Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 22, 2006

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $22.9100 (0.84%) ($22.6500 - $22.9100) on Wed. Mar. 22, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $22.9100(0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.87(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.58(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.33(2.6%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2006	20.9	22.33	22.58	22.87	22.84	22.78	22.91(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	-20	-2	137	1.3	66%	0.24	55.3	0.97%	0	1.5	63	NAN
2	Mar_21_2006	20.85	22.3	22.46	22.84	22.86	22.86	22.72(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	0	2	119	0.44	66%	0.19	58.3	0.97%	0	1.1	57	NAN
3	Mar_20_2006	20.81	22.26	22.36	22.8	22.84	22.91	22.95(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	30	21	118	0.31	68%	0.19	60.2	0.95%	0	1.8	67	NAN
4	Mar_17_2006	20.77	22.22	22.26	22.66	22.69	22.85	22.87(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	50	25	86	0.28	68%	0.19	59.5	0.96%	0	1.9	57	NAN
5	Mar_16_2006	20.73	22.17	22.16	22.49	22.54	22.77	22.89(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	80	42	62	1.19	69%	0.24	52.8	0.96%	0	2.3	60	NAN

6	Mar_15_2006	20.68	22.11	22.09	22.25	22.31	22.54	22.75(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	36	80	40	23	0.57	69%	0.19	40.2	0.97%	0	2.4	58	NAN
7	Mar_14_2006	20.64	22.07	22.04	22.03	22.06	22.31	22.55(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	23	80	34	-11	0.95	69%	0.19	31.7	0.97%	0	2.1	53	NAN
8	Mar_13_2006	20.6	22.03	21.98	21.86	21.87	22.08	22.23(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	7	70	23	-42	0.72	68%	0.15	15.8	0.96%	0	1	55	NAN
9	Mar_10_2006	20.57	22.01	21.99	21.86	21.74	21.82	22.01(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	20	8	-52	0.79	68%	0.19	11	0.96%	0	0	48	NAN
10	Mar_9_2006	20.53	22.01	22.01	21.8	21.76	21.82	21.69(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-40	-13	-56	1.56	67%	0.15	12	0.95%	0	-1.4	46	NAN

11	Mar_8_2006	20.5	22.01	22.06	21.91	21.83	21.66	21.67(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-70	-28	-36	2.05	68%	0.15	18	0.95%	0	-1.5	48	NAN
12	Mar_7_2006	20.47	22.01	22.13	22.04	21.97	21.87	21.69(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-40	-18	-4	0.59	65%	0.15	23.9	0.96%	0	-1.3	45	NAN
13	Mar_6_2006	20.44	22	22.16	22.12	22.1	22	21.95(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-30	-12	16	0.37	68%	0.1	27.5	0.96%	0	-0.2	56	NAN
14	Mar_3_2006	20.42	21.99	22.16	22.2	22.14	22.07	22(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-30	-13	39	2.16	68%	0.2	32.2	0.95%	0	0	58	NAN
15	Mar_2_2006	20.38	21.99	22.18	22.2	22.21	22.2	22.23(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10	-1	56	0.6	70%	0.15	38.1	0.95%	0	1	61	NAN

16	Mar_1_2006	20.35	21.97	22.15	22.24	22.21	22.21	22.35(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10	-0	62	0.72	72%	0.15	54.2	0.94%	0	1.5	67	NAN
17	Feb_28_2006	20.32	21.94	22.12	22.23	22.24	22.23	22.05(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	18	-0	-1	76	1.64	70%	0.15	76.1	0.93%	0	0.5	67	NAN
18	Feb_27_2006	20.29	21.93	22.09	22.22	22.25	22.27	22.36(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	10	7	85	0.37	74%	0.15	94.5	0.91%	0	1.8	71	NAN
19	Feb_24_2006	20.26	21.9	22.03	22.17	22.2	22.26	22.22(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	28	20	9	83	0.33	74%	0.15	124	0.91%	0	1.5	67	NAN
20	Feb_23_2006	20.23	21.88	21.99	22.12	22.15	22.22	22.22(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	30	14	79	0.45	74%	0.15	141.7	0.92%	0	1.6	63	NAN

21	Feb_22_2006	20.2	21.83	21.94	22.05	22.07	22.14	22.29(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	20	11	57	0.46	74%	0.15	123.6	0.92%	0	1.9	52	NAN
22	Feb_21_2006	20.17	21.76	21.86	21.99	22	22.08	22(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	30	11	36	0.43	72%	0.15	99.2	0.91%	0	0.9	50	NAN
23	Feb_17_2006	20.14	21.71	21.82	21.94	21.94	22	22.12(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	20	15	24	0.5	74%	0.15	62.4	0.9%	0	1	56	NAN
24	Feb_16_2006	20.11	21.63	21.77	21.87	21.86	21.91	21.96(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	10	5	4	0.5	74%	0.1	50	0.92%	0	0.8	54	NAN
25	Feb_15_2006	20.09	21.58	21.74	21.84	21.84	21.88	21.87(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	10	7	0	0.66	74%		41.7	0.93%	0	0.7	54	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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