2.5	2.49%	0	-1.2	29	0
14	Jun_18_2009	16.48	19.18	19.01	18.66	18.5	18.38	18.38(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-70	-15	-77	2.7	53%	0.12	16.3	2.49%	0	-1.5	40	0
15	Jun_17_2009	16.46	19.21	19.15	18.91	18.77	18.42	18.39(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-150	-17	-53	0.63	53%	0.18	44.2	2.53%	0	-1.6	46	0

16	Jun_16_2009	16.43	19.22	19.28	19.12	19.11	18.63	18.34(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23	-180	-20	-33	1.3	53%	0.12	60	2.53%	0	-1.8	48	0
17	Jun_15_2009	16.41	19.23	19.47	19.31	19.36	19.12	18.65(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-80	-16	-6	0.93	53%	0.24	70.2	2.52%	0	-1.1	47	0
18	Jun_12_2009	16.37	19.18	19.61	19.44	19.49	19.58	19.54(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	40	2	23	0.53	57%	0.24	54.3	2.44%	0	0.6	61	0
19	Jun_11_2009	16.33	19.09	19.59	19.41	19.41	19.59	19.65(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	60	1	29	0.64	57%	0.31	48.5	2.46%	0	0.8	65	0
20	Jun_10_2009	16.28	18.99	19.53	19.43	19.6	19.39	19.42(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-50	1	33	0.81	61%	0.25	42	2.46%	0	0.6	59	0

21	Jun_9_2009	16.24	18.93	19.48	19.47	19.65	19.23	19.29(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-120	-20	31	1.43	61%	0.19	46.1	2.57%	0	0.5	62	0
22	Jun_8_2009	16.21	18.88	19.47	19.67	19.76	19.8	19.3(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	30	-13	58	0.8	61%	0.19	53.2	2.57%	0	0.5	66	0
23	Jun_5_2009	16.18	18.84	19.43	19.8	20	20.08	19.39(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	30	60	9	94	0.43	56%	0.25	66	2.57%	0	0.7	74	0
24	Jun_4_2009	16.14	18.76	19.36	19.79	19.87	19.72	19.76(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-40	4	101	0.31	59%	0.25	68.8	2.67%	0	1.3	72	0
25	Jun_3_2009	16.1	18.68	19.27	19.63	19.74	19.91	19.62(-3.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	80	6	107	0.46	59%		72.8	2.73%	0	1.3	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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