Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 4, 2006

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.5700 (1.46%) ($23.3700 - $23.6100) on Tue. Apr. 4, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $23.5700(1.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.14(1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.95(2.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.71(3.79%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 3.5%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 4.94%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.91%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.58%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.72%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2006	21.27	22.71	22.95	23.14	23.19	23.34	23.57(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	50	39	64	0.86	67%	0.24	56.4	0.92%	0	1.7	64	0
2	Apr_3_2006	21.22	22.61	22.86	22.93	22.97	23.12	23.23(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	50	20	28	0.82	69%	0.24	43.4	0.92%	0	1.3	64	0
3	Mar_31_2006	21.17	22.55	22.83	22.82	22.82	23.03	23.05(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	60	16	26	0.55	69%	0.19	34.1	1%	0	1.1	67	0
4	Mar_30_2006	21.13	22.5	22.8	22.78	22.73	22.83	23.1(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	20	19	43	0.9	67%	0.19	31.5	1%	0	1.3	71	0
5	Mar_29_2006	21.09	22.45	22.8	22.7	22.68	22.62	22.73(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-20	-6	50	0.61	66%	0.19	28.1	1%	0	0.7	72	0

6	Mar_28_2006	21.05	22.43	22.78	22.74	22.71	22.64	22.52(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-30	-11	82	0.7	66%	0.19	31.3	0.99%	0	0.2	71	0
7	Mar_27_2006	21.01	22.41	22.79	22.78	22.76	22.75	22.68(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-10	-7	115	0.58	66%	0.19	34.9	0.98%	0	0.6	74	0
8	Mar_24_2006	20.97	22.39	22.75	22.78	22.78	22.78	22.88(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	-10	-1	136	0.82	66%	0.19	41.1	0.98%	0	1.1	70	0
9	Mar_23_2006	20.93	22.36	22.67	22.83	22.82	22.77	22.69(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-20	-5	138	0.24	66%	0.14	46.4	0.98%	0	0.8	66	0
10	Mar_22_2006	20.9	22.33	22.58	22.87	22.84	22.78	22.91(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	-20	-2	137	1.3	66%	0.24	55.3	0.97%	0	1.5	63	0

11	Mar_21_2006	20.85	22.3	22.46	22.84	22.86	22.86	22.72(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	0	2	119	0.44	66%	0.19	58.3	0.97%	0	1.1	57	0
12	Mar_20_2006	20.81	22.26	22.36	22.8	22.84	22.91	22.95(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	30	21	118	0.31	68%	0.19	60.2	0.95%	0	1.8	67	0
13	Mar_17_2006	20.77	22.22	22.26	22.66	22.69	22.85	22.87(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	50	25	86	0.28	68%	0.19	59.5	0.96%	0	1.9	57	0
14	Mar_16_2006	20.73	22.17	22.16	22.49	22.54	22.77	22.89(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	80	42	62	1.19	69%	0.24	52.8	0.96%	0	2.3	60	0
15	Mar_15_2006	20.68	22.11	22.09	22.25	22.31	22.54	22.75(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	36	80	40	23	0.57	69%	0.19	40.2	0.97%	0	2.4	58	0

16	Mar_14_2006	20.64	22.07	22.04	22.03	22.06	22.31	22.55(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	23	80	34	-11	0.95	69%	0.19	31.7	0.97%	0	2.1	53	0
17	Mar_13_2006	20.6	22.03	21.98	21.86	21.87	22.08	22.23(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	7	70	23	-42	0.72	68%	0.15	15.8	0.96%	0	1	55	0
18	Mar_10_2006	20.57	22.01	21.99	21.86	21.74	21.82	22.01(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	20	8	-52	0.79	68%	0.19	11	0.96%	0	0	48	0
19	Mar_9_2006	20.53	22.01	22.01	21.8	21.76	21.82	21.69(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-40	-13	-56	1.56	67%	0.15	12	0.95%	0	-1.4	46	0
20	Mar_8_2006	20.5	22.01	22.06	21.91	21.83	21.66	21.67(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-70	-28	-36	2.05	68%	0.15	18	0.95%	0	-1.5	48	0

21	Mar_7_2006	20.47	22.01	22.13	22.04	21.97	21.87	21.69(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-40	-18	-4	0.59	65%	0.15	23.9	0.96%	0	-1.3	45	0
22	Mar_6_2006	20.44	22	22.16	22.12	22.1	22	21.95(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-30	-12	16	0.37	68%	0.1	27.5	0.96%	0	-0.2	56	0
23	Mar_3_2006	20.42	21.99	22.16	22.2	22.14	22.07	22(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-30	-13	39	2.16	68%	0.2	32.2	0.95%	0	0	58	0
24	Mar_2_2006	20.38	21.99	22.18	22.2	22.21	22.2	22.23(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10	-1	56	0.6	70%	0.15	38.1	0.95%	0	1	61	0
25	Mar_1_2006	20.35	21.97	22.15	22.24	22.24	22.21	22.35(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10	-0	62	0.72	72%		54.2	0.94%	0	1.5	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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