Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 20, 2004

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $16.6700 (1.28%) ($16.6400 - $16.8400) on Tue. Jan. 20, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $16.6700(1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(83%)    EEM(80%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.58(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.63(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.35(1.96%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   24.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2004	14.4	16.35		16.58	16.62	16.6	16.67(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-0	5	43	0.16	84%	0.28	65.4	1.18%	0	0.9	60	0
2	Jan_16_2004	14.36	16.31	16.63	16.56	16.57	16.55	16.46(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10	-9	58	0.11	84%	0.28	62.8	1.18%	0	0.4	63	0
3	Jan_15_2004	14.32	16.27	16.62	16.61	16.6	16.63	16.6(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	10	-4	86	0.07	84%	0.28	70.4	1.17%	0	0.8	67	0
4	Jan_14_2004	14.28	16.23	16.58	16.66	16.62	16.6	16.75(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-20	6	115	0.09	84%	0.35	74.7	1.17%	0	1.3	72	0
5	Jan_13_2004	14.23	16.16	16.52	16.61	16.65	16.57	16.42(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-30	-10	117	0.15	83%	0.28	72.8	1.15%	0	0.6	68	0

6	Jan_12_2004	14.19	16.12	16.5	16.68	16.64	16.64	16.59(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	-10	-7	146	0.15	83%	0.28	77.9	1.15%	0	1.1	68	0
7	Jan_9_2004	14.15	16.07	16.43	16.7	16.67	16.73	16.68(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	48	20	11	159	0.24	84%	0.28	79.9	1.14%	0	1.4	66	0
8	Jan_8_2004	14.11	16	16.34	16.63	16.66	16.65	16.84(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	0	18	157	0.25	84%	0.28	77.7	1.14%	0	2	74	0
9	Jan_7_2004	14.07	15.93	16.22	16.5	16.56	16.62	16.5(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	40	10	135	0.41	83%	0.29	77	1.12%	0	1.4	67	0
10	Jan_6_2004	14.03	15.87	16.14	16.41	16.47	16.67	16.8(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	55	100	27	139	0.2	88%	0.29	77	1.09%	0	2.3	79	0

11	Jan_5_2004	13.99	15.79	16.04	16.28	16.31	16.49	16.66(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	56	80	32	128	0.25	88%	0.29	84.7	1.09%	0	2.5	75	0
12	Jan_2_2004	13.95	15.72	15.96	16.12	16.16	16.28	16.33(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	60	23	105	0.19	83%	0.43	96.3	1.1%	0	2	69	0
13	Dec_31_2003	13.89	15.67	15.89	16.01	16.03	16.13	16.19(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	50	17	92	0.1	85%	0.22	107.3	1.14%	0	1.9	72	0
14	Dec_30_2003	13.86	15.62	15.84	15.91	15.92	16.05	16.07(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	60	17	79	0.1	82%	0.29	107.3	1.21%	0	1.6	66	0
15	Dec_29_2003	13.82	15.57	15.78	15.83	15.81	15.92	16.17(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	40	15	67	0.12	82%	0.29	120.2	1.23%	0	2.2	69	0

16	Dec_26_2003	13.78	15.5	15.71	15.76	15.81	15.78	15.85(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	20	2	58	0.04	81%	0.36	120.4	1.21%	0	1.3	67	0
17	Dec_24_2003	13.73	15.44	15.68	15.77	15.72	15.7	15.78(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-20	5	69	0.02	74%	0.22	109.8	1.21%	0	1	61	0
18	Dec_23_2003	13.7	15.38	15.64	15.74	15.73	15.66	15.68(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-30	-3	57	0.13	74%	0.29	97.2	1.3%	0	0.8	61	0
19	Dec_22_2003	13.66	15.32	15.61	15.75	15.71	15.73	15.68(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	0	1	70	0.12	69%	0.22	94.8	1.31%	0	0.9	67	0
20	Dec_19_2003	13.63	15.25	15.58	15.71	15.72	15.79	15.8(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	30	11	73	0.29	69%	0.22	76.9	1.36%	0	1.2	70	0

21	Dec_18_2003	13.6	15.17	15.53	15.65	15.66	15.69	15.93(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	20	10	78	0.08	70%	0.22	64.9	1.36%	0	1.5	78	0
22	Dec_17_2003	13.57	15.09	15.47	15.58	15.6	15.64	15.63(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	20	8	89	0.08	69%	0.22	60.7	1.35%	0	1.1	78	0
23	Dec_16_2003	13.54	15.02	15.44	15.51	15.57	15.63	15.72(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	40	10	104	0.17	70%	0.22	57.5	1.35%	0	1.3	83	0
24	Dec_15_2003	13.51	14.94	15.38	15.45	15.48	15.57	15.45(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	50	4	108	0.2	69%	0.22	57.2	1.35%	0	1	77	0
25	Dec_12_2003	13.48	14.9	15.34	15.44	15.45	15.5	15.53(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	20	10	136	1.16	67%		61	1.35%	0	1.3	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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