Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 21, 2005

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $20.3400 (0.35%) ($20.2500 - $20.3800) on Wed. Dec. 21, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $20.3400(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.34(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.23(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.94(2.01%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.42%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.91%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.27%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.24%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.59%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2005	19.36	19.94	20.23	20.34	20.38	20.33	20.34(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-10	-1	100	0.57	64%	0.05	76.1	0.86%	0	1.1	69	0
2	Dec_20_2005	19.35	19.9	20.16	20.34	20.35	20.39	20.27(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	20	-3	103	0.14	64%	0.05	84.8	0.87%	0	1.1	73	0
3	Dec_19_2005	19.34	19.86	20.12	20.33	20.34	20.44	20.44(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	40	16	126	0.21	57%	0.05	89.2	0.86%	0	1.7	76	0
4	Dec_16_2005	19.33	19.8	20.06	20.28	20.27	20.31	20.47(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	10	19	124	0.46	61%	0.1	94.6	0.92%	0	2	78	0
5	Dec_15_2005	19.31	19.74	19.98	20.16	20.21	20.23	20.2(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	10	10	108	1.03	59%	0.05	96.2	0.96%	0	1.5	76	0

6	Dec_14_2005	19.3	19.67	19.94	20.09	20.12	20.24	20.25(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	50	20	108	0.66	59%	0.1	82.1	0.96%	0	1.7	72	0
7	Dec_13_2005	19.28	19.61	19.86	19.96	20	20.18	20.29(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	70	21	85	0.33	55%	0.05	78	0.96%	0	2.1	70	0
8	Dec_12_2005	19.27	19.55	19.78	19.88	19.88	20	20.18(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	40	18	73	1.76	52%	0.1	73.2	0.98%	0	2	72	0
9	Dec_9_2005	19.25	19.49	19.71	19.81	19.81	19.82	19.88(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	0	5	59	0.14	49%	0.05	77.2	0.99%	0	1.3	69	0
10	Dec_8_2005	19.24	19.44	19.66	19.79	19.8	19.76	19.84(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10	-0	59	0.19	49%	0.05	67.9	1%	0	1.3	70	0

11	Dec_7_2005	19.23	19.4	19.66	19.77	19.79	19.81	19.63(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	24	10	6	76	0.25	47%	0.05	65.2	0.99%	0	0.8	74	0
12	Dec_6_2005	19.22	19.36	19.62	19.73	19.65	19.85	19.87(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	60	14	91	0.71	54%	0.1	58.8	0.98%	0	1.6	75	0
13	Dec_5_2005	19.2	19.32	19.57	19.66	19.55	19.77	19.81(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	60	24	92	0.21	54%	0.05	56.3	1.03%	0	1.6	76	0
14	Dec_2_2005	19.19	19.27	19.52	19.59	19.47	19.46	19.78(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-20	16	84	0.75	54%	0.1	56.7	1.04%	0	1.8	71	0
15	Dec_1_2005	19.17	19.23	19.47	19.51	19.41	19.33	19.74(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	15	-40	-5	75	0.56	54%	0.05	62.1	1.04%	0	1.9	74	0

16	Nov_30_2005	19.16	19.2	19.39	19.47	19.47	19.33	19.46(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	0	-2	68	0.54	56%	0.1	72.8	1.06%	0	1.1	66	0
17	Nov_29_2005	19.14	19.18	19.35	19.49	19.48	19.48	19.52(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-0	4	82	0.57	56%	0.05	78.4	1.06%	0	1.4	71	0
18	Nov_28_2005	19.13	19.14	19.3	19.47	19.46	19.45	19.45(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10	2	78	0.92	56%	0.1	79.2	1.07%	0	1.3	62	0
19	Nov_25_2005	19.11	19.11	19.26	19.44	19.45	19.45	19.4(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	10	4	80	0.98	53%	0.16	77.8	1.08%	0	1.2	63	0
20	Nov_23_2005	19.08	19.07	19.21	19.41	19.4	19.47	19.51(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	20	16	76	3.44	53%	0.1	73.3	1.07%	0	1.8	58	0

21	Nov_22_2005	19.06	19.03	19.16	19.29	19.31	19.43	19.58(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	50	18	53	0.99	53%	0.05	63.6	1.07%	0	2.4	58	0
22	Nov_21_2005	19.05	18.99	19.08	19.19	19.19	19.33	19.39(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	50	17	35	0.52	53%	0.05	61	1.07%	0	2.1	62	0
23	Nov_18_2005	19.04	18.96	19.04	19.11	19.09	19.2	19.33(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	40	14	24	0.2	53%	0.11	43.8	1.08%	0	1.8	60	0
24	Nov_17_2005	19.02	18.92	18.99	19.06	19.04	19.04	19.25(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-0	10	19	0.3	53%	0.05	22	1.1%	0	1.7	62	0
25	Nov_16_2005	19.01	18.89	18.98	18.99	19.01	18.99	18.92(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-0	-2	16	0.41	47%		-2.1	1.08%	0	0.2	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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