Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 17, 2005

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $19.2500 (1.74%) ($19.0300 - $19.2500) on Thu. Nov. 17, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $19.2500(1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.06(1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.99(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.92(1.74%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2005	19.02	18.92	18.99	19.06	19.04	19.04	19.25(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-0	10	19	0.3	53%	0.05	22	1.1%	0	1.7	62	0
2	Nov_16_2005	19.01	18.92	18.98	18.99	19.01	18.99	18.92(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-0	-2	16	0.41	47%	0.11	-2.1	1.08%	0	0.2	61	0
3	Nov_15_2005	18.99	18.89	19	19	18.99	18.99	19.06(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	10	6	32	0.28	47%	0.05	-4.2	1.1%	0	0.9	57	0
4	Nov_14_2005	18.98	18.87	19	19	18.95	19.03	18.99(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	30	5	27	0.1	47%	0.05	-22.1	1.1%	0	0.7	56	0
5	Nov_11_2005	18.97	18.87	18.98	18.95	18.91	18.95	19.08(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	10	7	28	0.13	47%	0.11	-27.7	1.1%	0	1.1	54	0

6	Nov_10_2005	18.95	18.88	18.94	18.92	18.9	18.87	18.88(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10	-5	25	0.61	47%	0.05	-37.6	1.09%	0	0	60	0
7	Nov_9_2005	18.94	18.88	18.92	18.97	18.93	18.86	18.97(0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-30	-9	33	1.3	51%	0.05	-38.6	1.1%	0	0.4	62	0
8	Nov_8_2005	18.93	18.89	18.92	19.01	19.01	18.92	18.83(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-30	-6	38	0.85	51%	0.05	-34.2	1.13%	0	-0.3	49	0
9	Nov_7_2005	18.92	18.91	18.9	19.02	19.07	18.99	19(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-20	-2	42	0.21	51%	0	-34.4	1.12%	0	0.4	53	0
10	Nov_4_2005	18.92	18.93	18.89	19	19.04	19.1	18.91(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	30	2	36	0.81	49%	0.05	-34.8	1.12%	0	-0.1	45	0

11	Nov_3_2005	18.91	18.95	18.85	18.97	19.01	19.14	19.13(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	50	21	20	0.35	51%	0.11	-35.9	1.12%	0	0.7	46	0
12	Nov_2_2005	18.89	18.95	18.79	18.86	18.88	18.97	19.19(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	7	40	14	-14	0.39	51%	0.05	-48	1.13%	0	0.8	51	0
13	Nov_1_2005	18.88	18.96	18.79	18.78	18.79	18.88	18.87(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	40	7	-34	0.36	51%	0.05	-58.8	1.11%	0	-0.3	45	0
14	Oct_31_2005	18.87	18.99	18.75	18.78	18.77	18.78	18.9(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	10	3	-49	3.14	51%	0.11	-54.4	1.13%	0	-0.3	41	0
15	Oct_28_2005	18.85	19.02	18.76	18.76	18.76	18.71	18.74(0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-20	1	-58	0.35	52%	0	-51.5	1.13%	0	-0.9	35	0

16	Oct_27_2005	18.85	19.05	18.81	18.72	18.77	18.76	18.59(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	0	0	-72	0.22	53%	0.05	-47.6	1.13%	0	-1.4	30	0
17	Oct_26_2005	18.84	19.1	18.86	18.7	18.74	18.82	18.78(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	40	0	-83	0.21	53%	0.05	-42	1.13%	0	-1	32	0
18	Oct_25_2005	18.83	19.14	18.88	18.73	18.7	18.78	18.79(-0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	30	5	-84	0.52	53%	0.05	-34.4	1.13%	0	-1.2	40	0
19	Oct_24_2005	18.82	19.16	18.93	18.74	18.67	18.66	18.9(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-26	-10	-3	-93	0.21	53%	0.05	-35.1	1.13%	0	-0.9	37	0
20	Oct_21_2005	18.81	19.18	18.97	18.78	18.71	18.62	18.52(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-40	-20	-99	0.43	51%	0.05	-31.1	1.1%	0	-2.3	28	0

21	Oct_20_2005	18.8	19.2	19.07	18.92	18.85	18.68	18.53(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-33	-70	-19	-76	0.73	53%	0.05	-32.6	1.11%	0	-2.6	28	0
22	Oct_19_2005	18.79	19.23	19.16	19.03	18.98	18.8	18.9(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-70	-15	-63	1.88	56%	0.05	-33	1.1%	0	-1.6	30	0
23	Oct_18_2005	18.78	19.24	19.2	19.06	19.05	19.03	18.84(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-29	-10	-16	-66	0.42	56%	0	-37.5	1.11%	0	-2	33	0
24	Oct_17_2005	18.78	19.26	19.26	19.15	19.11	19.17	19.1(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	20	-1	-42	0.28	58%	0.05	-33.3	1.09%	0	-0.9	49	0
25	Oct_14_2005	18.77	19.27	19.29	19.2	19.15	19.06	19.24(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-40	-5	-32	0.82	58%		-32.7	1.09%	0	-0.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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