Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 13, 2007

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $32.2900 (0.31%) ($32.1600 - $32.4400) on Thu. Sep. 13, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $32.2900(0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.89(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.04(0.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.66(1.99%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.98%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.52%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.76%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2007	32.24	31.66	32.04	31.89	31.96	32.19	32.29(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	60	10	23	0.98	48%	0.03	36	1.49%	0	1.1	57	0
2	Sep_12_2007	32.23	31.56	31.99	31.87	31.83	32	32.19(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	30	7	24	0.4	47%	0.03	18.2	1.5%	0	1	56	0
3	Sep_11_2007	32.22	31.5	31.87	31.9	31.85	31.73	32.02(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-30	-3	26	0.51	48%	0.03	12	1.51%	0	0.8	62	0
4	Sep_10_2007	32.21	31.46	31.82	32.01	31.92	31.65	31.3(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-9	-70	-23	34	0.53	46%	0	9.1	1.49%	0	-0.3	56	0
5	Sep_7_2007	32.21	31.45	31.9	32.2	32.12	31.97	31.65(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-40	-9	69	0.84	44%	0.03	14.7	1.48%	0	0.3	59	0

6	Sep_6_2007	32.2	31.45	31.89	32.19	32.25	32.18	32.2(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10	5	85	0.44	43%	0.03	10.2	1.51%	0	1.2	68	0
7	Sep_5_2007	32.19	31.44	31.82	32.1	32.07	32.26	32.33(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	40	13	96	0.75	43%	0.03	8	1.54%	0	1.4	71	0
8	Sep_4_2007	32.18	31.43	31.66	31.83	31.89	32.32	32.58(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	100	28	81	1.46	43%	0.12	-1.5	1.54%	0	1.9	62	0
9	Aug_31_2007	32.14	31.4	31.48	31.62	31.61	31.88	32.25(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	60	19	59	0.64	45%	0.06	-7.4	1.53%	0	1.4	58	0
10	Aug_30_2007	32.12	31.36	31.34	31.56	31.44	31.47	31.59(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-0	3	48	0.87	43%	0.03	-4.3	1.52%	0	0.4	55	0

11	Aug_29_2007	32.11	31.38	31.24	31.54	31.52	31.34	31.76(2.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	8	-40	-1	35	4.06	43%	0.06	-1.6	1.52%	0	0.6	52	0
12	Aug_28_2007	32.09	31.39	31.09	31.49	31.53	31.42	30.99(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-20	-8	6	1.8	40%	0.03	-9.9	1.49%	0	-0.7	36	0
13	Aug_27_2007	32.08	31.44	31.1	31.44	31.56	31.69	31.49(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	40	12	-4	0.68	42%	-0.03	-20.7	1.49%	0	0.1	41	0
14	Aug_24_2007	32.09	31.45	31.07	31.31	31.35	31.64	31.99(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	70	21	-23	1.17	43%	0.06	-40.1	1.49%	0	0.9	43	0
15	Aug_23_2007	32.07	31.45	30.97	31.08	31.17	31.43	31.48(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	70	24	-43	1.25	43%	0.06	-71.6	1.48%	0	0.1	50	0

16	Aug_22_2007	32.05	31.39	30.96	30.89	31.01	31.05	31.5(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	20	21	-66	1.97	43%	0.06	-88.5	1.49%	0	0.2	44	0
17	Aug_21_2007	32.03	31.45	31.02	30.65	30.73	30.91	30.72(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	50	-5	-93	0.93	40%	0.06	-96.6	1.46%	0	-1	37	0
18	Aug_20_2007	32.01	31.56	31.17	30.72	30.69	30.98	30.84(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	60	10	-80	2.24	40%	0.06	-88.6	1.46%	0	-0.8	40	0
19	Aug_17_2007	31.99	31.7	31.31	30.8	30.73	30.55	30.87(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-50	0	-72	0.82	42%	0.06	-84.5	1.48%	0	-0.9	41	0
20	Aug_16_2007	31.97	31.83	31.38	30.85	30.85	30.41	30.5(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-100	-31	-74	4.39	42%	0.06	-80.3	1.47%	0	-1.3	52	0

21	Aug_15_2007	31.95	32.01	31.54	31.04	31.09	30.92	30.31(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-30	-32	-56	4.01	42%	0.06	-77.6	1.47%	0	-1.7	42	0
22	Aug_14_2007	31.93	32.18	31.73	31.45	31.16	31.29	31.06(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	0	-15	-31	1.29	44%	0.06	-67.5	1.44%	0	-1.1	38	0
23	Aug_13_2007	31.91	32.34	31.82	31.68	31.45	31.27	31.26(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-60	-5	-22	0.41	44%	0.09	-55.9	1.44%	0	-1	38	0
24	Aug_10_2007	31.88	32.5	31.88	31.91	31.61	31.02	31.11(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-160	-28	-38	1.27	44%	0.09	-47.5	1.47%	0	-1.2	32	0
25	Aug_9_2007	31.85	32.67	31.86	31.98	31.83	31.62	31.46(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-60	-29	-65	2.11	44%		-42.7	1.5%	0	-1	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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