Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 2, 2005

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $19.7800 (0.2%) ($19.6400 - $19.8100) on Fri. Dec. 2, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $19.7800(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.59(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.52(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.27(2.65%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.18%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.71%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.49%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.49%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 0.83%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.13%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2005	19.19	19.27	19.52	19.59	19.47	19.46	19.78(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-20	16	84	0.75	54%	0.1	56.7	1.04%	0	1.8	71	0
2	Dec_1_2005	19.17	19.23	19.47	19.51	19.41	19.33	19.74(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	15	-40	-5	75	0.56	54%	0.05	62.1	1.04%	0	1.9	74	0
3	Nov_30_2005	19.16	19.2	19.39	19.47	19.47	19.33	19.46(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	0	-2	68	0.54	56%	0.1	72.8	1.06%	0	1.1	66	0
4	Nov_29_2005	19.14	19.18	19.35	19.49	19.48	19.48	19.52(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-0	4	82	0.57	56%	0.05	78.4	1.06%	0	1.4	71	0
5	Nov_28_2005	19.13	19.14	19.3	19.47	19.46	19.45	19.45(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10	2	78	0.92	56%	0.1	79.2	1.07%	0	1.3	62	0

6	Nov_25_2005	19.11	19.11	19.26	19.44	19.45	19.45	19.4(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	10	4	80	0.98	53%	0.16	77.8	1.08%	0	1.2	63	0
7	Nov_23_2005	19.08	19.07	19.21	19.41	19.4	19.47	19.51(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	20	16	76	3.44	53%	0.1	73.3	1.07%	0	1.8	58	0
8	Nov_22_2005	19.06	19.03	19.16	19.29	19.31	19.43	19.58(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	50	18	53	0.99	53%	0.05	63.6	1.07%	0	2.4	58	0
9	Nov_21_2005	19.05	18.99	19.08	19.19	19.19	19.33	19.39(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	50	17	35	0.52	53%	0.05	61	1.07%	0	2.1	62	0
10	Nov_18_2005	19.04	18.96	19.04	19.11	19.09	19.2	19.33(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	40	14	24	0.2	53%	0.11	43.8	1.08%	0	1.8	60	0

11	Nov_17_2005	19.02	18.92	18.99	19.06	19.04	19.04	19.25(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-0	10	19	0.3	53%	0.05	22	1.1%	0	1.7	62	0
12	Nov_16_2005	19.01	18.92	18.98	18.99	19.01	18.99	18.92(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-0	-2	16	0.41	47%	0.11	-2.1	1.08%	0	0.2	61	0
13	Nov_15_2005	18.99	18.89	19	19	18.99	18.99	19.06(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	10	6	32	0.28	47%	0.05	-4.2	1.1%	0	0.9	57	0
14	Nov_14_2005	18.98	18.87	19	19	18.95	19.03	18.99(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	30	5	27	0.1	47%	0.05	-22.1	1.1%	0	0.7	56	0
15	Nov_11_2005	18.97	18.87	18.98	18.95	18.91	18.95	19.08(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	10	7	28	0.13	47%	0.11	-27.7	1.1%	0	1.1	54	0

16	Nov_10_2005	18.95	18.88	18.94	18.92	18.9	18.87	18.88(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10	-5	25	0.61	47%	0.05	-37.6	1.09%	0	0	60	0
17	Nov_9_2005	18.94	18.88	18.92	18.97	18.93	18.86	18.97(0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-30	-9	33	1.3	51%	0.05	-38.6	1.1%	0	0.4	62	0
18	Nov_8_2005	18.93	18.89	18.92	19.01	19.01	18.92	18.83(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-30	-6	38	0.85	51%	0.05	-34.2	1.13%	0	-0.3	49	0
19	Nov_7_2005	18.92	18.91	18.9	19.02	19.07	18.99	19(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-20	-2	42	0.21	51%	0	-34.4	1.12%	0	0.4	53	0
20	Nov_4_2005	18.92	18.93	18.89	19	19.04	19.1	18.91(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	30	2	36	0.81	49%	0.05	-34.8	1.12%	0	-0.1	45	0

21	Nov_3_2005	18.91	18.95	18.85	18.97	19.01	19.14	19.13(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	50	21	20	0.35	51%	0.11	-35.9	1.12%	0	0.7	46	0
22	Nov_2_2005	18.89	18.95	18.79	18.86	18.88	18.97	19.19(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	7	40	14	-14	0.39	51%	0.05	-48	1.13%	0	0.8	51	0
23	Nov_1_2005	18.88	18.96	18.79	18.78	18.79	18.88	18.87(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	40	7	-34	0.36	51%	0.05	-58.8	1.11%	0	-0.3	45	0
24	Oct_31_2005	18.87	18.99	18.75	18.78	18.77	18.78	18.9(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	10	3	-49	3.14	51%	0.11	-54.4	1.13%	0	-0.3	41	0
25	Oct_28_2005	18.85	19.02	18.76	18.76	18.76	18.71	18.74(0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-20	1	-58	0.35	52%		-51.5	1.13%	0	-0.9	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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