Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 6, 2005

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $19.9900 (2.67%) ($19.7900 - $19.9900) on Tue. Sep. 6, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $19.9900(2.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.4(3.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.29(3.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.36(3.25%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051006

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_6_2005	18.24	19.36	19.29	19.4	19.49	19.71	19.99(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	42	90	40	49	2.05	70%	0.16	12.3	1.02%	0	2.1	61	0
2	Sep_2_2005	18.21	19.31	19.21	19.21	19.22	19.46	19.47(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	90	26	2	1.19	66%	0.05	-8.1	0.98%	0	0.6	44	0
3	Sep_1_2005	18.2	19.3	19.19	19.1	19.09	19.26	19.39(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	60	20	-32	0.21	66%	0.11	-16.3	0.99%	0	0.3	42	0
4	Aug_31_2005	18.18	19.29	19.14	19.1	19.01	18.99	19.3(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-16	-20	3	-72	0.21	62%	0.06	-18.5	0.99%	0	0	38	0
5	Aug_30_2005	18.17	19.3	19.13	19.06	19.03	18.91	18.86(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-50	-19	-96	0.3	60%	0.06	-8.1	0.98%	0	-1.7	30	0

6	Aug_29_2005	18.16	19.32	19.18	19.15	19.14	19.02	19.04(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-50	-16	-88	0.27	60%	0	12.9	0.98%	0	-1.2	39	0
7	Aug_26_2005	18.16	19.33	19.24	19.21	19.23	19.15	18.92(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-30	-14	-62	0.33	60%	0.06	29.5	0.98%	0	-1.6	49	0
8	Aug_25_2005	18.15	19.33	19.31	19.27	19.31	19.25	19.17(-0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-7	-20	2	-32	0.22	62%	0.11	41.9	0.97%	0	-0.7	52	0
9	Aug_24_2005	18.13	19.34	19.38	19.23	19.3	19.31	19.3(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	10	1	-25	0.49	60%	0.06	39.5	0.96%	0	-0.2	52	0
10	Aug_23_2005	18.12	19.32	19.41	19.23	19.23	19.36	19.32(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	50	5	-18	0.89	62%	0.06	35.3	0.97%	0	0	47	0

11	Aug_22_2005	18.11	19.29	19.44	19.22	19.2	19.29	19.36(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	30	3	-13	0.26	62%	0.11	37.3	0.98%	0	0.2	52	0
12	Aug_19_2005	18.09	19.26	19.44	19.28	19.22	19.09	19.22(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-60	-14	-12	0.11	62%	0.06	46.8	0.98%	0	-0.1	51	0
13	Aug_18_2005	18.08	19.26	19.42	19.37	19.33	19.12	18.95(-1.56%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-26	-80	-35	1	0.3	62%	0.06	60.5	0.97%	0	-0.9	54	0
14	Aug_17_2005	18.07	19.24	19.45	19.54	19.51	19.34	19.25(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-70	-24	42	1.52	65%	0.06	82.4	0.96%	0	0	55	0
15	Aug_16_2005	18.06	19.22	19.45	19.63	19.65	19.54	19.3(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-40	-15	82	0.21	66%	0.11	88.7	0.96%	0	0.2	61	0

16	Aug_15_2005	18.04	19.18	19.48	19.68	19.73	19.68	19.67(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	39	-10	10	125	0.2	70%	0.06	86.2	0.93%	0	1.1	72	0
17	Aug_12_2005	18.03	19.11	19.44	19.57	19.67	19.76	19.67(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	50	14	124	0.11	67%	0.11	77.4	0.94%	0	1.2	71	0
18	Aug_11_2005	18.01	19.04	19.37	19.47	19.54	19.78	19.82(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	100	26	116	0.24	67%	0.11	74.4	0.96%	0	1.7	73	0
19	Aug_10_2005	17.99	18.96	19.29	19.36	19.39	19.59	19.71(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	80	23	102	0.32	65%	0.11	76.8	0.96%	0	1.7	67	0
20	Aug_9_2005	17.97	18.88	19.21	19.31	19.28	19.31	19.55(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	10	11	96	0.15	65%	0.06	83.8	0.96%	0	1.6	68	0

21	Aug_8_2005	17.96	18.81	19.12	19.26	19.29	19.2	19.11(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-30	-7	93	0.17	63%	0.06	92.8	0.93%	0	0.7	68	0
22	Aug_5_2005	17.95	18.76	19.09	19.29	19.29	19.25	19.16(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-20	-1	116	0.17	63%	0.06	91.8	0.93%	0	0.9	72	0
23	Aug_4_2005	17.94	18.7	19.05	19.24	19.31	19.38	19.25(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	40	7	130	0.18	65%	0	81.7	0.93%	0	1.1	75	0
24	Aug_3_2005	17.94	18.62	19.01	19.21	19.24	19.36	19.48(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	50	23	150	0.12	68%	0.06	76.5	0.96%	0	1.6	82	0
25	Aug_2_2005	17.93	18.52	18.93	19.09	19.14	19.24	19.31(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	40	23	151	0.17	68%		68.9	0.95%	0	1.5	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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