Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 14, 2006

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $22.0000 (1.1%) ($21.6500 - $22.0000) on Tue. Feb. 14, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $22.0000(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.81(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.76(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.53(2.18%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   16.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060314

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2006	20.06	21.53	21.76	21.81	21.82	21.81	22(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-0	14	22	1.31	74%	0.15	37.7	0.92%	0	1.1	69	NAN
2	Feb_13_2006	20.03	21.49	21.75	21.7	21.76	21.79	21.76(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	20	3	27	1.45	73%	0.15	28.8	0.92%	0	0.6	71	NAN
3	Feb_10_2006	20	21.46	21.75	21.67	21.7	21.83	21.76(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	50	9	50	0.44	73%	0.15	24.9	0.93%	0	0.7	71	NAN
4	Feb_9_2006	19.97	21.43	21.76	21.65	21.65	21.73	21.81(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	30	12	83	0.71	73%	0.15	23.4	0.93%	0	0.9	78	NAN
5	Feb_8_2006	19.94	21.4	21.75	21.63	21.58	21.58	21.72(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	17	-10	-9	96	0.36	73%	0.1	24	0.93%	0	0.8	65	NAN

6	Feb_7_2006	19.92	21.37	21.71	21.71	21.65	21.56	21.47(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-40	-16	119	0.42	72%	0.15	31.5	0.93%	0	0.2	63	NAN
7	Feb_6_2006	19.89	21.36	21.67	21.81	21.78	21.59	21.6(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-70	-15	137	0.23	72%	0.1	48.7	0.93%	0	0.6	60	NAN
8	Feb_3_2006	19.87	21.35	21.6	21.86	21.85	21.73	21.64(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-40	-16	139	1	69%	0.1	62.4	0.94%	0	0.7	58	NAN
9	Feb_2_2006	19.85	21.33	21.5	21.86	21.92	21.73	21.74(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	20	0	137	1.03	71%	0.1	75	0.94%	0	1	60	NAN
10	Feb_1_2006	19.83	21.3	21.42	21.88	21.91	21.96	22.11(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	20	26	139	0.38	75%	0.15	87.8	0.93%	0	2	62	NAN

11	Jan_31_2006	19.8	21.24	21.29	21.7	21.8	21.88	21.95(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	40	27	104	0.48	75%	0.15	91.7	0.93%	0	2	63	NAN
12	Jan_30_2006	19.77	21.16	21.2	21.5	21.63	21.86	21.84(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	90	34	68	0.72	75%	0.1	84.8	0.93%	0	2.1	58	NAN
13	Jan_27_2006	19.75	21.09	21.12	21.31	21.39	21.73	21.78(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	49	120	52	38	1.24	75%	0.1	67.1	0.93%	0	2	54	NAN
14	Jan_26_2006	19.73	21.02	21.05	21.06	21.14	21.39	21.72(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	28	90	41	-11	1.73	75%	0.05	50.3	0.95%	0	2.1	57	NAN
15	Jan_25_2006	19.72	20.95	21	20.9	20.91	21.05	21.21(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	50	19	-48	0.96	73%	0.1	37.3	0.91%	0	0.8	48	NAN

16	Jan_24_2006	19.7	20.91	20.99	20.83	20.85	20.88	20.95(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	10	4	-63	0.35	73%	0.05	28.8	0.9%	0	0.1	51	NAN
17	Jan_23_2006	19.69	20.89	21.02	20.85	20.82	20.78	20.91(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-20	-9	-37	0.17	73%	0.05	32.7	0.93%	0	0.1	62	NAN
18	Jan_20_2006	19.68	20.89	21.07	20.9	20.87	20.82	20.51(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-20	-20	-8	0.99	66%	0.1	36.7	0.9%	0	-0.9	54	NAN
19	Jan_19_2006	19.66	20.86	21.14	21.03	20.96	20.87	20.92(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-40	-15	38	0.25	71%	0.05	45.1	0.9%	0	0.2	62	NAN
20	Jan_18_2006	19.65	20.83	21.18	21.11	21.06	20.92	20.86(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-50	-17	79	0.89	68%	0.1	52.1	0.9%	0	0.1	62	NAN

21	Jan_17_2006	19.63	20.82	21.2	21.17	21.18	21.05	21.06(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-40	-14	108	0.95	70%	0.15	60.4	0.91%	0	0.6	66	NAN
22	Jan_13_2006	19.6	20.78	21.13	21.21	21.2	21.21	21.17(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	0	-13	116	0.49	70%	0.1	68.3	0.91%	0	0.9	68	NAN
23	Jan_12_2006	19.58	20.73	21.07	21.26	21.25	21.32	21.14(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	40	20	6	140	0.41	67%	0.1	77.3	0.91%	0	1	69	NAN
24	Jan_11_2006	19.56	20.69	21	21.27	21.26	21.32	21.34(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-20	2	148	0.4	70%	0.1	83.2	0.92%	0	1.5	76	NAN
25	Jan_10_2006	19.54	20.63	20.91	21.26	21.23	21.19	21.14(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	33	-20	-4	145	0.28	68%		91.5	0.92%	0	1.2	67	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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