Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 11, 2004

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $16.2400 (0.19%) ($16.1900 - $16.2500) on Mon. Oct. 11, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $16.2400(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-8%)    FXI(-1%)    REMX(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.19(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.05(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.86(2.4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_11_2004	15.46	15.86	16.05	16.19	16.18	16.21	16.24(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	10	3	100	0.05	51%	0.06	77.4	1.04%	0	1.5	53	0
2	Oct_8_2004	15.45	15.83	15.98	16.18	16.17	16.17	16.21(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-0	5	93	0.25	51%	0.06	86	1.04%	0	1.5	63	0
3	Oct_7_2004	15.44	15.79	15.91	16.15	16.15	16.16	16.15(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	0	9	87	0.05	51%	0.13	87.9	1.05%	0	1.4	62	0
4	Oct_6_2004	15.42	15.76	15.85	16.08	16.12	16.17	16.2(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	30	15	71	0.04	47%	0.06	85.5	1.05%	0	1.7	63	0
5	Oct_5_2004	15.41	15.71	15.8	15.99	16.01	16.15	16.16(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	30	60	20	59	0.08	47%	0.13	85.5	1.09%	0	1.8	66	0

6	Oct_4_2004	15.39	15.66	15.78	15.88	15.9	16.06	16.16(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	70	27	53	0.09	47%	0.07	83	1.09%	0	2.1	60	0
7	Oct_1_2004	15.38	15.61	15.73	15.75	15.77	15.88	16.09(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	50	23	27	0.14	47%	0.13	66.9	1.09%	0	2	61	0
8	Sep_30_2004	15.36	15.57	15.73	15.64	15.63	15.75	15.77(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	50	10	8	0.07	43%	0.07	65.2	1.07%	0	0.9	58	0
9	Sep_29_2004	15.35	15.54	15.68	15.6	15.59	15.66	15.78(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	30	11	10	0.07	43%	0.07	57.4	1.08%	0	1	62	0
10	Sep_28_2004	15.34	15.5	15.65	15.57	15.55	15.66	15.62(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-8	-20	-12	4	0.11	43%	0.07	54.7	1.07%	0	0.5	61	0

11	Sep_27_2004	15.33	15.47	15.66	15.66	15.59	15.52	15.48(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-40	-11	37	0.02	43%	0	62.9	1.08%	0	0	60	0
12	Sep_24_2004	15.33	15.45	15.68	15.7	15.71	15.59	15.56(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-50	-7	66	0.02	43%	0	69.1	1.08%	0	0.4	66	0
13	Sep_23_2004	15.33	15.43	15.67	15.73	15.73	15.66	15.54(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-30	-13	77	0.03	43%	0	71.3	1.08%	0	0.4	58	0
14	Sep_22_2004	15.33	15.41	15.66	15.76	15.76	15.84	15.66(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	40	5	101	0.03	43%	0	73.3	1.08%	0	0.8	66	0
15	Sep_21_2004	15.33	15.36	15.63	15.74	15.73	15.8	16.06(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	43	30	18	119	0.13	48%	0	65.9	1.04%	0	2.2	80	0

16	Sep_20_2004	15.33	15.3	15.54	15.66	15.64	15.68	15.7(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	10	1	113	0.07	42%	0	62.8	1%	0	1.3	77	0
17	Sep_17_2004	15.33	15.26	15.49	15.65	15.65	15.67	15.69(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	36	10	10	115	0.01	42%	0.07	67.9	1%	0	1.5	68	0
18	Sep_16_2004	15.32	15.22	15.44	15.61	15.63	15.59	15.69(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10	8	117	0.67	42%	0	75	1%	0	1.7	69	0
19	Sep_15_2004	15.32	15.19	15.39	15.54	15.6	15.63	15.55(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	30	7	105	0.02	49%	-0.07	80.7	1%	0	1.4	66	0
20	Sep_14_2004	15.33	15.16	15.33	15.49	15.53	15.67	15.69(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	40	70	18	104	0.02	43%	0	78.8	1.05%	0	2.1	77	0

21	Sep_13_2004	15.33	15.11	15.26	15.41	15.41	15.57	15.62(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	70	23	88	0.12	43%	0	82.9	1.13%	0	2.3	75	0
22	Sep_10_2004	15.33	15.07	15.2	15.3	15.32	15.39	15.5(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	40	13	70	0.01	43%	0	75.2	1.14%	0	2.2	67	0
23	Sep_9_2004	15.33	15.02	15.16	15.26	15.23	15.26	15.36(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	10	8	64	0.03	38%	-0.07	58.6	1.14%	0	1.6	62	0
24	Sep_8_2004	15.34	14.98	15.13	15.2	15.2	15.25	15.3(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	20	9	54	0.01	38%	0	47	1.21%	0	1.6	58	0
25	Sep_7_2004	15.34	14.96	15.08	15.14	15.17	15.2	15.25(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	20	9	41	0.1	42%		36.2	1.21%	0	1.5	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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