Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 24, 2004

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $15.8000 (0.64%) ($15.7600 - $15.8500) on Thu. Jun. 24, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.42% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $15.8000(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.71% (StdDev 1.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.68(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.68(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.7(0.64%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 1.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2004	15.74	15.7	15.68	15.68	15.67	15.73	15.8(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	20	5	-27	0.13	52%	0	73.9	1.42%	0	0.5	54	NAN
2	Jun_23_2004	15.74	15.68	15.67	15.67	15.67	15.73	15.7(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-20	1	-31	0.17	52%	-0.06	77.6	1.43%	0	0.1	52	NAN
3	Jun_22_2004	15.75	15.66	15.71	15.66	15.65	15.61	15.56(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-20	-8	-17	0.19	50%	-0.06	86.3	1.43%	0	-0.4	55	NAN
4	Jun_21_2004	15.76	15.63	15.77	15.71	15.65	15.68	15.64(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10	5	10	0.01	50%	-0.06	83.8	1.45%	0	0	53	NAN
5	Jun_18_2004	15.77	15.59	15.8	15.65	15.69	15.68	15.7(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	10	-2	3	0.01	48%	-0.06	67.3	1.47%	0	0.3	50	NAN

6	Jun_17_2004	15.78	15.55	15.8	15.69	15.62	15.69	15.73(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	20	1	16	1.57	49%	-0.06	63	1.47%	0	0.5	57	NAN
7	Jun_16_2004	15.79	15.5	15.79	15.67	15.65	15.7	15.68(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	20	-4	20	0.02	51%	-0.06	57.8	1.48%	0	0.4	57	NAN
8	Jun_15_2004	15.8	15.45	15.76	15.77	15.67	15.55	15.79(2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-70	-11	37	0.14	48%	-0.06	59.4	1.49%	0	0.8	61	NAN
9	Jun_14_2004	15.81	15.4	15.74	15.85	15.77	15.61	15.35(-3.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	2	-90	-19	64	1.66	45%	-0.19	57.4	1.49%	0	-0.1	61	NAN
10	Jun_10_2004	15.84	15.38	15.78	15.96	15.94	15.79	15.88(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-70	-0	115	0.03	44%	-0.06	53.8	1.45%	0	1	71	NAN

11	Jun_9_2004	15.85	15.32	15.73	15.96	15.95	15.92	15.66(-3.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	26	-10	-5	118	0.03	43%	-0.06	40.2	1.47%	0	0.7	67	NAN
12	Jun_8_2004	15.86	15.28	15.7	15.91	15.9	16.1	16.18(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	90	21	147	0.03	45%	0	31.5	1.44%	0	1.8	79	NAN
13	Jun_7_2004	15.86	15.2	15.6	15.75	15.78	15.97	16.2(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	55	90	25	143	0.07	45%	0	17.2	1.44%	0	2.2	82	NAN
14	Jun_4_2004	15.86	15.14	15.47	15.62	15.6	15.69	15.9(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	40	8	123	0.14	45%	-0.06	6.4	1.43%	0	1.9	72	NAN
15	Jun_3_2004	15.87	15.11	15.36	15.59	15.53	15.58	15.6(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	10	8	123	0.05	43%	-0.06	4.1	1.42%	0	1.3	70	NAN

16	Jun_2_2004	15.88	15.11	15.28	15.53	15.55	15.51	15.65(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10	8	120	0.14	43%	-0.06	3.8	1.42%	0	1.3	70	NAN
17	Jun_1_2004	15.89	15.11	15.2	15.47	15.47	15.49	15.4(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	10	2	111	0.09	43%	-0.13	-3	1.41%	0	0.7	65	NAN
18	May_28_2004	15.91	15.12	15.12	15.42	15.41	15.6	15.56(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	80	21	109	0.02	43%	-0.06	-9.6	1.42%	0	1.1	71	NAN
19	May_27_2004	15.92	15.11	15.04	15.28	15.3	15.45	15.72(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	70	29	85	0.02	43%	-0.06	-24.5	1.43%	0	1.5	64	NAN
20	May_26_2004	15.93	15.1	14.93	15.09	15.11	15.23	15.32(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	60	14	31	0.03	40%	-0.06	-40.8	1.39%	0	0.6	43	NAN

21	May_25_2004	15.94	15.11	14.87	15	15	15.14	15.34(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	70	17	-14	0.06	40%	-0.13	-43.5	1.39%	0	0.5	35	NAN
22	May_24_2004	15.96	15.13	14.81	14.89	14.95	15	15.16(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	40	19	-56	0.05	40%	-0.06	-44.1	1.38%	0	0.1	36	NAN
23	May_21_2004	15.97	15.16	14.77	14.77	14.86	14.85	14.87(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	10	2	-106	0.07	37%	-0.06	-49.5	1.35%	0	-0.6	36	NAN
24	May_20_2004	15.98	15.21	14.78	14.75	14.78	14.9	14.77(-0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-28	60	3	-121	0.02	35%	-0.06	-49.4	1.35%	0	-0.9	38	NAN
25	May_19_2004	15.99	15.26	14.84	14.74	14.76	14.86	14.85(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	50	11	-119	0.1	35%		-50.8	1.38%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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