Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 5, 2006

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $24.4700 (-0.41%) ($24.4000 - $24.5500) on Thu. Oct. 5, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $24.4700(-0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.27(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.12(1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.88(2.47%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.85%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.66%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.25%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -0.8%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.22%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.77%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2006	22.89	23.88	24.12	24.27	24.25	24.41	24.47(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	40	20	81	0.75	60%	0.04	47.6	0.98%	0	1.7	73	0
2	Oct_4_2006	22.88	23.82	24.05	24.2	24.13	24.21	24.57(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	10	19	71	0.99	60%	0.04	38.8	1.02%	0	2.3	70	0
3	Oct_3_2006	22.87	23.76	23.97	24.08	24.05	24.08	24.19(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	0	6	54	2.58	57%	0	29.8	1.02%	0	1.6	66	0
4	Oct_2_2006	22.87	23.75	23.91	24.03	24.02	24.06	24.11(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	10	7	44	0.37	57%	0	31.2	1.03%	0	1.4	66	0
5	Sep_29_2006	22.87	23.73	23.87	23.99	23.97	24.02	24.03(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	10	8	49	1.02	64%	-0.04	37.1	1.04%	0	1.2	72	0

6	Sep_28_2006	22.88	23.71	23.83	23.93	23.92	23.99	24.08(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	17	20	7	46	0.25	64%	-0.04	39.6	1.17%	0	1.5	76	0
7	Sep_27_2006	22.89	23.7	23.8	23.89	23.87	23.92	23.97(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	10	6	52	1.1	61%	-0.04	46.2	1.17%	0	1.2	74	0
8	Sep_26_2006	22.9	23.68	23.77	23.86	23.85	23.85	23.94(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-0	8	54	0.18	61%	-0.04	48.4	1.19%	0	1.2	61	0
9	Sep_25_2006	22.91	23.66	23.74	23.77	23.83	23.82	23.91(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	0	3	37	0.36	61%	-0.04	39.3	1.19%	0	1.2	48	0
10	Sep_22_2006	22.92	23.64	23.68	23.73	23.77	23.85	23.77(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	30	3	23	1.48	61%	0	29.2	1.19%	0	0.6	47	0

11	Sep_21_2006	22.92	23.62	23.63	23.71	23.74	23.83	23.85(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	30	8	12	0.57	63%	-0.04	22.5	1.19%	0	1.1	51	0
12	Sep_20_2006	22.93	23.59	23.57	23.69	23.69	23.69	23.82(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	0	4	-2	0.33	63%	0	12.4	1.21%	0	1.1	50	0
13	Sep_19_2006	22.93	23.59	23.53	23.67	23.68	23.64	23.5(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-10	-5	-12	0.44	61%	-0.04	12.4	1.21%	0	-0.4	45	0
14	Sep_18_2006	22.94	23.59	23.57	23.7	23.69	23.7	23.73(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	0	6	1	0.23	61%	0	34.8	1.2%	0	0.7	53	0
15	Sep_15_2006	22.94	23.58	23.58	23.62	23.65	23.71	23.65(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	20	10	2	0.56	66%	-0.04	49.4	1.21%	0	0.4	58	0

16	Sep_14_2006	22.95	23.58	23.59	23.53	23.53	23.68	23.77(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	11	40	14	0	0.23	67%	-0.04	55.3	1.29%	0	1	60	0
17	Sep_13_2006	22.96	23.57	23.59	23.42	23.4	23.59	23.7(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	9	50	13	-4	0.14	62%	0	58.8	1.3%	0	0.6	61	0
18	Sep_12_2006	22.96	23.55	23.59	23.38	23.3	23.39	23.65(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-1	20	2	-9	0.7	60%	-0.04	64.7	1.35%	0	0.5	54	0
19	Sep_11_2006	22.97	23.51	23.58	23.44	23.34	23.22	23.32(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-50	-9	-8	0.19	58%	0	55	1.36%	0	-0.7	43	0
20	Sep_8_2006	22.97	23.48	23.59	23.54	23.5	23.21	23.21(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-90	-20	-5	0.13	55%	-0.04	47.5	1.36%	0	-0.8	38	0

21	Sep_7_2006	22.98	23.46	23.62	23.65	23.66	23.47	23.22(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-15	-50	-21	2	0.13	55%	0	51.7	1.39%	0	-0.7	41	0
22	Sep_6_2006	22.98	23.45	23.63	23.76	23.79	23.79	23.5(-1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	0	-5	15	0.61	53%	0	57	1.38%	0	0.1	45	0
23	Sep_5_2006	22.98	23.42	23.64	23.81	23.81	23.84	23.93(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	10	7	27	0.47	52%	0.04	59.9	1.38%	0	1.3	69	0
24	Sep_1_2006	22.97	23.37	23.6	23.74	23.76	23.84	23.86(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	14	10	7	34	0.13	52%	0.04	55.7	1.4%	0	1.3	78	0
25	Aug_31_2006	22.96	23.32	23.58	23.65	23.7	23.79	23.76(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	18	30	9	43	0.43	54%		50.9	1.4%	0	1.2	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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