Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 6, 2008

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $21.0400 (-5.61%) ($20.4000 - $21.4400) on Mon. Oct. 6, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.19% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $21.0400(-5.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(84%)    EEM(82%)    VWO(80%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.095% (StdDev 2.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $12.62(-40.02%)
Resistance Level   $24.46
5 Day Moving Average   $22.65(-7.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.79(-11.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.46(-13.98%)
To recent high   -29%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 5.6% (three month std-dev: 2.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.98%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.34%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.13%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 5.11%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.21%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2008	28.68	24.46	23.79	22.65	22.44	21.79	21.04(-5.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-74	-230	-44	-163	1.26	34%	-0.49	-67.3	2.19%	0	-2.5	37	0
2	Oct_3_2008	28.82	24.71	24.28	23.07	23.08	22.59	22.29(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-66	-150	-43	-134	0.61	37%	-0.38	-78.8	2.11%	0	-2.1	40	0
3	Oct_2_2008	28.93	24.88	24.7	23.73	23.39	23.09	22.44(-4.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-59	-130	-49	-89	1.11	37%	-0.38	-79.8	2.11%	0	-2.4	37	0
4	Oct_1_2008	29.04	25.07	24.97	24.44	24.08	23.56	23.56(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-200	-26	-41	0.29	40%	-0.34	-70.8	2.03%	0	-1.6	44	0
5	Sep_30_2008	29.14	25.26	25.04	24.8	24.7	23.68	23.9(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-300	-42	-35	0.91	40%	-0.34	-59	2.03%	0	-1.4	46	0

6	Sep_29_2008	29.24	25.42	25.12	25.11	25.18	24.6	23.16(-9.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-50	-150	-57	-28	0.88	37%	-0.34	-51.9	1.98%	0	-2.4	42	0
7	Sep_26_2008	29.34	25.63	25.31	25.65	25.65	25.72	25.57(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	20	-12	20	0.97	42%	-0.24	-39.1	1.62%	0	-0.1	49	0
8	Sep_25_2008	29.41	25.72	25.32	25.83	25.78	25.76	25.99(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10	18	50	0.5	41%	-0.24	-29.2	1.63%	0	0.3	53	0
9	Sep_24_2008	29.48	25.77	25.23	25.6	25.71	25.59	25.39(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-20	11	16	0.3	38%	-0.3	-33.8	1.62%	0	-0.4	45	0
10	Sep_23_2008	29.57	25.85	25.2	25.31	25.49	25.81	25.44(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	110	15	-33	0.79	38%	-0.24	-41	1.62%	0	-0.4	38	0

11	Sep_22_2008	29.64	25.92	25.16	25.13	25.11	25.84	25.84(-2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	200	38	-67	0.43	38%	-0.27	-46.5	1.61%	0	-0.1	40	0
12	Sep_19_2008	29.72	25.98	25.14	24.93	24.68	25.18	26.49(6.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	110	37	-104	1.71	38%	-0.2	-51	1.63%	0	0.5	42	0
13	Sep_18_2008	29.78	26.01	25.03	24.77	24.45	24.38	24.82(3.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-48	-60	-1	-189	4.61	29%	-0.3	-55.9	1.38%	0	-1.1	27	0
14	Sep_17_2008	29.87	26.12	25.15	24.83	24.64	24.19	23.98(-2.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-80	-150	-31	-227	1.28	24%	-0.27	-58.9	1.29%	0	-1.9	23	0
15	Sep_16_2008	29.95	26.28	25.47	25.06	24.82	24.51	24.53(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-79	-120	-36	-209	1.9	25%	-0.3	-65.5	1.27%	0	-1.8	28	0

16	Sep_15_2008	30.04	26.42	25.73	25.18	25.06	25.09	24.82(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	-10	-17	-185	1.38	25%	-0.27	-74.4	1.28%	0	-1.8	31	0
17	Sep_12_2008	30.12	26.55	25.99	25.37	25.22	25.13	25.68(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-39	-40	3	-166	1.11	27%	-0.23	-80.9	1.23%	0	-1	32	0
18	Sep_11_2008	30.19	26.65	26.16	25.34	25.32	25.04	25.16(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	-80	-27	-181	1.32	22%	-0.26	-88.4	1.2%	0	-1.8	27	0
19	Sep_10_2008	30.27	26.79	26.36	25.52	25.5	25.3	25.11(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-78	-60	-47	-171	1.15	21%	-0.26	-95.7	1.21%	0	-2.1	29	0
20	Sep_9_2008	30.35	26.95	26.56	25.95	25.78	25.61	25.12(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-63	-70	-41	-127	1.17	21%	-0.26	-93.6	1.22%	0	-2.4	31	0

21	Sep_8_2008	30.43	27.11	26.75	26.37	26.24	25.7	25.77(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-54	-160	-41	-93	1.61	22%	-0.23	-89	1.2%	0	-1.9	33	0
22	Sep_5_2008	30.5	27.26	26.91	26.7	26.62	25.95	25.56(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-72	-190	-71	-74	1.29	24%	-0.23	-78.7	1.21%	0	-2.5	28	0
23	Sep_4_2008	30.57	27.42	27.09	27.1	27.12	26.78	26.06(-4.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-37	-90	-40	-29	1.07	25%	-0.23	-70	1.23%	0	-2.1	29	0
24	Sep_3_2008	30.64	27.59	27.2	27.31	27.41	27.29	27.25(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-20	-3	-6	0.48	28%	-0.13	-58.5	1.12%	0	-0.5	38	0
25	Sep_2_2008	30.68	27.68	27.17	27.26	27.39	27.45	27.22(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	30	4	-33	0.38	27%		-53.8	1.12%	0	-0.6	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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