Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 16, 2006

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.6600 (1.33%) ($23.5100 - $23.6700) on Wed. Aug. 16, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $23.6600(1.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.04(2.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.98(2.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.73(4.09%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.98% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.21%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.43%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.87%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2006	22.91	22.73	22.98	23.04	23.08	23.45	23.66(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	120	26	31	0.36	47%	0.04	74.7	1.6%	0	2.1	72	0
2	Aug_15_2006	22.9	22.65	22.91	22.88	22.86	23.04	23.35(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	50	18	22	0.23	46%	0	58	1.59%	0	1.5	70	0
3	Aug_14_2006	22.9	22.55	22.83	22.78	22.79	22.7	22.78(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	-30	-0	13	0.22	43%	0	37.2	1.57%	0	0.5	67	0
4	Aug_11_2006	22.9	22.49	22.85	22.8	22.8	22.67	22.61(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-40	-12	21	0.5	41%	0	24.2	1.58%	0	0.2	63	0
5	Aug_10_2006	22.9	22.44	22.88	22.88	22.87	22.88	22.78(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	0	-6	50	0.96	41%	0	19.1	1.58%	0	0.6	76	0

6	Aug_9_2006	22.9	22.4	22.86	22.92	22.97	22.94	22.87(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-0	3	67	0.16	41%	0	12.9	1.59%	0	0.9	73	0
7	Aug_8_2006	22.9	22.4	22.81	22.93	22.97	22.86	22.85(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-20	-3	73	0.58	41%	0	11	1.59%	0	0.9	68	0
8	Aug_7_2006	22.9	22.37	22.75	22.93	22.92	23	22.88(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	30	2	86	0.14	41%	0	4.6	1.59%	0	1	77	0
9	Aug_4_2006	22.9	22.36	22.69	22.9	22.87	22.97	23.01(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	30	30	5	103	0.3	44%	0	4.6	1.6%	0	1.2	80	0
10	Aug_3_2006	22.9	22.34	22.57	22.89	22.81	22.85	22.98(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	0	8	106	0.35	43%	0	5.5	1.62%	0	1.2	70	0

11	Aug_2_2006	22.9	22.33	22.47	22.79	22.8	22.76	22.94(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10	7	98	0.2	44%	0.04	11	1.63%	0	1.2	64	0
12	Aug_1_2006	22.89	22.32	22.37	22.68	22.73	22.77	22.67(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	20	5	83	0.43	44%	0	14.5	1.63%	0	0.7	53	0
13	Jul_31_2006	22.89	22.32	22.25	22.58	22.64	22.84	22.91(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	70	14	58	0.51	44%	0.04	19.5	1.64%	0	1	49	0
14	Jul_28_2006	22.88	22.34	22.09	22.45	22.47	22.7	22.96(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	70	24	27	0.34	44%	0.09	21.1	1.64%	0	1.1	48	0
15	Jul_27_2006	22.86	22.31	21.96	22.21	22.28	22.45	22.45(0.27%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	9	60	17	-14	0.34	42%	0	14.3	1.61%	0	0.3	43	0

16	Jul_26_2006	22.86	22.28	21.9	22.1	22.08	22.23	22.39(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	40	9	-43	0.65	42%	0.04	4.9	1.61%	0	0.2	40	0
17	Jul_25_2006	22.85	22.24	21.89	22.03	22.02	22.11	22.21(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	30	18	-53	0.28	42%	0	1.2	1.61%	0	-0.1	42	0
18	Jul_24_2006	22.85	22.23	21.93	21.86	21.89	21.92	22.23(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	10	12	-79	0.3	42%	0.04	-2.3	1.61%	0	0	36	0
19	Jul_21_2006	22.84	22.22	21.99	21.69	21.71	21.94	21.76(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	80	6	-102	0.14	40%	-0.04	-7.4	1.58%	0	-0.8	35	0
20	Jul_20_2006	22.85	22.24	22.08	21.67	21.59	21.87	21.91(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	80	13	-100	0.44	40%	0	-6.3	1.58%	0	-0.6	42	0

21	Jul_19_2006	22.85	22.25	22.18	21.68	21.51	21.49	22.04(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-22	-30	0	-87	0.25	41%	0	3.2	1.59%	0	-0.4	56	0
22	Jul_18_2006	22.85	22.24	22.25	21.74	21.6	21.32	21.37(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-110	-30	-81	0.29	39%	-0.04	14.5	1.54%	0	-1.5	51	0
23	Jul_17_2006	22.86	22.25	22.44	22.03	21.91	21.54	21.35(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-36	-130	-35	-37	0.46	41%	-0.04	30.1	1.55%	0	-1.6	46	0
24	Jul_14_2006	22.87	22.26	22.61	22.33	22.25	21.88	21.7(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-21	-130	-31	10	0.92	42%	-0.04	45.6	1.55%	0	-1	50	0
25	Jul_13_2006	22.88	22.27	22.71	22.55	22.53	22.28	21.92(-2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-9	-80	-26	42	0.93	42%		57	1.56%	0	-0.6	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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