Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 30, 2009

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $15.5000 (-1.96%) ($15.3400 - $15.9800) on Fri. Jan. 30, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.16% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $15.5000(-1.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(82%)    EEM(80%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -2.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(-0%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.08% (StdDev 4.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

Resistance Level   $16.67
5 Day Moving Average   $15.86(-2.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.65(-0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.67(-7.02%)
To recent high   -21.2%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 8.52% (three month std-dev: 4.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -7.87%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.74%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -12.21%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.4%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_30_2009	18.58	16.67	15.65	15.86	15.97	15.82	15.5(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-40	-1	-38	0.47	47%	-0.54	-45.1	4.16%	0	-0.8	35	0
2	Jan_29_2009	18.68	16.85	15.7	15.76	15.93	16.22	15.81(-4.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	160	6	-61	0.3	47%	-0.53	-43.2	4.17%	0	-0.7	31	0
3	Jan_28_2009	18.78	17	15.71	15.66	15.67	16.12	16.56(4.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	200	13	-84	0.39	56%	-0.48	-40.5	4.15%	0	-0.3	35	0
4	Jan_27_2009	18.87	17.09	15.73	15.48	15.36	15.65	15.83(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	110	10	-94	0.95	54%	-0.53	-41.5	4.81%	0	-0.8	28	0
5	Jan_26_2009	18.97	17.2	15.86	15.31	15.28	15.22	15.62(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-30	-1	-115	0.42	54%	-0.52	-46.5	4.81%	0	-1	26	0

6	Jan_23_2009	19.07	17.33	16.06	15.41	15.21	15.06	14.98(-2.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-39	-110	-11	-124	0.57	52%	-0.63	-48.6	4.85%	0	-1.6	17	0
7	Jan_22_2009	19.19	17.49	16.42	15.64	15.53	15.33	15.32(-2.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-33	-110	-5	-117	0.55	49%	-0.62	-51.2	4.84%	0	-1.5	20	0
8	Jan_21_2009	19.31	17.63	16.75	15.76	15.73	15.36	15.67(4.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-170	-12	-116	0.83	47%	-0.62	-52.9	4.92%	0	-1.5	24	0
9	Jan_20_2009	19.43	17.76	17.07	16.01	15.96	15.74	14.95(-7.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-110	-18	-107	0.8	47%	-0.66	-50.4	4.93%	0	-2.2	25	0
10	Jan_16_2009	19.56	17.96	17.47	16.49	16.39	16.1	16.15(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-140	-11	-85	0.58	52%	-0.56	-45.2	4.82%	0	-1.8	34	0

11	Jan_15_2009	19.67	18.1	17.78	16.82	16.72	16.18	16.09(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-240	-21	-71	5.35	48%	-0.61	-33.9	4.88%	0	-2.2	33	0
12	Jan_14_2009	19.79	18.26	18.1	17.34	17.25	16.67	15.94(-5.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-27	-250	-21	-43	0.46	48%	-0.55	-9.4	5.07%	0	-2.8	35	0
13	Jan_13_2009	19.9	18.37	18.43	17.88	17.81	17.26	16.92(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-17	-230	-17	-17	0.3	54%	-0.5	17.8	5.02%	0	-2.3	42	0
14	Jan_12_2009	20	18.41	18.59	18.28	18.24	17.83	17.36(-2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-10	-160	-13	-0	0.3	54%	-0.55	53.3	5.34%	0	-1.9	45	0
15	Jan_9_2009	20.11	18.43	18.68	18.58	18.58	18.36	17.77(-5.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-6	-80	-10	8	0.68	52%	-0.45	85	5.34%	0	-1.2	42	0

16	Jan_8_2009	20.2	18.42	18.73	18.89	18.77	18.66	18.73(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-60	-4	17	0.5	51%	-0.44	106.8	5.36%	0	0.5	46	0
17	Jan_7_2009	20.29	18.34	18.65	18.99	18.91	18.8	18.63(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-50	-3	15	0.68	50%	-0.39	112.3	5.37%	0	0.5	42	0
18	Jan_6_2009	20.37	18.26	18.59	19.06	18.98	18.89	18.91(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-50	1	19	0.47	49%	-0.44	115.6	5.4%	0	0.9	62	0
19	Jan_5_2009	20.46	18.12	18.5	18.94	18.97	19.01	18.85(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	20	3	19	0.79	49%	-0.44	102	5.44%	0	1	65	0
20	Jan_2_2009	20.55	17.98	18.47	18.78	18.87	19.07	19.33(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	90	7	22	0.37	47%	-0.77	77.4	5.44%	0	1.6	71	0

21	Dec_31_2008	20.71	17.83	18.42	18.55	18.61	18.93	19.22(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	130	10	24	0.83	47%	-0.43	60.8	5.47%	0	1.4	70	0
22	Dec_30_2008	20.8	17.67	18.39	18.28	18.25	18.68	18.97(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	160	9	27	0.37	48%	-0.48	50.8	5.46%	0	1.3	73	0
23	Dec_29_2008	20.9	17.49	18.28	18.07	18.04	18.28	18.32(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	90	6	24	1.08	46%	-0.48	42	5.46%	0	0.8	69	0
24	Dec_26_2008	21	17.41	18.21	18.01	17.92	17.82	18.07(-0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-50	-2	28	0.21	46%	-0.9	51.8	5.58%	0	0.6	75	0
25	Dec_24_2008	21.19	17.34	18.16	18.12	17.96	17.79	18.15(1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-90	-7	39	0.38	46%		63.5	5.55%	0	0.8	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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