Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 1, 2003

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $12.9300 (3.77%) ($12.5000 - $12.9400) on Wed. Oct. 1, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $12.9300(3.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(82%)    EEM(80%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-16%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(16%)    XLU(53%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

Resistance Level   $12.98
5 Day Moving Average   $12.61(2.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.82(0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12.98(-0.39%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_1_2003	12.34		12.82	12.61	12.6	12.62	12.93(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	10	13	-81	0.2	58%	0.16	-9.5	1.35%	0	-0.2	45	NAN
2	Sep_30_2003	12.32	12.98	12.84	12.52	12.57	12.57	12.46(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	10	-14	-113	0.09	55%	0.08	-10.4	1.27%	0	-1.7	39	NAN
3	Sep_29_2003	12.31	12.98	12.91	12.62	12.61	12.58	12.65(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-20	-11	-94	0.03	58%	0.16	1.9	1.27%	0	-1.3	39	NAN
4	Sep_26_2003	12.29	12.98	12.95	12.7	12.69	12.57	12.52(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-70	-29	-98	0.06	58%	0.08	8.1	1.27%	0	-1.7	33	NAN
5	Sep_25_2003	12.28	12.98	13	12.88	12.83	12.65	12.5(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-43	-110	-33	-71	0.04	58%	0.16	22.9	1.27%	0	-1.7	37	NAN

6	Sep_24_2003	12.26	13	13.07	13.06	13.04	12.81	12.47(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-29	-130	-27	-36	0.06	58%	0.08	35.1	1.28%	0	-1.8	36	NAN
7	Sep_23_2003	12.25	13.01	13.13	13.19	13.2	13.01	12.94(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-100	-19	-4	0.04	58%	0.08	44.6	1.19%	0	-0.2	52	NAN
8	Sep_22_2003	12.24	12.99	13.16	13.24	13.27	13.27	13.06(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	10	-4	26	0.06	58%	0.25	43.5	1.26%	0	0.2	59	NAN
9	Sep_19_2003	12.21	12.97	13.19	13.23	13.28	13.39	13.45(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	70	20	62	0.01	60%	0.16	40.9	1.2%	0	1.5	73	NAN
10	Sep_18_2003	12.19	12.93	13.16	13.13	13.19	13.28	13.36(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	60	10	63	0.08	60%	0.25	38.8	1.22%	0	1.4	73	NAN

11	Sep_17_2003	12.16	12.9	13.14	13.1	13.1	13.17	13.14(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	40	8	83	0.02	58%	0.25	40.9	1.2%	0	0.8	71	NAN
12	Sep_16_2003	12.13	12.88	13.12	13.1	13.07	13.1	13.19(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	20	3	96	0.31	61%	0.17	40.9	1.2%	0	1.1	73	NAN
13	Sep_15_2003	12.11	12.86	13.08	13.07	13.04	13.1	12.99(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10	-10	98	0.35	60%	0.25	51.8	1.23%	0	0.5	66	NAN
14	Sep_12_2003	12.08	12.84	13.05	13.14	13.08	13.04	12.99(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-40	-7	112	0.01	60%	0.25	66.1	1.24%	0	0.5	59	NAN
15	Sep_11_2003	12.05	12.82	13	13.18	13.15	13.05	13.18(1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	27	-60	-4	120	0.01	65%	0.17	72	1.22%	0	1.3	64	NAN

16	Sep_10_2003	12.03	12.78	12.93	13.19	13.16	13.11	13.02(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-30	-5	111	0.14	64%	0.25	74.4	1.28%	0	0.9	61	NAN
17	Sep_9_2003	12	12.76	12.88	13.18	13.18	13.25	13.17(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	40	14	111	0.03	64%	0.25	74.4	1.27%	0	1.5	67	NAN
18	Sep_8_2003	11.97	12.71	12.81	13.09	13.12	13.21	13.34(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	50	25	90	0.2	67%	0.08	62.3	1.26%	0	2.3	64	NAN
19	Sep_5_2003	11.96	12.66	12.74	12.94	12.98	13.12	13.21(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	34	80	26	58	0.12	67%	0.25	48.7	1.25%	0	2.2	65	NAN
20	Sep_4_2003	11.93	12.62	12.69	12.79	12.83	13.02	13.21(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	32	110	30	38	0.03	68%	0.25	32.2	1.26%	0	2.7	71	NAN

21	Sep_3_2003	11.9	12.58	12.63	12.64	12.68	12.83	12.95(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	20	90	23	12	0.18	66%	0.25	12.6	1.25%	0	2.2	67	NAN
22	Sep_2_2003	11.87	12.55	12.63	12.54	12.55	12.65	12.76(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	7	60	12	-10	0.25	65%	0.42	-10.8	1.24%	0	1.4	58	NAN
23	Aug_29_2003	11.82	12.55	12.6	12.5	12.46	12.54	12.55(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	40	1	-5	0.04	63%	0.25	-26.8	1.24%	0	0.1	62	NAN
24	Aug_28_2003	11.79	12.54	12.6	12.52	12.45	12.46	12.5(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10	-4	12	0.02	63%	0.26	-26.8	1.24%	0	-0.3	59	NAN
25	Aug_27_2003	11.76	12.55	12.62	12.56	12.5	12.39	12.46(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-80	-10	21	0.01	66%		-13.4	1.24%	0	-0.6	53	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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