Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 7, 2004

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $15.2500 (1.06%) ($15.2000 - $15.3300) on Tue. Sep. 7, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $15.2500(1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.14(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.08(1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.96(1.94%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.38%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.83%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.83%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041007

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_7_2004	15.34	14.96	15.08	15.14	15.17	15.2	15.25(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	20	9	41	0.1	42%	-0.07	36.2	1.21%	0	1.5	61	0
2	Sep_3_2004	15.35	14.93	15.03	15.14	15.1	15.15	15.09(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	30	1	25	0.02	45%	-0.07	17.4	1.24%	0	0.9	58	0
3	Sep_2_2004	15.36	14.92	15.02	15.09	15.06	15.14	15.28(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	30	9	36	0.09	50%	0	9.9	1.23%	0	2	70	0
4	Sep_1_2004	15.36	14.92	15.02	15.05	15.04	15.05	15.1(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	0	4	41	0.05	50%	0	-4.7	1.24%	0	1.3	72	0
5	Aug_31_2004	15.36	14.92	14.98	15.04	15.03	14.98	15(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-30	3	52	0.09	50%	-0.07	-7.5	1.24%	0	0.7	62	0

6	Aug_30_2004	15.37	14.89	14.97	15	15.02	15.03	14.96(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	10	2	44	0.06	50%	-0.07	-12.3	1.25%	0	0.4	52	0
7	Aug_27_2004	15.38	14.89	14.96	14.97	14.99	15.07	15.12(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	40	8	47	0.01	53%	-0.06	-5.8	1.25%	0	1.2	61	0
8	Aug_26_2004	15.39	14.89	14.92	14.93	14.94	15.01	15.06(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	30	7	37	0.08	53%	-0.06	-7.4	1.29%	0	0.9	57	0
9	Aug_25_2004	15.4	14.89	14.86	14.91	14.91	14.91	15.08(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	0	2	22	0.08	53%	0	-15.7	1.29%	0	1	55	0
10	Aug_24_2004	15.4	14.9	14.82	14.9	14.9	14.88	14.78(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10	-4	9	0.03	53%	-0.06	-20.7	1.28%	0	-0.7	43	0

11	Aug_23_2004	15.41	14.9	14.82	14.93	14.91	14.9	14.81(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10	-2	8	0.03	53%	-0.13	-27.3	1.3%	0	-0.6	41	0
12	Aug_20_2004	15.43	14.9	14.83	14.94	14.92	14.9	14.93(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	0	5	0	0.07	53%	0	-41.3	1.3%	0	0.1	41	0
13	Aug_19_2004	15.43	14.91	14.81	14.9	14.89	14.93	14.97(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	20	13	-15	0.02	53%	-0.06	-55.2	1.3%	0	0.3	44	0
14	Aug_18_2004	15.44	14.93	14.8	14.8	14.82	14.91	15.03(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	50	11	-41	0.03	55%	-0.06	-63.8	1.3%	0	0.5	44	0
15	Aug_17_2004	15.45	14.94	14.79	14.8	14.73	14.86	14.9(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	60	7	-57	0.11	53%	0	-71.4	1.31%	0	-0.2	45	0

16	Aug_16_2004	15.45	14.96	14.81	14.73	14.65	14.73	14.89(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	20	9	-55	0.05	53%	0	-71.3	1.32%	0	-0.3	45	0
17	Aug_13_2004	15.45	14.99	14.83	14.69	14.66	14.6	14.7(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-30	-1	-55	0.03	53%	-0.06	-75.6	1.31%	0	-1.1	50	0
18	Aug_12_2004	15.46	15.03	14.87	14.71	14.67	14.57	14.5(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-60	-16	-55	0.03	51%	0	-78.3	1.3%	0	-2	39	0
19	Aug_11_2004	15.46	15.07	14.94	14.79	14.76	14.72	14.66(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-30	-10	-46	0.04	51%	-0.06	-82.7	1.3%	0	-1.6	33	0
20	Aug_10_2004	15.47	15.11	14.98	14.85	14.84	14.78	14.9(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-30	-5	-38	0.04	51%	0.06	-82.6	1.28%	0	-0.8	44	0

21	Aug_9_2004	15.46	15.14	15	14.89	14.86	14.8	14.71(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-30	-17	-48	0.03	49%	-0.06	-75.1	1.29%	0	-1.5	33	0
22	Aug_6_2004	15.47	15.19	15.01	14.99	14.97	14.91	14.8(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-30	-9	-44	0.03	42%	-0.06	-71.2	1.34%	0	-1.4	37	0
23	Aug_5_2004	15.48	15.24	15.03	15.06	15.04	14.93	14.86(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-60	-11	-47	0.04	42%	0	-66.3	1.39%	0	-1.3	35	0
24	Aug_4_2004	15.48	15.28	15.08	15.12	15.1	15.04	14.99(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-30	-6	-34	0.07	44%	-0.06	-65.3	1.39%	0	-1	45	0
25	Aug_3_2004	15.49	15.33	15.1	15.13	15.17	15.14	15.11(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10	1	-39	0.12	44%		-66.3	1.4%	0	-0.7	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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