Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 26, 2006

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $25.1900 (1.08%) ($25.0500 - $25.2600) on Thu. Oct. 26, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $25.1900(1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.86(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.66(2.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.49(2.86%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.56%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.93%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.74%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.16%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.65%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_26_2006	23.14	24.49	24.66	24.86	24.87	25.03	25.19(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	51	50	33	104	0.42	80%	0.13	82.2	0.77%	0	2.4	78	0
2	Oct_25_2006	23.11	24.43	24.59	24.73	24.74	24.81	24.92(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	20	20	81	0.54	78%	0.09	85.3	0.76%	0	2	61	0
3	Oct_24_2006	23.09	24.38	24.52	24.63	24.66	24.72	24.75(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	20	16	51	0.3	81%	0.09	80.6	0.76%	0	1.5	53	0
4	Oct_23_2006	23.07	24.34	24.48	24.54	24.58	24.68	24.73(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	30	13	37	0.73	81%	0.09	79.8	0.8%	0	1.6	63	0
5	Oct_20_2006	23.05	24.3	24.43	24.5	24.48	24.6	24.72(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	30	15	36	0.19	81%	0.04	75.7	0.81%	0	1.7	65	0

6	Oct_19_2006	23.04	24.25	24.38	24.44	24.42	24.49	24.55(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	20	10	29	0.31	84%	0.09	74.7	0.81%	0	1.3	64	0
7	Oct_18_2006	23.02	24.22	24.37	24.43	24.38	24.36	24.39(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10	3	34	0.33	84%	0.04	76.8	0.89%	0	0.7	59	0
8	Oct_17_2006	23.01	24.19	24.38	24.4	24.39	24.35	24.33(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10	-2	42	0.2	78%	0.09	64.7	0.89%	0	0.5	61	0
9	Oct_16_2006	22.99	24.15	24.37	24.39	24.37	24.41	24.5(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	10	5	50	0.58	78%	0.04	60	0.91%	0	1.2	67	0
10	Oct_13_2006	22.98	24.11	24.33	24.35	24.32	24.42	24.42(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	30	10	52	0.18	70%	0.04	63.3	0.92%	0	1.1	66	0

11	Oct_12_2006	22.97	24.07	24.3	24.31	24.28	24.33	24.53(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	10	8	49	0.45	65%	0.09	66.7	0.96%	0	1.6	73	0
12	Oct_11_2006	22.95	24.03	24.25	24.3	24.23	24.23	24.22(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10	-8	48	0.85	63%	0.04	80.4	0.97%	0	0.7	64	0
13	Oct_10_2006	22.94	24.01	24.23	24.37	24.29	24.24	24.3(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-20	2	66	0.61	63%	0.09	88.9	0.98%	0	1	67	0
14	Oct_9_2006	22.92	23.98	24.19	24.34	24.32	24.23	24.29(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-30	-2	73	0.58	63%	0.04	77.6	0.98%	0	1	74	0
15	Oct_6_2006	22.91	23.93	24.16	24.31	24.28	24.35	24.2(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	20	1	74	0.43	63%	0.09	60.9	0.98%	0	0.8	63	0

16	Oct_5_2006	22.89	23.88	24.12	24.27	24.25	24.41	24.47(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	40	20	81	0.75	60%	0.04	47.6	0.98%	0	1.7	73	0
17	Oct_4_2006	22.88	23.82	24.05	24.2	24.13	24.21	24.57(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	10	19	71	0.99	60%	0.04	38.8	1.02%	0	2.3	70	0
18	Oct_3_2006	22.87	23.76	23.97	24.08	24.05	24.08	24.19(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	0	6	54	2.58	57%	0	29.8	1.02%	0	1.6	66	0
19	Oct_2_2006	22.87	23.75	23.91	24.03	24.02	24.06	24.11(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	10	7	44	0.37	57%	0	31.2	1.03%	0	1.4	66	0
20	Sep_29_2006	22.87	23.73	23.87	23.99	23.97	24.02	24.03(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	10	8	49	1.02	64%	-0.04	37.1	1.04%	0	1.2	72	0

21	Sep_28_2006	22.88	23.71	23.83	23.93	23.92	23.99	24.08(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	17	20	7	46	0.25	64%	-0.04	39.6	1.17%	0	1.5	76	0
22	Sep_27_2006	22.89	23.7	23.8	23.89	23.87	23.92	23.97(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	10	6	52	1.1	61%	-0.04	46.2	1.17%	0	1.2	74	0
23	Sep_26_2006	22.9	23.68	23.77	23.86	23.85	23.85	23.94(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-0	8	54	0.18	61%	-0.04	48.4	1.19%	0	1.2	61	0
24	Sep_25_2006	22.91	23.66	23.74	23.77	23.83	23.82	23.91(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	0	3	37	0.36	61%	-0.04	39.3	1.19%	0	1.2	48	0
25	Sep_22_2006	22.92	23.64	23.68	23.73	23.77	23.85	23.77(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	30	3	23	1.48	61%		29.2	1.19%	0	0.6	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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