Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 21, 2009

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $18.6600 (-1.06%) ($18.4300 - $18.7300) on Thu. May. 21, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.94% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $18.6600(-1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(81%)    EEM(79%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.47% (StdDev 2.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.33(1.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.2(2.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.83(4.66%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   46.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.65% (three month std-dev: 2.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.33%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.32%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.94%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.7%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.73%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090621

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_21_2009	16.01	17.83	18.2	18.33	18.48	18.74	18.66(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	120	11	31	0.72	52%	-0.06	73.7	2.94%	0	1.3	61	0
2	May_20_2009	16.02	17.74	18.11	18.14	18.21	18.67	18.86(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	190	21	30	1.37	52%	0	62.1	2.95%	0	1.6	63	0
3	May_19_2009	16.02	17.62	18.03	17.88	17.91	18.21	18.51(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	120	12	20	1.57	52%	0	48.2	2.96%	0	1.3	63	0
4	May_18_2009	16.02	17.5	17.96	17.83	17.7	17.76	18.19(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	0	3	25	0.34	52%	0	42.4	2.96%	0	0.9	65	0
5	May_15_2009	16.02	17.4	17.95	17.81	17.77	17.6	17.42(-1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-70	-11	33	0.73	46%	0.12	38.5	3.01%	0	0	60	0

6	May_14_2009	16	17.37	17.96	18.05	17.92	17.63	17.74(1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-130	-8	55	0.32	46%	-0.06	50.8	3.03%	0	0.5	59	0
7	May_13_2009	16.01	17.33	17.93	18.06	18.11	17.95	17.53(-3.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-50	-12	62	0.34	46%	0	58.3	3.05%	0	0.3	60	0
8	May_12_2009	16.01	17.29	17.9	18.19	18.39	18.21	18.25(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-40	2	86	0.17	48%	0	68.9	3.01%	0	1.3	71	0
9	May_11_2009	16.01	17.2	17.75	18.19	18.35	18.26	18.1(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	18	10	-5	85	0.33	48%	0	71.7	3.02%	0	1.3	71	0
10	May_8_2009	16.01	17.13	17.62	18.11	18.31	18.58	18.64(4.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	36	140	13	104	0.72	45%	0	76.2	3.03%	0	2.2	80	0

11	May_7_2009	16.01	17.01	17.45	17.87	18.19	18.43	17.8(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	150	14	93	0.86	42%	-0.06	77.4	3%	0	1.3	60	0
12	May_6_2009	16.02	16.92	17.34	17.77	17.83	18.04	18.16(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	90	11	85	0.74	42%	-0.06	79.2	3.01%	0	2	62	0
13	May_5_2009	16.03	16.79	17.16	17.56	17.66	17.94	17.83(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	130	16	71	1.14	42%	0	78.3	3.03%	0	1.8	62	0
14	May_4_2009	16.03	16.71	17.01	17.33	17.44	17.63	18.13(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	27	100	18	55	0.67	42%	0.06	86.9	3.03%	0	2.6	67	0
15	May_1_2009	16.02	16.62	16.78	17.05	17.11	17.38	17.42(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	120	7	25	0.65	43%	0	103.8	3.01%	0	1.8	59	0

16	Apr_30_2009	16.02	16.55	16.71	16.97	16.98	17.25	17.29(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	110	12	26	0.49	43%	0	108.9	3.03%	0	1.8	62	0
17	Apr_29_2009	16.02	16.45	16.67	16.85	16.89	16.85	17.13(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10	9	28	0.59	41%	0	83.9	3.04%	0	1.4	65	0
18	Apr_28_2009	16.02	16.34	16.62	16.71	16.75	16.71	16.68(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10	1	27	0.47	43%	-0.06	63	3.08%	0	0.6	65	0
19	Apr_27_2009	16.03	16.24	16.61	16.62	16.67	16.93	16.74(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	120	10	29	0.79	43%	0.06	38.7	3.14%	0	0.8	57	0
20	Apr_24_2009	16.02	16.17	16.6	16.46	16.47	16.8	17(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	140	9	20	0.79	43%	0.06	34.1	3.15%	0	1.2	55	0

21	Apr_23_2009	16.01	16.11	16.53	16.43	16.25	16.42	16.71(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	40	2	18	1.78	43%	0.06	39.8	3.17%	0	0.9	57	0
22	Apr_22_2009	16	16.06	16.46	16.47	16.32	16.15	16.4(0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-100	-3	28	5.09	43%	0	47.4	3.18%	0	0.5	64	0
23	Apr_21_2009	16	16.01	16.46	16.54	16.47	16.09	16.26(2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-170	-10	38	0.55	43%	0.06	55.7	3.19%	0	0.4	65	0
24	Apr_20_2009	15.99	15.99	16.4	16.59	16.61	16.5	15.93(-5.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-40	-12	59	0.89	40%	-0.06	71.5	3.23%	0	-0.1	67	0
25	Apr_17_2009	16	15.95	16.46	16.74	16.71	16.85	16.83(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	50	6	89	0.79	43%		80	3.3%	0	1.3	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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