Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 6, 2023

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $83.1000 (-2.25%) ($83.1000 - $83.1000) on Thu. Jul. 6, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.56% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $83.1000(-2.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY declines -5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(60%)    ARKK(59%)    PEJ(59%)    IBUY(58%)    IWM(56%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -1.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-33%)    UUP(-25%)    VIXM(-23%)    TBT(-21%)    USO(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.28% (StdDev 2.56%)
Hourly BBV -0.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $89.18
5 Day Moving Average   $84.76(-1.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.28(-3.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.18(-6.82%)
To recent high   -19.9%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $73.662b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 4.74% (three month std-dev: 2.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.32%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.28%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.74%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230806

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_6_2023	100.41	89.18	86.28	84.76	84.51	84.06	83.1(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-64	-50	-37	-144	2.32	42%	-0.61	2.7	2.56%	-0.7	-1.4	31	-0.6
2	Jul_5_2023	101.03	89.35	87.41	85.57	85.15	85.2	85.01(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10	-6	-113	2.52	40%	-0.84	9	2.55%	0.2	-1.1	41	0.9
3	Jul_3_2023	101.89	89.4	88.46	86.08	85.68	84.96	85.38(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-70	-8	-97	2.18	40%	-0.48	11.8	2.58%	0	-1	40	1.2
4	Jun_30_2023	102.38	89.28	89.39	85.91	85.68	85.1	84.63(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-80	-33	-95	2.98	40%	-0.54	3.9	2.58%	-1.7	-1.2	48	1
5	Jun_29_2023	102.94	89.17	90.52	86.77	86.23	86.41	85.66(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-0	-39	-68	1.58	40%	-0.59	1.7	2.58%	-2	-0.9	50	1

6	Jun_28_2023	103.55	89.06	91.32	88.06	87.04	87.36	87.15(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10	-3	-29	1.63	40%	-0.58	2.2	2.59%	0.1	-0.4	47	1.2
7	Jun_27_2023	104.15	89	91.73	89.6	88.28	86.06	87.57(3.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-220	-48	-14	1.99	40%	-0.57	7.8	2.6%	-0.1	-0.3	57	1.1
8	Jun_26_2023	104.75	88.94	92.17	91.29	90.1	86.71	84.56(-4.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-97	-300	-127	-5	3.99	38%	-0.62	11.6	2.55%	-1.8	-0.9	54	1
9	Jun_23_2023	105.4	89.13	92.63	93.34	93.09	90.5	88.89(-3.5%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-52	-200	-89	58	4.11	38%	-0.58	16.8	2.52%	-1.5	-0.1	66	1.1
10	Jun_22_2023	106.01	89.1	92.6	94.76	94.58	93.5	92.12(-2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-13	-90	-55	115	2.31	40%	-0.47	20.7	2.48%	-1.4	0.6	73	1.4

11	Jun_21_2023	106.51	88.97	92.43	95.01	95.33	95.69	94.88(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	52	40	12	171	2.33	45%	-0.41	15.1	2.47%	-0.5	1.2	74	1.3
12	Jun_20_2023	106.95	88.63	91.51	94.15	94.96	95.67	96(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	72	80	39	170	2.43	45%	-0.67	4.5	2.53%	0.8	1.6	68	1.2
13	Jun_16_2023	107.67	88.39	90.41	93.24	93.48	94.97	94.83(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	120	36	156	1.95	45%	-0.38	-5.4	2.53%	0.8	1.6	64	1.6
14	Jun_15_2023	108.08	88.33	89.13	91.82	92.63	94.25	95.97(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	96	150	81	140	2.43	45%	-0.64	-15.5	2.53%	0	2	62	1.2
15	Jun_13_2023	108.78	88.11	87.62	90.15	90.79	92	93.37(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	110	43	83	2.34	43%	-0.43	-27.2	2.51%	1.8	1.4	57	1.3

16	Jun_12_2023	109.25	88.26	86.51	89.51	89.33	91.01	90.6(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	130	40	55	2.79	40%	-0.38	-23.6	2.49%	0.5	0.5	49	1.4
17	Jun_9_2023	109.67	88.43	85.93	88.46	89.21	89.57	91.42(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	50	69	41	5.03	38%	-0.35	-24.4	2.49%	1.1	0.7	53	1.7
18	Jun_8_2023	110.06	88.61	85.33	87.16	87.69	87.65	87.72(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	20	-5	-25	2.26	35%	-0.4	-27.2	2.49%	-0.6	-0.2	39	2
19	Jun_7_2023	110.5	88.94	85.26	85.96	87	88.85	87.66(-2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	29	190	52	-39	2.76	35%	-0.41	-37.1	2.5%	-0.3	-0.3	35	2.2
20	Jun_6_2023	110.96	89.17	85.27	84.63	85.54	87.74	90.13(5.6%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	58	210	95	-55	3.75	36%	-0.19	-50.1	2.5%	1.5	0.2	43	2.4

21	Jun_5_2023	111.17	89.28	85.15	83.1	83.22	85.15	85.35(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	170	47	-122	2.06	30%	-0.46	-61.1	2.39%	0.8	-0.8	27	2.3
22	Jun_2_2023	111.68	89.54	85.47	83.08	82.5	83.34	84.94(3.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	50	39	-142	3.08	30%	-0.43	-72.2	2.4%	1.7	-0.9	34	2.2
23	Jun_1_2023	112.16	89.93	86.15	83.31	82.58	81.3	81.74(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-70	-130	-33	-182	2.57	26%	-0.49	-80.2	2.34%	-0	-1.7	25	2
24	May_31_2023	112.71	90.8	87.46	84.48	83.67	81.66	81(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-108	-200	-82	-184	3.99	26%	-0.42	-74.3	2.36%	-1.4	-2.1	28	1.2
25	May_30_2023	113.18	91.72	88.69	85.94	85.34	83.85	82.48(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-93	-140	-71	-158	3.37	26%		-70.6	2.38%	-1.6	-2.1	35	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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