Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 4, 2007

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $34.6500 (0.17%) ($34.5400 - $34.8000) on Thu. Oct. 4, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $34.6500(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.75(-0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.43(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.48(3.49%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   14.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.49% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.59%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.31%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.94%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2007	32.62	33.48	34.43	34.75	34.77	34.69	34.65(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10	-1	106	0.71	48%	0.09	57.6	1.5%	0	1	81	0
2	Oct_3_2007	32.59	33.35	34.34	34.7	34.73	34.79	34.59(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	10	3	122	0.87	49%	0.09	59.7	1.52%	0	1.1	79	0
3	Oct_2_2007	32.56	33.24	34.23	34.61	34.65	34.84	34.87(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	40	15	137	0.69	49%	0.12	65.3	1.52%	0	1.5	84	0
4	Oct_1_2007	32.52	33.12	34.07	34.44	34.47	34.68	35.06(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	50	22	145	1.36	49%	0.12	68.7	1.52%	0	1.8	88	0
5	Sep_28_2007	32.48	32.97	33.77	34.19	34.22	34.46	34.58(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	50	14	137	1.05	49%	0.12	70.4	1.52%	0	1.6	89	0

6	Sep_27_2007	32.44	32.82	33.54	34.07	34.07	34.26	34.41(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	40	16	139	1.63	49%	0.06	70.2	1.52%	0	1.7	80	0
7	Sep_26_2007	32.42	32.68	33.33	33.93	33.96	33.99	34.15(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	10	11	132	0.95	49%	0.09	72.4	1.52%	0	1.7	69	0
8	Sep_25_2007	32.39	32.52	33.13	33.79	33.85	33.89	34(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	10	7	122	1.43	49%	0.09	70.1	1.52%	0	1.7	66	0
9	Sep_24_2007	32.36	32.39	32.93	33.63	33.74	33.94	33.83(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	50	24	115	0.43	49%	0.06	73.4	1.52%	0	1.7	61	0
10	Sep_21_2007	32.34	32.29	32.68	33.26	33.46	33.82	33.97(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	90	32	84	0.65	48%	0.06	73.5	1.53%	0	2.2	65	0

11	Sep_20_2007	32.32	32.16	32.44	32.91	32.99	33.55	33.71(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	130	34	63	0.72	47%	0.06	76.3	1.53%	0	2.3	69	0
12	Sep_19_2007	32.3	32.05	32.28	32.63	32.6	33.1	33.43(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	41	100	37	51	1.5	47%	0.06	84.2	1.53%	0	2.3	65	0
13	Sep_18_2007	32.28	31.91	32.15	32.38	32.32	32.43	33.23(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	29	20	24	44	1.51	47%	0.06	74.3	1.53%	0	2.4	69	0
14	Sep_17_2007	32.26	31.79	32.07	32.14	32.15	32.1	31.97(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10	3	33	0.61	43%	0.03	65	1.45%	0	0.4	56	0
15	Sep_14_2007	32.25	31.74	32.1	32	32.11	32.22	32.22(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	30	9	30	0.45	47%	0.03	52	1.48%	0	0.9	52	0

16	Sep_13_2007	32.24	31.66	32.04	31.89	31.96	32.19	32.29(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	60	10	23	0.98	48%	0.03	36	1.49%	0	1.1	57	0
17	Sep_12_2007	32.23	31.56	31.99	31.87	31.83	32	32.19(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	30	7	24	0.4	47%	0.03	18.2	1.5%	0	1	56	0
18	Sep_11_2007	32.22	31.5	31.87	31.9	31.85	31.73	32.02(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-30	-3	26	0.51	48%	0.03	12	1.51%	0	0.8	62	0
19	Sep_10_2007	32.21	31.46	31.82	32.01	31.92	31.65	31.3(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-9	-70	-23	34	0.53	46%	0	9.1	1.49%	0	-0.3	56	0
20	Sep_7_2007	32.21	31.45	31.9	32.2	32.12	31.97	31.65(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-40	-9	69	0.84	44%	0.03	14.7	1.48%	0	0.3	59	0

21	Sep_6_2007	32.2	31.45	31.89	32.19	32.25	32.18	32.2(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10	5	85	0.44	43%	0.03	10.2	1.51%	0	1.2	68	0
22	Sep_5_2007	32.19	31.44	31.82	32.1	32.07	32.26	32.33(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	40	13	96	0.75	43%	0.03	8	1.54%	0	1.4	71	0
23	Sep_4_2007	32.18	31.43	31.66	31.83	31.89	32.32	32.58(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	100	28	81	1.46	43%	0.12	-1.5	1.54%	0	1.9	62	0
24	Aug_31_2007	32.14	31.4	31.48	31.62	31.61	31.88	32.25(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	60	19	59	0.64	45%	0.06	-7.4	1.53%	0	1.4	58	0
25	Aug_30_2007	32.12	31.36	31.34	31.56	31.44	31.47	31.59(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-0	3	48	0.87	43%		-4.3	1.52%	0	0.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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