Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 25, 2008

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $25.9900 (2.36%) ($25.8300 - $26.1200) on Thu. Sep. 25, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $25.9900(2.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(84%)    EEM(82%)    VWO(80%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.83(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.32(2.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.72(1.05%)
To recent high   -14%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.77% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081025

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_25_2008	29.41	25.72	25.32	25.83	25.78	25.76	25.99(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10	18	50	0.5	41%	-0.24	-29.2	1.63%	0	0.3	53	0
2	Sep_24_2008	29.48	25.77	25.23	25.6	25.71	25.59	25.39(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-20	11	16	0.3	38%	-0.3	-33.8	1.62%	0	-0.4	45	0
3	Sep_23_2008	29.57	25.85	25.2	25.31	25.49	25.81	25.44(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	110	15	-33	0.79	38%	-0.24	-41	1.62%	0	-0.4	38	0
4	Sep_22_2008	29.64	25.92	25.16	25.13	25.11	25.84	25.84(-2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	200	38	-67	0.43	38%	-0.27	-46.5	1.61%	0	-0.1	40	0
5	Sep_19_2008	29.72	25.98	25.14	24.93	24.68	25.18	26.49(6.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	110	37	-104	1.71	38%	-0.2	-51	1.63%	0	0.5	42	0

6	Sep_18_2008	29.78	26.01	25.03	24.77	24.45	24.38	24.82(3.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-48	-60	-1	-189	4.61	29%	-0.3	-55.9	1.38%	0	-1.1	27	0
7	Sep_17_2008	29.87	26.12	25.15	24.83	24.64	24.19	23.98(-2.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-80	-150	-31	-227	1.28	24%	-0.27	-58.9	1.29%	0	-1.9	23	0
8	Sep_16_2008	29.95	26.28	25.47	25.06	24.82	24.51	24.53(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-79	-120	-36	-209	1.9	25%	-0.3	-65.5	1.27%	0	-1.8	28	0
9	Sep_15_2008	30.04	26.42	25.73	25.18	25.06	25.09	24.82(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	-10	-17	-185	1.38	25%	-0.27	-74.4	1.28%	0	-1.8	31	0
10	Sep_12_2008	30.12	26.55	25.99	25.37	25.22	25.13	25.68(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-39	-40	3	-166	1.11	27%	-0.23	-80.9	1.23%	0	-1	32	0

11	Sep_11_2008	30.19	26.65	26.16	25.34	25.32	25.04	25.16(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	-80	-27	-181	1.32	22%	-0.26	-88.4	1.2%	0	-1.8	27	0
12	Sep_10_2008	30.27	26.79	26.36	25.52	25.5	25.3	25.11(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-78	-60	-47	-171	1.15	21%	-0.26	-95.7	1.21%	0	-2.1	29	0
13	Sep_9_2008	30.35	26.95	26.56	25.95	25.78	25.61	25.12(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-63	-70	-41	-127	1.17	21%	-0.26	-93.6	1.22%	0	-2.4	31	0
14	Sep_8_2008	30.43	27.11	26.75	26.37	26.24	25.7	25.77(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-54	-160	-41	-93	1.61	22%	-0.23	-89	1.2%	0	-1.9	33	0
15	Sep_5_2008	30.5	27.26	26.91	26.7	26.62	25.95	25.56(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-72	-190	-71	-74	1.29	24%	-0.23	-78.7	1.21%	0	-2.5	28	0

16	Sep_4_2008	30.57	27.42	27.09	27.1	27.12	26.78	26.06(-4.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-37	-90	-40	-29	1.07	25%	-0.23	-70	1.23%	0	-2.1	29	0
17	Sep_3_2008	30.64	27.59	27.2	27.31	27.41	27.29	27.25(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-20	-3	-6	0.48	28%	-0.13	-58.5	1.12%	0	-0.5	38	0
18	Sep_2_2008	30.68	27.68	27.2	27.26	27.39	27.45	27.22(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	30	4	-33	0.38	27%	-0.16	-53.8	1.12%	0	-0.6	31	0
19	Aug_29_2008	30.73	27.75	27.17	27.19	27.28	27.54	27.4(-0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	80	15	-58	0.44	27%	-0.16	-56.2	1.12%	0	-0.4	31	0
20	Aug_28_2008	30.78	27.81	27.17	27.16	27.16	27.33	27.55(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	40	20	-81	0.94	27%	-0.16	-56.4	1.12%	0	-0.3	30	0

21	Aug_27_2008	30.83	27.89	27.16	27.09	27.1	27.02	27.14(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	-20	3	-120	0.16	24%	-0.16	-55.4	1.1%	0	-0.9	19	0
22	Aug_26_2008	30.88	27.99	27.22	27.09	27.09	26.99	26.97(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-20	-9	-155	0.62	24%	-0.19	-58.8	1.1%	0	-1.2	12	0
23	Aug_25_2008	30.94	28.09	27.34	27.07	27.11	27.17	26.87(-1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-46	20	-4	-172	0.32	24%	-0.16	-63.7	1.1%	0	-1.4	12	0
24	Aug_22_2008	30.99	28.19	27.49	27.13	27.08	27.19	27.29(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	20	5	-169	0.41	24%	-0.16	-69.4	1.1%	0	-1.1	31	0
25	Aug_21_2008	31.04	28.28	27.62	27.15	27.09	27.04	27.18(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-47	-20	-5	-174	0.8	24%		-72.4	1.11%	0	-1.4	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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