Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 26, 2004

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $15.3200 (-0.13%) ($15.1800 - $15.3300) on Wed. May. 26, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $15.3200(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.09(1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.93(2.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.1(1.46%)
To recent high   -7.7%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2004	15.93	15.1	14.93	15.09	15.11	15.23	15.32(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	60	14	31	0.03	40%	-0.06	-40.8	1.39%	0	0.6	43	0
2	May_25_2004	15.94	15.11	14.87	15	15	15.14	15.34(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	70	17	-14	0.06	40%	-0.13	-43.5	1.39%	0	0.5	35	0
3	May_24_2004	15.96	15.13	14.81	14.89	14.95	15	15.16(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	40	19	-56	0.05	40%	-0.06	-44.1	1.38%	0	0.1	36	0
4	May_21_2004	15.97	15.16	14.77	14.77	14.86	14.85	14.87(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	10	2	-106	0.07	37%	-0.06	-49.5	1.35%	0	-0.6	36	0
5	May_20_2004	15.98	15.21	14.78	14.75	14.78	14.9	14.77(-0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-28	60	3	-121	0.02	35%	-0.06	-49.4	1.35%	0	-0.9	38	0

6	May_19_2004	15.99	15.26	14.84	14.74	14.76	14.86	14.85(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	50	11	-119	0.1	35%	-0.12	-50.8	1.38%	0	-0.9	37	0
7	May_18_2004	16.01	15.3	14.94	14.74	14.69	14.66	14.8(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	-20	1	-120	0.05	35%	-0.06	-53.7	1.38%	0	-1.1	34	0
8	May_17_2004	16.02	15.34	15.03	14.72	14.68	14.65	14.57(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-20	-8	-132	0.05	35%	-0.06	-55.6	1.36%	0	-1.6	25	0
9	May_14_2004	16.03	15.41	15.13	14.76	14.74	14.72	14.78(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-10	-4	-133	0.02	36%	-0.12	-58	1.37%	0	-1.4	30	0
10	May_13_2004	16.05	15.46	15.2	14.81	14.73	14.71	14.72(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-30	-18	-145	0.3	35%	-0.06	-60.4	1.38%	0	-1.8	28	0

11	May_12_2004	16.06	15.51	15.28	14.96	14.81	14.75	14.75(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-60	-27	-132	0.37	35%	-0.06	-60.3	1.4%	0	-2.1	33	0
12	May_11_2004	16.07	15.55	15.37	15.2	15.01	14.74	14.8(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-160	-28	-96	0.82	36%	-0.06	-52.4	1.4%	0	-2.3	39	0
13	May_10_2004	16.08	15.6	15.49	15.39	15.27	14.88	14.75(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-41	-200	-34	-61	0.13	36%	-0.06	-44.1	1.42%	0	-2.9	37	0
14	May_7_2004	16.09	15.67	15.6	15.55	15.53	15.28	15.02(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-26	-120	-23	-34	0.23	38%	-0.06	-36.4	1.41%	0	-3	36	0
15	May_6_2004	16.1	15.71	15.69	15.55	15.64	15.67	15.49(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	20	-4	-13	0.18	42%	0	-34.3	1.37%	0	-1.3	45	0

16	May_5_2004	16.1	15.74	15.72	15.63	15.63	15.78	15.95(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	9	70	14	-5	0.02	45%	0	-23.1	1.34%	0	1.2	56	0
17	May_4_2004	16.1	15.74	15.68	15.57	15.55	15.6	15.76(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-5	20	-0	-21	0.15	44%	0.06	-25	1.34%	0	0.2	56	0
18	May_3_2004	16.09	15.73	15.66	15.61	15.56	15.6	15.55(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-40	-8	-22	0.16	42%	0	-7.4	1.33%	0	-1.1	47	0
19	Apr_30_2004	16.09	15.75	15.69	15.67	15.68	15.49	15.41(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-80	-17	-18	0.05	42%	-0.06	21.6	1.33%	0	-2.1	38	0
20	Apr_29_2004	16.1	15.75	15.74	15.76	15.8	15.64	15.49(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-12	-60	-15	-3	0.15	42%	0.06	60.7	1.32%	0	-2	43	0

21	Apr_28_2004	16.09	15.75	15.76	15.81	15.87	15.87	15.62(-2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-1	10	-2	2	0.04	40%	0	97.8	1.32%	0	-1.1	41	0
22	Apr_27_2004	16.09	15.77	15.75	15.8	15.84	15.96	15.97(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	9	60	13	-2	0.1	42%	0.06	105.3	1.32%	0	1.3	52	0
23	Apr_26_2004	16.08	15.74	15.75	15.72	15.74	15.88	15.85(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	70	7	-20	0.07	42%	0	102.9	1.31%	0	0.7	50	0
24	Apr_23_2004	16.08	15.71	15.75	15.73	15.67	15.72	15.88(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	10	7	-17	0.07	42%	0.06	84.3	1.31%	0	0.9	51	0
25	Apr_22_2004	16.07	15.68	15.73	15.71	15.66	15.6	15.75(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-40	-1	-23	0.07	42%		72.1	1.31%	0	0.3	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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