Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 29, 2008

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $31.0000 (0.58%) ($30.6200 - $31.0000) on Tue. Jan. 29, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.79% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $31.0000(0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(82%)    VWO(80%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.895% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.98(-35.55%)
Resistance Level   $32.94
5 Day Moving Average   $30.4(1.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.28(-0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.94(-5.89%)
To recent high   -15.1%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 5.89% (three month std-dev: 1.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.27%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.78%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 13.12%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.87%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080229

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_29_2008	34.51	32.94	31.28	30.4	30.59	30.68	31(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-36	40	18	-196	1.04	39%	0	-64.7	1.79%	0	-1	31	0
2	Jan_28_2008	34.51	33.18	31.62	30.24	30.09	30.54	30.82(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-58	90	-6	-215	2	39%	-0.03	-64.6	1.79%	0	-1.2	29	0
3	Jan_25_2008	34.52	33.41	31.94	30.53	29.9	30.5	30.01(-1.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-53	80	-1	-208	2.91	36%	-0.06	-60.1	1.76%	0	-1.7	23	0
4	Jan_24_2008	34.54	33.68	32.4	30.99	30.37	29.65	30.57(3.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-230	-16	-198	3.6	37%	-0.06	-57.5	1.75%	0	-1.7	22	0
5	Jan_23_2008	34.56	33.93	32.79	31.44	30.95	29.29	29.62(-1.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-133	-420	-103	-224	7.71	35%	-0.09	-52.8	1.7%	0	-2.5	12	0

6	Jan_22_2008	34.59	34.24	33.29	32.27	32.03	31.1	30.2(-6.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-119	-230	-96	-186	6.36	36%	-0.06	-47.6	1.7%	0	-2.9	13	0
7	Jan_18_2008	34.61	34.5	33.76	33.18	33.11	32.61	32.23(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-62	-110	-37	-138	4.59	39%	0.03	-46.8	1.52%	0	-2.2	16	0
8	Jan_17_2008	34.6	34.63	34.01	33.56	33.65	32.96	32.34(-1.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-66	-140	-46	-127	3.22	39%	0	-52.5	1.52%	0	-2.6	24	0
9	Jan_16_2008	34.6	34.77	34.31	34.01	34.03	33.61	32.83(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-57	-80	-43	-100	4.09	39%	0.06	-54.7	1.52%	0	-2.8	27	0
10	Jan_15_2008	34.58	34.86	34.58	34.34	34.33	34.35	33.77(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	0	-9	-67	3.87	42%	0.09	-74.5	1.48%	0	-2.1	34	0

11	Jan_14_2008	34.55	34.93	34.75	34.47	34.37	34.45	34.73(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	10	6	-58	1.88	44%	0.06	-85.9	1.44%	0	-0.4	38	0
12	Jan_11_2008	34.53	34.99	34.84	34.45	34.35	34.32	34.11(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10	-5	-54	6.18	42%	0.09	-89.6	1.42%	0	-1.9	44	0
13	Jan_10_2008	34.5	35.1	34.97	34.54	34.46	34.29	34.6(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-40	-11	-44	4.23	43%	0.09	-76.6	1.41%	0	-1	52	0
14	Jan_9_2008	34.47	35.15	35.05	34.68	34.57	34.38	34.5(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-50	-23	-35	5.2	43%	0.12	-59.7	1.41%	0	-1.2	47	0
15	Jan_8_2008	34.43	35.25	35.13	34.86	34.85	34.64	34.39(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-40	-18	-11	1.32	43%	0.12	-44.2	1.42%	0	-1.6	54	0

16	Jan_7_2008	34.39	35.34	35.25	35.07	35.09	34.76	34.63(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-18	-60	-25	5	1.38	43%	0.12	-28.7	1.42%	0	-1.2	46	0
17	Jan_4_2008	34.35	35.41	35.28	35.31	35.31	35.07	34.6(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-16	-50	-24	8	2.1	43%	0.12	-13.2	1.43%	0	-1.4	38	0
18	Jan_3_2008	34.31	35.47	35.3	35.46	35.57	35.43	35.29(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-20	-6	7	1.09	45%	0.15	-4.9	1.41%	0	-0.3	38	0
19	Jan_2_2008	34.26	35.49	35.27	35.47	35.62	35.56	35.39(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	0	-2	1	1.52	45%	0.23	2.5	1.41%	0	-0.2	48	0
20	Dec_31_2007	34.18	35.49	35.17	35.44	35.53	35.71	35.44(-1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	40	1	-23	0.51	45%	0.12	12	1.41%	0	-0.1	42	0

21	Dec_28_2007	34.14	35.5	35.17	35.47	35.46	35.68	35.81(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	40	22	-24	1.02	45%	0.12	19.6	1.41%	0	0.6	47	0
22	Dec_27_2007	34.1	35.49	35.13	35.26	35.36	35.36	35.36(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	10	14	-43	0.62	45%	0.09	19	1.41%	0	-0.2	44	0
23	Dec_26_2007	34.07	35.5	35.23	35.12	35.18	35.24	35.34(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	20	2	-52	0.19	45%	0.15	19.6	1.41%	0	-0.3	47	0
24	Dec_24_2007	34.02	35.47	35.25	35.03	35.05	35.36	35.26(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	60	18	-52	0.67	45%	0.12	18.3	1.4%	0	-0.3	48	0
25	Dec_21_2007	33.98	35.43	35.36	34.85	34.98	35.12	35.56(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	40	23	-53	2.77	45%		7.1	1.4%	0	0.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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