Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 15, 2008

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $33.5600 (1.05%) ($33.2800 - $33.6200) on Thu. May. 15, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $33.5600(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(84%)    EEM(82%)    VWO(80%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.27(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.18(1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.01(1.67%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2008	32.02	33.01	33.18	33.27	33.3	33.36	33.56(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	20	11	35	1.65	56%	-0.06	104.4	1.32%	0	1.8	60	0
2	May_14_2008	32.04	32.94	33.14	33.18	33.17	33.26	33.21(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	20	6	32	3.16	56%	0.03	109.8	1.32%	0	1	59	0
3	May_13_2008	32.03	32.92	33.09	33.1	33.12	33.24	33.22(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	30	7	24	4.39	56%	-0.06	84.4	1.32%	0	0.8	54	0
4	May_12_2008	32.05	32.85	33.02	33.12	33.06	33.08	33.4(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-0	5	25	0.7	60%	-0.06	64.2	1.33%	0	1.2	60	0
5	May_9_2008	32.07	32.76	32.97	33.08	33.05	32.99	32.98(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-20	-3	17	1.41	60%	-0.06	48	1.35%	0	0.4	50	0

6	May_8_2008	32.09	32.69	32.96	33.07	33.1	33.04	33.07(0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10	-3	18	0.74	60%	-0.03	41.3	1.36%	0	0.8	54	0
7	May_7_2008	32.1	32.65	32.92	33.09	33.09	33.1	32.83(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	6	0	0	25	1.46	60%	-0.09	42	1.36%	0	0.4	58	0
8	May_6_2008	32.13	32.62	32.93	33.06	33.02	33.17	33.32(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	30	13	32	2.82	63%	-0.03	40.7	1.34%	0	1.4	58	0
9	May_5_2008	32.14	32.57	32.86	32.91	32.92	33.07	33.21(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	30	13	32	3.89	54%	-0.06	34	1.35%	0	1.4	67	0
10	May_2_2008	32.16	32.53	32.83	32.85	32.92	32.88	32.93(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	10	4	38	1.53	54%	-0.09	43	1.5%	0	0.9	67	0

11	May_1_2008	32.19	32.49	32.81	32.83	32.79	32.78	33.15(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10	6	52	1.48	54%	-0.09	52.6	1.51%	0	1.5	70	0
12	Apr_30_2008	32.22	32.44	32.73	32.73	32.81	32.7	32.68(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-20	-4	44	2.53	54%	-0.09	59.5	1.49%	0	0.6	56	0
13	Apr_29_2008	32.25	32.42	32.74	32.78	32.76	32.8	32.57(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	10	-5	54	1.55	54%	-0.12	74.6	1.49%	0	0.4	55	0
14	Apr_28_2008	32.29	32.41	32.66	32.8	32.79	32.91	32.91(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	20	7	55	0.27	57%	-0.12	82	1.48%	0	1.1	56	0
15	Apr_25_2008	32.33	32.34	32.54	32.81	32.73	32.73	32.86(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10	3	44	0.49	54%	-0.09	84.5	1.52%	0	1.1	54	0

16	Apr_24_2008	32.36	32.26	32.41	32.79	32.74	32.66	32.64(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-20	-1	33	0.92	58%	-0.09	92.9	1.54%	0	0.8	54	0
17	Apr_23_2008	32.39	32.2	32.36	32.73	32.76	32.74	32.93(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-0	2	30	0.88	55%	-0.09	98.2	1.58%	0	1.4	59	0
18	Apr_22_2008	32.42	32.12	32.28	32.68	32.66	32.81	32.65(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	30	9	29	2.74	49%	-0.09	99.4	1.6%	0	1	55	0
19	Apr_21_2008	32.45	32.04	32.25	32.5	32.59	32.79	32.98(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	50	22	22	1.66	49%	-0.09	94.4	1.79%	0	1.6	59	0
20	Apr_18_2008	32.48	31.94	32.19	32.22	32.3	32.52	32.76(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	60	17	13	1.1	49%	-0.09	89.3	1.8%	0	1.5	66	0

21	Apr_17_2008	32.51	31.8	32.13	31.98	32.03	32.38	32.32(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	80	12	6	1.49	49%	-0.09	55.9	1.79%	0	0.8	65	0
22	Apr_16_2008	32.54	31.69	32.12	31.95	31.87	32.09	32.7(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	40	17	15	2.41	46%	-0.06	40	1.79%	0	1.3	70	0
23	Apr_15_2008	32.56	31.59	32.06	31.84	31.77	31.68	31.72(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-30	-6	9	5.39	41%	-0.09	36.8	1.78%	0	0.2	63	0
24	Apr_14_2008	32.59	31.51	32.12	31.97	31.89	31.65	31.6(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-60	-14	25	1.56	43%	-0.09	38.1	1.81%	0	0.1	64	0
25	Apr_11_2008	32.62	31.46	32.13	32.15	32.04	31.85	31.56(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-50	-16	40	1.1	42%		45.3	1.83%	0	0.1	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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