Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 22, 2008

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $32.6500 (-1%) ($32.5300 - $32.9100) on Tue. Apr. 22, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $32.6500(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(84%)    EEM(82%)    VWO(80%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.68(-0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.28(1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.12(1.65%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2008	32.42	32.12	32.28	32.68	32.66	32.81	32.65(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	30	9	29	2.74	49%	-0.09	99.4	1.6%	0	1	55	0
2	Apr_21_2008	32.45	32.04	32.25	32.5	32.59	32.79	32.98(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	50	22	22	1.66	49%	-0.09	94.4	1.79%	0	1.6	59	0
3	Apr_18_2008	32.48	31.94	32.19	32.22	32.3	32.52	32.76(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	60	17	13	1.1	49%	-0.09	89.3	1.8%	0	1.5	66	0
4	Apr_17_2008	32.51	31.8	32.13	31.98	32.03	32.38	32.32(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	80	12	6	1.49	49%	-0.09	55.9	1.79%	0	0.8	65	0
5	Apr_16_2008	32.54	31.69	32.12	31.95	31.87	32.09	32.7(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	40	17	15	2.41	46%	-0.06	40	1.79%	0	1.3	70	0

6	Apr_15_2008	32.56	31.59	32.06	31.84	31.77	31.68	31.72(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-30	-6	9	5.39	41%	-0.09	36.8	1.78%	0	0.2	63	0
7	Apr_14_2008	32.59	31.51	32.12	31.97	31.89	31.65	31.6(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-60	-14	25	1.56	43%	-0.09	38.1	1.81%	0	0.1	64	0
8	Apr_11_2008	32.62	31.46	32.13	32.15	32.04	31.85	31.56(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-50	-16	40	1.1	42%	-0.03	45.3	1.83%	0	0.1	66	0
9	Apr_10_2008	32.63	31.45	32.12	32.3	32.26	32.13	32.15(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-30	-4	68	2.33	43%	-0.09	53.6	1.83%	0	0.8	88	0
10	Apr_9_2008	32.66	31.39	32.05	32.3	32.32	32.24	32.19(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-20	-3	85	0.85	43%	-0.06	55.7	1.83%	0	1	89	0

11	Apr_8_2008	32.68	31.32	31.96	32.31	32.27	32.39	32.35(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	20	0	93	1.35	43%	-0.06	59.8	1.83%	0	1.3	68	0
12	Apr_7_2008	32.7	31.2	31.83	32.3	32.26	32.4	32.48(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	40	30	16	112	0.93	43%	-0.06	53.2	1.83%	0	1.6	76	0
13	Apr_4_2008	32.72	31.09	31.68	32.11	32.12	32.15	32.31(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	10	11	105	1.82	41%	-0.06	45.4	1.83%	0	1.6	66	0
14	Apr_3_2008	32.74	31	31.45	31.91	31.91	32.11	32.2(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	40	9	82	3.06	41%	-0.12	34.5	1.84%	0	1.6	57	0
15	Apr_2_2008	32.78	30.93	31.22	31.74	31.75	32.08	32.23(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	70	19	67	4.84	41%	-0.09	22.1	1.84%	0	1.9	59	0

16	Apr_1_2008	32.81	30.84	31.07	31.55	31.59	31.72	32.29(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	30	21	56	4.37	41%	-0.09	6.2	1.84%	0	2.4	60	0
17	Mar_31_2008	32.84	30.77	30.84	31.3	31.38	31.41	31.51(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	10	5	37	1.12	39%	-0.12	-9.3	1.82%	0	1.5	63	0
18	Mar_28_2008	32.88	30.74	30.74	31.19	31.25	31.46	31.32(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	50	17	39	6.34	39%	-0.15	-16.3	1.82%	0	1.2	59	0
19	Mar_27_2008	32.93	30.76	30.71	30.91	30.99	31.35	31.36(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	90	26	31	0.72	39%	-0.12	-21.9	1.83%	0	1.2	54	0
20	Mar_26_2008	32.97	30.78	30.67	30.61	30.55	31.04	31.25(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	110	18	10	0.55	39%	-0.15	-26.6	1.83%	0	0.8	52	0

21	Mar_25_2008	33.02	30.81	30.62	30.52	30.32	30.63	31.06(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	50	25	12	0.81	39%	-0.12	-24.5	1.83%	0	0.4	54	0
22	Mar_24_2008	33.06	30.81	30.51	30.31	30.23	30.06	30.95(3.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-0	-50	6	-19	1.92	39%	-0.24	-30.9	1.84%	0	0.2	49	0
23	Mar_20_2008	33.14	30.82	30.44	30.24	30.1	30	29.95(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-40	-25	-44	2.52	38%	-0.18	-34.3	1.8%	0	-1.4	42	0
24	Mar_19_2008	33.2	30.87	30.52	30.48	30.37	30.41	29.86(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-0	-5	-32	2.01	38%	-0.21	-26.7	1.8%	0	-1.7	36	0
25	Mar_18_2008	33.27	30.94	30.63	30.71	30.52	30.2	30.8(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-90	-7	-32	7.75	42%		-12.9	1.77%	0	-0.3	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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