Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 6, 2004

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $15.8500 (0%) ($15.7400 - $15.9200) on Tue. Apr. 6, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $15.8500(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(81%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.78(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.52(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.41(2.86%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2004	15.94	15.41	15.52	15.78	15.8	15.82	15.85(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	30	10	8	94	0.05	51%	0.06	-29.6	1.38%	0	1.2	55	0
2	Apr_5_2004	15.93	15.43	15.44	15.71	15.72	15.83	15.85(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	50	12	78	0.05	53%	0.13	-30.8	1.38%	0	1	59	0
3	Apr_2_2004	15.91	15.45	15.34	15.62	15.62	15.78	15.83(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	70	20	63	0.12	53%	0.06	-30.9	1.4%	0	0.8	63	0
4	Apr_1_2004	15.9	15.48	15.26	15.49	15.51	15.61	15.81(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	50	19	33	0.08	53%	0.13	-34.3	1.41%	0	0.6	53	0
5	Mar_31_2004	15.88	15.5	15.22	15.38	15.36	15.46	15.56(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	40	18	15	0.07	51%	0.06	-38.8	1.4%	0	0.1	50	0

6	Mar_30_2004	15.87	15.52	15.21	15.23	15.26	15.41	15.49(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	70	19	-18	0.04	51%	0.13	-46.8	1.41%	0	-0.1	43	0
7	Mar_29_2004	15.85	15.56	15.18	15.12	15.1	15.27	15.43(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	70	18	-58	0.18	53%	0.06	-50.3	1.41%	0	-0.2	37	0
8	Mar_26_2004	15.84	15.61	15.14	15.12	15	15.12	15.15(-0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	50	8	-118	0.11	52%	0.06	-55.6	1.41%	0	-0.8	29	0
9	Mar_25_2004	15.83	15.66	15.17	15.01	14.94	14.94	15.29(3.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-38	-10	-1	-149	0.22	52%	0.06	-58.4	1.41%	0	-0.6	31	0
10	Mar_24_2004	15.82	15.7	15.19	15.04	14.98	14.87	14.77(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-62	-60	-21	-183	0.1	48%	0.06	-63.1	1.34%	0	-1.6	28	0

11	Mar_23_2004	15.81	15.78	15.3	15.18	15.15	14.95	14.98(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-100	-15	-167	0.1	49%	0.06	-63.9	1.34%	0	-1.5	34	0
12	Mar_22_2004	15.8	15.85	15.42	15.25	15.27	15.1	14.85(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-70	-16	-162	0.15	49%	0.06	-69.2	1.33%	0	-1.9	30	0
13	Mar_19_2004	15.79	15.94	15.59	15.29	15.36	15.36	15.15(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	10	-10	-154	0.06	52%	0.06	-75.9	1.31%	0	-1.6	31	0
14	Mar_18_2004	15.78	16.01	15.72	15.36	15.35	15.45	15.43(-0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	40	2	-133	0.07	56%	0.13	-78.1	1.3%	0	-1.2	38	0
15	Mar_17_2004	15.76	16.08	15.81	15.37	15.36	15.36	15.51(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-35	-0	-3	-131	0.12	56%	0.06	-81.3	1.32%	0	-1.2	41	0

16	Mar_16_2004	15.75	16.14	15.87	15.44	15.37	15.26	15.29(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-60	-27	-138	0.21	56%	0.13	-78.4	1.31%	0	-1.7	35	0
17	Mar_15_2004	15.73	16.23	15.97	15.63	15.55	15.36	15.06(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-59	-100	-40	-117	0.09	55%	0.13	-72.4	1.31%	0	-2.5	29	0
18	Mar_12_2004	15.71	16.32	16.12	15.93	15.83	15.49	15.5(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-46	-170	-37	-72	0.1	59%	0.13	-66.5	1.26%	0	-2.1	32	0
19	Mar_11_2004	15.69	16.4	16.19	16.14	16.11	15.74	15.48(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-41	-170	-39	-48	0.24	60%	0.13	-45.7	1.26%	0	-2.4	31	0
20	Mar_10_2004	15.67	16.49	16.27	16.3	16.36	16.17	15.85(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-70	-19	-34	0.19	64%	0.13	-25.5	1.25%	0	-1.8	30	0

21	Mar_9_2004	15.65	16.55	16.32	16.35	16.42	16.48	16.24(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	40	-2	-34	0.08	68%	0.19	-16.1	1.21%	0	-0.9	37	0
22	Mar_8_2004	15.62	16.55	16.33	16.36	16.35	16.55	16.6(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	80	12	-46	0.1	73%	0.19	-8	1.18%	0	0.1	39	0
23	Mar_5_2004	15.59	16.58	16.31	16.33	16.28	16.37	16.55(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	30	17	-58	0.08	73%	0.19	-7.5	1.18%	0	-0.1	45	0
24	Mar_4_2004	15.56	16.57	16.3	16.26	16.28	16.15	16.28(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-40	0	-96	0.12	71%	0.19	-14.6	1.16%	0	-0.9	32	0
25	Mar_3_2004	15.53	16.58	16.36	16.24	16.25	16.19	16.1(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-20	-11	-116	0.19	73%		-21.1	1.16%	0	-1.5	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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