Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 19, 2008

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $15.1500 (-7.62%) ($15.1500 - $16.2500) on Wed. Nov. 19, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.12% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $15.1500(-7.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(82%)    EEM(81%)    IWM(78%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -2.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.56% (StdDev 5.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $3.46(-77.16%)
Resistance Level   $17.23
5 Day Moving Average   $16.5(-8.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.86(-10.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.23(-12.07%)
To recent high   -45%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 6.79% (three month std-dev: 5.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.48%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.32%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.8%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.76%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.58%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.72%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2008	24.1	17.23	16.86	16.5	16.37	15.95	15.15(-7.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-200	-11	-71	0.94	42%	-0.62	-33.9	5.12%	0	-1.8	40	NAN
2	Nov_18_2008	24.25	17.31	17.19	16.72	16.73	16.38	16.4(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-140	-8	-60	0.35	43%	-0.53	-37.8	5.05%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
3	Nov_17_2008	24.38	17.38	17.5	16.87	16.78	16.78	16.35(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-20	-12	-48	0.39	43%	-0.53	-43.9	5.05%	0	-0.9	44	NAN
4	Nov_14_2008	24.51	17.5	17.69	17.19	16.98	17.08	16.71(-6.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	0	-5	-18	0.37	43%	-0.53	-42.9	5.04%	0	-0.7	60	NAN
5	Nov_13_2008	24.64	17.59	17.87	17.46	17.27	16.77	17.91(10.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-240	1	12	0.51	44%	-0.52	-33.8	4.99%	0	0.3	63	NAN

6	Nov_12_2008	24.77	17.63	17.89	17.3	17.47	16.89	16.23(-5.47%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-14	-200	-21	9	0.41	41%	-0.6	-35.1	4.8%	0	-1.3	53	NAN
7	Nov_11_2008	24.92	17.73	18.05	17.73	17.76	17.77	17.17(-4.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	10	-17	37	0.34	42%	-0.56	-28.9	4.76%	0	-0.5	56	NAN
8	Nov_10_2008	25.06	17.87	18.17	18.23	18.14	18.05	17.93(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-50	1	70	0.64	42%	-0.52	-16	4.74%	0	0	53	NAN
9	Nov_7_2008	25.19	17.99	17.93	18.26	18.38	17.76	18.04(5.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-220	-8	45	0.76	42%	-0.55	-17.6	4.74%	0	0	48	NAN
10	Nov_6_2008	25.33	17.98	17.69	18.35	18.44	18.24	17.15(-6.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-60	-14	27	0.57	40%	-0.59	-30.4	4.68%	0	-0.6	47	NAN

11	Nov_5_2008	25.48	18.04	17.64	18.54	18.64	19	18.35(-6.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	150	8	28	0.47	43%	-0.55	-39.8	4.63%	0	0.2	48	NAN
12	Nov_4_2008	25.62	18.08	17.46	18.41	18.52	18.64	19.68(8.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	60	13	15	0.95	44%	-0.47	-53.1	4.58%	0	1.1	57	NAN
13	Nov_3_2008	25.74	18.09	17.23	18.12	18.16	18.27	18.09(-2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	8	50	15	-15	0.86	41%	-0.54	-65.3	4.43%	0	0	43	NAN
14	Oct_31_2008	25.88	18.22	17.27	17.54	17.99	18.41	18.48(2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	240	26	-46	0.81	41%	-0.5	-70.8	4.43%	0	0.2	43	NAN
15	Oct_30_2008	26.01	18.39	17.25	16.93	17.19	18.05	18.11(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	400	20	-70	0.95	41%	-0.5	-78.2	4.41%	0	-0.1	53	NAN

16	Oct_29_2008	26.14	18.58	17.31	16.61	16.4	17.57	17.68(-2.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	460	23	-78	1.63	41%	-0.57	-79.2	4.4%	0	-0.4	50	NAN
17	Oct_28_2008	26.29	18.86	17.33	16.36	16.05	16.33	18.22(19.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	70	17	-101	4.18	41%	-0.53	-77.8	4.4%	0	-0.3	47	NAN
18	Oct_27_2008	26.43	19.12	17.5	16.26	15.86	15.24	15.21(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-66	-350	-37	-152	2.7	32%	-0.64	-77.9	3.58%	0	-1.5	33	NAN
19	Oct_24_2008	26.6	19.52	18.02	16.98	16.54	15.77	15.45(-6.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-58	-400	-36	-122	0.94	32%	-0.67	-72.4	3.59%	0	-1.5	31	NAN
20	Oct_23_2008	26.78	20.02	18.3	17.59	17.38	16.49	16.49(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-390	-32	-128	1.25	33%	-0.59	-66.9	3.53%	0	-1.3	31	NAN

21	Oct_22_2008	26.94	20.49	18.5	18.09	17.89	17.31	16.44(-7.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-260	-27	-135	0.8	33%	-0.63	-61	3.53%	0	-1.4	30	NAN
22	Oct_21_2008	27.11	20.93	18.82	18.41	18.34	18.26	17.7(-6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-40	-21	-151	0.51	35%	-0.55	-57.6	3.44%	0	-1.2	30	NAN
23	Oct_20_2008	27.26	21.32	19.06	18.92	18.55	18.47	18.83(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-49	-90	-13	-156	0.78	37%	-0.55	-51.8	3.38%	0	-0.9	32	NAN
24	Oct_17_2008	27.41	21.66	19.27	19.24	19.05	18.41	18.51(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-260	-3	-155	0.67	38%	-0.54	-46.6	3.37%	0	-1.1	34	NAN
25	Oct_16_2008	27.56	22.05	19.62	19.11	19.5	18.63	18.99(5.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-53	-250	-9	-185	0.93	39%		-48.1	3.38%	0	-1.1	30	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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