Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 7, 2003

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $12.3800 (1.89%) ($12.2400 - $12.4500) on Mon. Jul. 7, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $12.3800(1.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(82%)    EEM(80%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-16%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(16%)    XLU(53%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $12.24(1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.14(1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12.24(1.14%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   29.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2003	11.13	12.24		12.24	12.2	12.25	12.38(1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	20	10	-31	0.21	71%	0.18	49.4	1.54%	0	0.6	42	0
2	Jul_3_2003	11.11	12.22	12.14	12.17	12.15	12.21	12.15(-1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	30	3	-45	0.03	71%	0.18	47.3	1.56%	0	-0.3	47	0
3	Jul_2_2003	11.09	12.21	12.16	12.16	12.13	12.15	12.34(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	0	10	-47	0.41	73%	0.18	53.7	1.54%	0	0.5	48	0
4	Jul_1_2003	11.07	12.18	12.17	12.09	12.08	12.09	12.15(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	0	1	-58	0.16	72%	0.18	53.6	1.56%	0	-0.1	45	0
5	Jun_30_2003	11.05	12.16	12.22	12.07	12.09	12.11	12.2(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	20	6	-41	0.04	72%	0.09	53	1.57%	0	0.1	58	0

6	Jun_27_2003	11.04	12.13	12.26	12.03	12.06	12.11	12(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	10	-9	-34	0.19	71%	0.18	54.4	1.58%	0	-0.4	57	0
7	Jun_26_2003	11.02	12.11	12.29	12.11	12.07	12.07	12.09(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10	-6	-8	0.2	71%	0.18	61.4	1.58%	0	-0.1	57	0
8	Jun_25_2003	11	12.07	12.32	12.16	12.17	12.05	12(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-70	-13	12	0.12	71%	0.09	64.1	1.6%	0	-0.2	55	0
9	Jun_24_2003	10.99	12.04	12.32	12.27	12.26	12.06	12.07(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-120	-21	43	0.03	71%	0.18	71	1.6%	0	0.1	60	0
10	Jun_23_2003	10.97	12	12.36	12.38	12.4	12.3	11.99(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-50	-20	73	0.18	71%	0.18	81.3	1.62%	0	-0	64	0

11	Jun_20_2003	10.95	11.95	12.35	12.51	12.55	12.45	12.4(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.2	30	-50	0	118	0.1	76%	0.27	79.2	1.54%	0	0.9	76	0
12	Jun_19_2003	10.92	11.88	12.31	12.49	12.56	12.5	12.35(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-20	-5	127	0.04	76%	0.18	73.8	1.56%	0	0.9	78	0
13	Jun_18_2003	10.9	11.81	12.27	12.5	12.55	12.64	12.55(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	60	6	157	0.16	78%	0.28	70.6	1.54%	0	1.3	88	0
14	Jun_17_2003	10.87	11.73	12.19	12.46	12.5	12.62	12.62(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	80	21	178	0.97	78%	0.37	66.9	1.55%	0	1.6	92	0
15	Jun_16_2003	10.83	11.64	12.09	12.33	12.38	12.45	12.63(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	50	22	169	0.05	78%	0.28	59.9	1.56%	0	1.8	90	0

16	Jun_13_2003	10.8	11.57	11.99	12.17	12.24	12.38	12.3(-0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	50	100	12	162	0.04	77%	0.28	58.7	1.55%	0	1.5	90	0
17	Jun_12_2003	10.77	11.51	11.91	12.1	12.12	12.31	12.4(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	58	110	20	170	0.1	77%	0.28	58.3	1.55%	0	1.9	92	0
18	Jun_11_2003	10.74	11.44	11.8	12	12.01	12.1	12.35(3.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	56	50	19	165	0.11	77%	0.37	56.6	1.57%	0	2.1	92	0
19	Jun_10_2003	10.7	11.37	11.68	11.89	11.92	12.1	11.96(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	10	9	158	0.08	75%	0.19	53.5	1.54%	0	1.6	89	0
20	Jun_9_2003	10.68	11.33	11.61	11.82	11.86	11.92	11.86(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	81	50	49	176	0.07	75%	0.28	52.8	1.55%	0	1.5	89	0

21	Jun_6_2003	10.65	11.29	11.52	11.77	9.62	11.91	11.91(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	48	1120	15	146	0.15	75%	0.28	54.1	1.56%	0	1.9	68	0
22	Jun_5_2003	10.62	11.24	11.43	11.68	9.54	11.79	11.91(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	164	1100	157	186	0.07	75%	0.19	53.9	1.58%	0	2.2	72	0
23	Jun_4_2003	10.6	11.2	11.33	11.56	9.44	7.32	11.82(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	-2120	16	102	0.1	75%	0.28	56	1.59%	0	2.4	68	0
24	Jun_3_2003	10.57	11.18	11.24	11.44	9.34	7.29	11.61(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-122	-2090	-164	3	0	74%	0.28	69.5	1.6%	0	2	65	0
25	Jun_2_2003	10.54	11.15	11.16	11.36	11.43	11.57	11.61(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	100	22	54	0.43	74%		77.7	1.62%	0	2.3	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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