Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 21, 2006

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.9400 (0.29%) ($23.8800 - $24.1000) on Fri. Apr. 21, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $23.9400(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.6(1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.28(2.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.19(3.23%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.82%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.17%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.2%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.35%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.01%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.88%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2006	21.76	23.19	23.28	23.6	23.64	23.88	23.94(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	80	38	51	0.53	68%	0.23	49.7	0.95%	0	1.8	64	0
2	Apr_20_2006	21.71	23.13	23.22	23.38	23.41	23.68	23.87(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	80	41	30	1.02	64%	0.18	35.4	0.96%	0	1.9	62	0
3	Apr_19_2006	21.67	23.07	23.19	23.17	23.16	23.4	23.72(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	31	70	35	17	0.87	64%	0.23	24.5	0.99%	0	1.9	66	0
4	Apr_18_2006	21.62	23.02	23.17	22.98	22.97	23.15	23.38(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	50	18	8	0.71	60%	0.19	12.2	0.98%	0	1.1	65	0
5	Apr_17_2006	21.58	23	23.15	22.93	22.9	22.92	23.1(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	0	9	10	0.96	59%	0.19	19.3	0.98%	0	0.3	58	0

6	Apr_13_2006	21.54	23	23.14	22.9	22.91	22.78	22.83(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-40	-21	-1	0.84	57%	0.14	30	0.98%	0	-0.5	50	0
7	Apr_12_2006	21.51	23	23.14	23.05	23.02	22.87	22.8(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-15	-50	-29	27	0.51	55%	0.14	62.3	0.98%	0	-0.6	54	0
8	Apr_11_2006	21.48	22.99	23.18	23.22	23.2	23.03	22.79(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-6	-50	-25	51	0.61	57%	0.19	92.6	0.99%	0	-0.6	49	0
9	Apr_10_2006	21.44	22.98	23.16	23.37	23.37	23.16	23.14(0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-60	-16	76	0.25	60%	0.19	107.2	0.97%	0	0.5	58	0
10	Apr_7_2006	21.4	22.94	23.16	23.39	23.47	23.38	22.96(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	10	-20	-12	76	0.9	60%	0.19	99.4	0.97%	0	0	51	0

11	Apr_6_2006	21.36	22.9	23.12	23.41	23.46	23.58	23.54(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	40	13	95	0.63	66%	0.23	86.8	0.92%	0	1.4	61	0
12	Apr_5_2006	21.31	22.81	23.03	23.32	23.34	23.57	23.66(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	70	34	86	0.46	66%	0.19	72.1	0.92%	0	1.7	63	0
13	Apr_4_2006	21.27	22.71	22.95	23.14	23.19	23.34	23.57(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	50	39	64	0.86	67%	0.24	56.4	0.92%	0	1.7	64	0
14	Apr_3_2006	21.22	22.61	22.86	22.93	22.97	23.12	23.23(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	50	20	28	0.82	69%	0.24	43.4	0.92%	0	1.3	64	0
15	Mar_31_2006	21.17	22.55	22.83	22.82	22.82	23.03	23.05(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	60	16	26	0.55	69%	0.19	34.1	1%	0	1.1	67	0

16	Mar_30_2006	21.13	22.5	22.8	22.78	22.73	22.83	23.1(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	20	19	43	0.9	67%	0.19	31.5	1%	0	1.3	71	0
17	Mar_29_2006	21.09	22.45	22.8	22.7	22.68	22.62	22.73(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-20	-6	50	0.61	66%	0.19	28.1	1%	0	0.7	72	0
18	Mar_28_2006	21.05	22.43	22.78	22.74	22.71	22.64	22.52(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-30	-11	82	0.7	66%	0.19	31.3	0.99%	0	0.2	71	0
19	Mar_27_2006	21.01	22.41	22.79	22.78	22.76	22.75	22.68(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-10	-7	115	0.58	66%	0.19	34.9	0.98%	0	0.6	74	0
20	Mar_24_2006	20.97	22.39	22.75	22.78	22.78	22.78	22.88(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	-10	-1	136	0.82	66%	0.19	41.1	0.98%	0	1.1	70	0

21	Mar_23_2006	20.93	22.36	22.67	22.83	22.82	22.77	22.69(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-20	-5	138	0.24	66%	0.14	46.4	0.98%	0	0.8	66	0
22	Mar_22_2006	20.9	22.33	22.58	22.87	22.84	22.78	22.91(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	-20	-2	137	1.3	66%	0.24	55.3	0.97%	0	1.5	63	0
23	Mar_21_2006	20.85	22.3	22.46	22.84	22.86	22.86	22.72(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	0	2	119	0.44	66%	0.19	58.3	0.97%	0	1.1	57	0
24	Mar_20_2006	20.81	22.26	22.36	22.8	22.84	22.91	22.95(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	30	21	118	0.31	68%	0.19	60.2	0.95%	0	1.8	67	0
25	Mar_17_2006	20.77	22.22	22.26	22.66	22.69	22.85	22.87(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	50	25	86	0.28	68%		59.5	0.96%	0	1.9	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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