Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 6, 2009

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $12.8200 (0.39%) ($12.6100 - $13.2300) on Fri. Mar. 6, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.2% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $12.8200(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(81%)    EEM(80%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.6% (StdDev 3.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-3.32(-125.9%)
Resistance Level   $14.34
5 Day Moving Average   $12.96(-1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.31(-3.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.34(-10.6%)
To recent high   -33.7%
To recent low   0.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 8.93% (three month std-dev: 3.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.16%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.18%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.63%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.37%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090406

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2009	16.52	14.34	13.31	12.96		13.14	12.82(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	40	-10	-121	0.7	39%	-0.36	-53	3.2%	0	-1.2	25	0
2	Mar_5_2009	16.58	14.5	13.46	13.09	13.16	13.38	12.77(-5.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-36	130	-5	-127	0.59	39%	-0.3	-50.5	3.22%	0	-1.4	24	0
3	Mar_4_2009	16.63	14.66	13.64	13.27	13.19	13.17	13.54(5.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	-30	1	-132	0.66	42%	-0.42	-51.6	3.15%	0	-0.9	26	0
4	Mar_3_2009	16.7	14.78	13.73	13.3	13.3	12.95	12.87(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-180	-18	-158	0.48	38%	-0.48	-51.6	3.08%	0	-1.6	19	0
5	Mar_2_2009	16.78	14.91	13.91	13.55	13.5	13.21	12.78(-5.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-54	-160	-17	-165	0.69	38%	-0.36	-51.5	3.08%	0	-1.9	15	0

6	Feb_27_2009	16.84	15.05	14.2	13.72	13.73	13.65	13.49(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-46	-40	-10	-155	0.32	36%	-0.3	-51.3	3.22%	0	-1.5	20	0
7	Feb_26_2009	16.89	15.17	14.43	13.88	13.86	13.78	13.69(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-40	-10	-146	0.41	36%	-0.35	-48.4	3.24%	0	-1.5	30	0
8	Feb_25_2009	16.95	15.32	14.66	14.07	14.02	13.81	13.65(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-120	-12	-133	1.29	36%	-0.35	-41.2	3.24%	0	-1.8	34	0
9	Feb_24_2009	17.01	15.43	14.89	14.24	14.29	13.94	14.13(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-160	-11	-124	0.75	45%	-0.47	-35.7	3.22%	0	-1.5	35	0
10	Feb_23_2009	17.09	15.52	15.15	14.35	14.46	14.24	13.62(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-80	-25	-105	0.84	42%	-0.52	-38.1	3.36%	0	-2.4	39	0

11	Feb_20_2009	17.18	15.6	15.45	14.75	14.75	14.64	14.33(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-50	-16	-66	1.08	46%	-0.46	-36.2	3.4%	0	-1.9	42	0
12	Feb_19_2009	17.26	15.66	15.63	15.06	15.06	14.69	14.61(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-170	-16	-45	0.36	42%	-0.52	-31.1	3.46%	0	-1.7	41	0
13	Feb_18_2009	17.35	15.72	15.76	15.36	15.28	14.86	14.53(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-210	-21	-37	0.58	42%	-0.57	-29.5	3.6%	0	-2.1	34	0
14	Feb_17_2009	17.45	15.75	15.91	15.63	15.71	15.43	14.65(-6.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-21	-110	-21	-20	0.78	42%	-0.96	-37.3	3.59%	0	-2	43	0
15	Feb_13_2009	17.62	15.83	15.91	16.06	15.99	15.71	15.65(-1.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-9	-140	-13	5	0.23	48%	-0.62	-32.7	3.58%	0	-0.4	52	0

16	Feb_12_2009	17.73	15.83	15.91	16.25	16.26	15.99	15.85(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-110	-7	22	0.78	45%	-0.56	-46.5	3.82%	0	0	59	0
17	Feb_11_2009	17.83	15.85	15.99	16.29	16.47	16.28	16.1(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-50	-0	32	0.31	45%	-0.5	-69	3.87%	0	0.5	58	0
18	Feb_10_2009	17.92	15.89	16.03	16.22	16.37	16.54	15.9(-5.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	100	-1	36	0.45	45%	-0.61	-82.9	3.91%	0	0	53	0
19	Feb_9_2009	18.03	15.95	16.02	16.23	16.27	16.65	16.79(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	170	18	54	0.31	48%	-0.55	-81.2	3.85%	0	1.4	65	0
20	Feb_6_2009	18.13	15.99	15.9	15.92	16	16.2	16.6(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	100	14	31	0.58	48%	-0.44	-91.1	3.9%	0	0.8	52	0

21	Feb_5_2009	18.21	16.08	15.74	15.7	15.67	15.89	16.05(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	90	3	5	0.5	45%	-0.44	-79.4	3.97%	0	-0	50	0
22	Feb_4_2009	18.29	16.19	15.67	15.65	15.62	15.8	15.74(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	70	-1	-5	0.6	49%	-0.49	-71.7	4.04%	0	-0.4	49	0
23	Feb_3_2009	18.38	16.34	15.66	15.82	15.64	15.45	15.97(4.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-120	-0	-6	0.59	49%	-0.54	-58.6	4.2%	0	-0.3	43	0
24	Feb_2_2009	18.48	16.47	15.56	15.79	15.82	15.43	15.25(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-170	-8	-31	0.54	47%	-0.54	-53.1	4.16%	0	-0.9	36	0
25	Jan_30_2009	18.58	16.67	15.65	15.86	15.97	15.82	15.5(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-40	-1	-38	0.47	47%		-45.1	4.16%	0	-0.8	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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