Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Jun. 13, 2004

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $15.8800 (1.4%) ($15.7300 - $15.8900) on Sun. Jun. 13, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $15.8800(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.96(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.78(0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.38(3.25%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.25% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.67%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.89%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.29%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.13%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040713

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2004	15.84	15.38	15.78	15.96	15.94	15.79	15.88(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-70	-0	115	0.03	44%	-0.06	53.8	1.45%	0	1	71	0
2	Jun_9_2004	15.85	15.32	15.73	15.96	15.95	15.92	15.66(-3.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	26	-10	-5	118	0.03	43%	-0.06	40.2	1.47%	0	0.7	67	0
3	Jun_8_2004	15.86	15.28	15.7	15.91	15.9	16.1	16.18(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	90	21	147	0.03	45%	0	31.5	1.44%	0	1.8	79	0
4	Jun_7_2004	15.86	15.2	15.6	15.75	15.78	15.97	16.2(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	55	90	25	143	0.07	45%	0	17.2	1.44%	0	2.2	82	0
5	Jun_4_2004	15.86	15.14	15.47	15.62	15.6	15.69	15.9(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	40	8	123	0.14	45%	-0.06	6.4	1.43%	0	1.9	72	0

6	Jun_3_2004	15.87	15.11	15.36	15.59	15.53	15.58	15.6(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	10	8	123	0.05	43%	-0.06	4.1	1.42%	0	1.3	70	0
7	Jun_2_2004	15.88	15.11	15.28	15.53	15.55	15.51	15.65(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10	8	120	0.14	43%	-0.06	3.8	1.42%	0	1.3	70	0
8	Jun_1_2004	15.89	15.11	15.2	15.47	15.47	15.49	15.4(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	10	2	111	0.09	43%	-0.13	-3	1.41%	0	0.7	65	0
9	May_28_2004	15.91	15.12	15.12	15.42	15.41	15.6	15.56(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	80	21	109	0.02	43%	-0.06	-9.6	1.42%	0	1.1	71	0
10	May_27_2004	15.92	15.11	15.04	15.28	15.3	15.45	15.72(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	70	29	85	0.02	43%	-0.06	-24.5	1.43%	0	1.5	64	0

11	May_26_2004	15.93	15.1	14.93	15.09	15.11	15.23	15.32(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	60	14	31	0.03	40%	-0.06	-40.8	1.39%	0	0.6	43	0
12	May_25_2004	15.94	15.11	14.87	15	15	15.14	15.34(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	70	17	-14	0.06	40%	-0.13	-43.5	1.39%	0	0.5	35	0
13	May_24_2004	15.96	15.13	14.81	14.89	14.95	15	15.16(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	40	19	-56	0.05	40%	-0.06	-44.1	1.38%	0	0.1	36	0
14	May_21_2004	15.97	15.16	14.77	14.77	14.86	14.85	14.87(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	10	2	-106	0.07	37%	-0.06	-49.5	1.35%	0	-0.6	36	0
15	May_20_2004	15.98	15.21	14.78	14.75	14.78	14.9	14.77(-0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-28	60	3	-121	0.02	35%	-0.06	-49.4	1.35%	0	-0.9	38	0

16	May_19_2004	15.99	15.26	14.84	14.74	14.76	14.86	14.85(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	50	11	-119	0.1	35%	-0.12	-50.8	1.38%	0	-0.9	37	0
17	May_18_2004	16.01	15.3	14.94	14.74	14.69	14.66	14.8(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	-20	1	-120	0.05	35%	-0.06	-53.7	1.38%	0	-1.1	34	0
18	May_17_2004	16.02	15.34	15.03	14.72	14.68	14.65	14.57(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-20	-8	-132	0.05	35%	-0.06	-55.6	1.36%	0	-1.6	25	0
19	May_14_2004	16.03	15.41	15.13	14.76	14.74	14.72	14.78(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-10	-4	-133	0.02	36%	-0.12	-58	1.37%	0	-1.4	30	0
20	May_13_2004	16.05	15.46	15.2	14.81	14.73	14.71	14.72(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-30	-18	-145	0.3	35%	-0.06	-60.4	1.38%	0	-1.8	28	0

21	May_12_2004	16.06	15.51	15.28	14.96	14.81	14.75	14.75(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-60	-27	-132	0.37	35%	-0.06	-60.3	1.4%	0	-2.1	33	0
22	May_11_2004	16.07	15.55	15.37	15.2	15.01	14.74	14.8(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-160	-28	-96	0.82	36%	-0.06	-52.4	1.4%	0	-2.3	39	0
23	May_10_2004	16.08	15.6	15.49	15.39	15.27	14.88	14.75(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-41	-200	-34	-61	0.13	36%	-0.06	-44.1	1.42%	0	-2.9	37	0
24	May_7_2004	16.09	15.67	15.6	15.55	15.53	15.28	15.02(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-26	-120	-23	-34	0.23	38%	-0.06	-36.4	1.41%	0	-3	36	0
25	May_6_2004	16.1	15.71	15.69	15.63	15.64	15.67	15.49(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	20	-4	-13	0.18	42%		-34.3	1.37%	0	-1.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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