Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 29, 2006

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $22.6100 (4.34%) ($21.9300 - $22.6200) on Thu. Jun. 29, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.51% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $22.6100(4.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-0%)    XOP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.755% (StdDev 1.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.97(2.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.87(3.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.86(3.43%)
To recent high   -9.8%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.06% (three month std-dev: 1.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.83%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.55%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.55%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060729

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2006	22.81	21.86	21.87	21.97	21.93	21.98	22.61(4.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	10	17	74	1.76	47%	0.04	-39.2	1.51%	0	1.1	60	0
2	Jun_28_2006	22.8	21.89	21.78	21.85	21.83	21.76	21.67(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-30	-12	54	0.09	42%	0.04	-39.1	1.41%	0	-0.3	49	0
3	Jun_27_2006	22.79	21.95	21.71	21.94	21.9	21.76	21.65(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10	-1	47	0.35	42%	0	-33.2	1.41%	0	-0.4	43	0
4	Jun_26_2006	22.79	22.01	21.63	21.95	21.92	21.89	21.99(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10	9	21	0.18	44%	0	-31.3	1.41%	0	-0	43	0
5	Jun_23_2006	22.79	22.07	21.55	21.83	21.85	21.91	21.95(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	20	6	-21	0.1	44%	0	-32.1	1.41%	0	-0.2	39	0

6	Jun_22_2006	22.79	22.13	21.51	21.74	21.77	21.95	22(-0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	60	12	-60	0.44	44%	0	-32.3	1.41%	0	-0.2	34	0
7	Jun_21_2006	22.79	22.16	21.48	21.69	21.66	21.78	22.12(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	30	24	-88	1.07	43%	0	-34.7	1.42%	0	-0	36	0
8	Jun_20_2006	22.79	22.19	21.47	21.46	21.56	21.59	21.69(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	20	20	-133	0.27	40%	0	-48	1.4%	0	-0.6	34	0
9	Jun_19_2006	22.79	22.24	21.54	21.25	21.39	21.59	21.4(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	70	6	-170	0.75	40%	0	-61.4	1.39%	0	-1	35	0
10	Jun_16_2006	22.79	22.33	21.67	21.22	21.22	21.53	21.5(-1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-39	100	9	-183	0.27	40%	-0.04	-70.8	1.39%	0	-1	32	0

11	Jun_15_2006	22.8	22.4	21.84	21.24	21.2	21.26	21.74(3.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-37	10	11	-182	0.75	40%	0.04	-81.2	1.38%	0	-0.8	34	0
12	Jun_14_2006	22.79	22.45	21.99	21.25	21.25	20.91	20.96(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-73	-110	-30	-200	0.98	38%	0	-94.7	1.31%	0	-1.9	33	0
13	Jun_13_2006	22.79	22.61	22.2	21.5	21.42	21.14	20.67(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-82	-100	-50	-178	1.56	37%	0	-96.5	1.31%	0	-2.5	28	0
14	Jun_12_2006	22.79	22.77	22.43	21.86	21.79	21.58	21.25(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-58	-80	-33	-134	0.8	39%	0	-104.4	1.27%	0	-2.3	36	0
15	Jun_9_2006	22.79	22.92	22.65	22.17	22.05	21.71	21.58(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-58	-120	-44	-100	0.33	43%	0.04	-102.5	1.27%	0	-2.1	34	0

16	Jun_8_2006	22.78	23.08	22.82	22.53	22.37	22	21.78(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-50	-140	-48	-55	1.28	43%	0.04	-83.4	1.27%	0	-1.9	38	0
17	Jun_7_2006	22.77	23.24	22.93	22.84	22.83	22.39	22.22(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-140	-31	-17	0.37	44%	0.04	-60.5	1.24%	0	-1.4	43	0
18	Jun_6_2006	22.76	23.37	23	23.01	23.01	22.75	22.47(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-80	-30	-17	0.99	44%	0	-47.9	1.24%	0	-1.2	34	0
19	Jun_5_2006	22.76	23.49	23.02	23.09	23.16	23.27	22.81(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	40	-6	-23	0.82	45%	0.09	-40.3	1.23%	0	-0.8	37	0
20	Jun_2_2006	22.74	23.6	23.05	23.19	23.15	23.26	23.38(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	30	12	-27	0.27	47%	0.09	-32	1.19%	0	-0.3	38	0

21	Jun_1_2006	22.72	23.65	23	23.16	23.11	23.05	23.3(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-20	9	-68	1.17	48%	0.09	-31.3	1.2%	0	-0.4	33	0
22	May_31_2006	22.7	23.69	22.95	23.04	23.13	23.04	23.11(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-20	2	-127	0.4	47%	0.09	-36.4	1.21%	0	-0.7	27	0
23	May_30_2006	22.68	23.76	23.02	22.98	23.02	23.17	22.83(-2.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-38	50	1	-156	0.78	45%	0.13	-37	1.21%	0	-1.1	25	0
24	May_26_2006	22.65	23.82	23.12	22.94	23	23.22	23.32(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-26	70	24	-177	0.67	48%	0.09	-40.7	1.18%	0	-0.6	30	0
25	May_25_2006	22.63	23.87	23.2	22.88	22.81	22.87	23.24(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-44	10	9	-204	0.58	48%		-42.2	1.19%	0	-0.8	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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