Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 16, 2004

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $18.2500 (-1.51%) ($18.1400 - $18.3200) on Thu. Dec. 16, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $18.2500(-1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.29(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.28(-0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.06(1.05%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2004	16.22	18.06	18.28	18.29	18.32	18.36	18.25(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	20	6	44	0.19	66%	0.19	67.2	0.97%	0	0.6	57	0
2	Dec_15_2004	16.19	18.03	18.27	18.25	18.22	18.4	18.53(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	60	16	57	0.19	70%	0.19	68.3	0.95%	0	1.5	66	0
3	Dec_14_2004	16.16	17.96	18.23	18.2	18.1	18.27	18.38(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	50	16	67	0.2	70%	0.25	66.7	0.96%	0	1.2	68	0
4	Dec_13_2004	16.12	17.91	18.18	18.2	18.07	18.04	18.34(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-30	5	65	0.13	70%	0.19	67.2	0.96%	0	1.2	68	0
5	Dec_10_2004	16.09	17.87	18.18	18.17	18.09	17.93	17.94(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-80	-24	77	0.22	67%	0.19	75.3	0.93%	0	0.2	65	0

6	Dec_9_2004	16.06	17.84	18.15	18.26	18.21	18.1	18.07(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-50	-14	115	0.26	67%	0.19	82.7	0.92%	0	0.6	64	0
7	Dec_8_2004	16.03	17.8	18.13	18.28	18.21	18.26	18.29(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	32	-10	-3	137	0.17	71%	0.19	85.9	0.9%	0	1.3	69	0
8	Dec_7_2004	16	17.74	18.06	18.27	18.29	18.26	18.2(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	48	20	13	154	0.26	71%	0.19	88.2	0.9%	0	1.2	73	0
9	Dec_6_2004	15.97	17.68	18	18.18	18.23	18.33	18.37(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	49	50	17	145	0.21	74%	0.13	86.3	0.9%	0	1.7	73	0
10	Dec_3_2004	15.95	17.62	17.9	18.11	18.12	18.25	18.37(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	50	19	134	0.2	70%	0.25	94.4	0.9%	0	2	69	0

11	Dec_2_2004	15.91	17.55	17.82	18.03	18.05	18.13	18.19(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	30	21	124	0.27	68%	0.13	102.9	0.92%	0	1.8	69	0
12	Dec_1_2004	15.89	17.48	17.76	17.95	17.97	17.98	18.2(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	10	20	123	0.25	68%	0.19	102.4	0.92%	0	2	73	0
13	Nov_30_2004	15.86	17.4	17.67	17.82	17.88	17.96	17.77(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	40	7	108	0.2	64%	0.13	101.4	0.88%	0	1	70	0
14	Nov_29_2004	15.84	17.35	17.63	17.78	17.8	17.97	18.04(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	54	70	30	124	0.32	70%	0.13	97.3	0.87%	0	1.8	79	0
15	Nov_26_2004	15.82	17.27	17.57	17.66	17.67	17.8	17.95(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	50	23	110	0.12	70%	0.13	95.1	0.87%	0	1.7	72	0

16	Nov_24_2004	15.8	17.19	17.51	17.58	17.59	17.64	17.77(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	20	11	101	0.27	71%	0.13	84	0.88%	0	1.3	72	0
17	Nov_23_2004	15.78	17.12	17.45	17.55	17.59	17.54	17.59(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-0	10	109	0.43	70%	0.13	80.3	0.88%	0	1	75	0
18	Nov_22_2004	15.76	17.05	17.4	17.48	17.54	17.53	17.54(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	10	3	109	1.05	70%	0.13	72.8	0.89%	0	1	77	0
19	Nov_19_2004	15.74	16.97	17.35	17.46	17.49	17.53	17.45(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	30	0	121	0.06	70%	0.06	69.8	0.89%	0	0.9	76	0
20	Nov_18_2004	15.73	16.91	17.32	17.47	17.45	17.55	17.56(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	40	14	155	0.04	70%	0.13	70.5	0.89%	0	1.3	82	0

21	Nov_17_2004	15.71	16.84	17.27	17.42	17.42	17.44	17.59(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	58	10	18	176	0.05	70%	0.06	72.5	0.89%	0	1.4	84	0
22	Nov_16_2004	15.7	16.76	17.18	17.34	17.35	17.35	17.28(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	0	5	175	0.14	66%	0.13	72	0.87%	0	1	82	0
23	Nov_15_2004	15.68	16.7	17.12	17.29	17.3	17.41	17.4(-0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	62	50	17	196	0.15	66%	0.06	70.8	0.87%	0	1.4	90	0
24	Nov_12_2004	15.67	16.63	17.04	17.22	17.21	17.34	17.5(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	50	21	203	0.15	69%	0.13	66.8	0.88%	0	1.7	92	0
25	Nov_11_2004	15.65	16.55	16.94	17.15	17.12	17.19	17.35(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	61	20	14	203	0.1	63%		63.4	0.89%	0	1.7	91	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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