Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 27, 2021

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $243.8900 (-1.56%) ($242.5100 - $243.8900) on Wed. Oct. 27, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.98% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $243.8900(-1.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY advances 7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(72%)    ONLN(71%)    IPO(66%)    IWO(66%)    IWF(63%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -1.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-11%)    VXX(-9%)    TBT(-9%)    UNG(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.49% (StdDev 2.98%)
Hourly BBV -1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $244.33(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $235.28(3.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $222.37(9.68%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   36.8%
Market Cap   $216.189b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 7.15% (three month std-dev: 2.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 3.21%(64%) Average negative next day return: -2.95%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 3.85%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -3.4%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 10.29%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.6%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2021	202.25	222.37	235.28	244.33	246.88	246.65	243.89(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	20	-52	132	1.58	50%	0.37	49.1	2.98%	-1.7	1.4	67	1.1
2	Oct_26_2021	201.5	220.4	232.34	242.17	244.94	251.27	247.75(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	141	220	122	198	1.93	50%	0.4	43.1	3%	0.2	1.8	73	1.2
3	Oct_25_2021	200.69	218.51	228.89	237.95	240.79	247.12	252.79(4.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	224	220	222	229	3.13	50%	0.46	36.9	2.99%	1.8	2.5	79	1.4
4	Oct_22_2021	199.78	216.91	223.81	232.93	234.25	238.61	241.45(2.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	130	150	117	169	1.65	49%	0.39	31.6	2.97%	1.4	2.1	78	1.5
5	Oct_21_2021	199.01	215.8	220.75	228.87	230.81	234.46	235.78(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	136	140	128	161	1.57	49%	0.31	23.7	2.98%	1.1	1.9	70	1.8

6	Oct_20_2021	198.39	214.84	218.68	224.88	226.87	229.88	233.12(2.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	111	120	101	139	1.78	49%	0.36	15.1	2.98%	2.3	2	65	1.7
7	Oct_19_2021	197.68	214.08	216.23	220.96	222.54	227.16	226.62(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	104	170	97	123	1.29	49%	0.15	7.2	2.97%	0.3	1.5	64	1.9
8	Oct_18_2021	197.38	213.53	213.94	218.33	219.26	223.86	227.7(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	144	160	151	124	2.2	49%	0.33	1.1	2.99%	1.3	1.8	58	2.1
9	Oct_15_2021	196.73	213.36	211.01	213.28	215.7	217.92	221.15(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	93	110	105	56	1.38	49%	0.29	-10.9	2.97%	1.3	1	46	2
10	Oct_14_2021	196.17	213.4	209.29	211.43	211.29	214.66	215.83(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	23	110	30	0	1.38	49%	0.26	-13	2.96%	0.6	0.3	45	1.9

11	Oct_13_2021	195.67	213.45	208.43	211.59	210.27	213.48	213.51(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	69	90	87	14	0.93	49%	0.24	-11.1	2.99%	0.9	0	46	1.5
12	Oct_12_2021	195.2	213.48	207.58	210.81	211.06	207.93	213.45(5.42%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	21	-100	36	-24	1.96	49%	0.26	-15.4	3.01%	1.1	-0	45	1.4
13	Oct_11_2021	194.7	213.44	207.36	208.87	209.55	207.06	202.47(-4.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-117	-70	-122	-103	2.19	45%	0.19	-26.2	2.94%	-1.6	-1.4	41	1.3
14	Oct_8_2021	194.34	214.21	209.57	208.11	209.89	214.19	211.87(-2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	48	170	74	-32	1.54	48%	0.21	-28.6	2.89%	-0.3	-0.3	39	1.9
15	Oct_7_2021	193.94	214.46	210.51	206.66	206.8	212.04	216.65(3.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	109	180	149	-12	1.59	48%	0.27	-34.8	2.88%	1.4	0.3	45	1.4

16	Oct_6_2021	193.41	214.35	210.62	204.92	203.78	205.6	209.59(2.85%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	42	50	73	-51	1.54	45%	0.23	-42.4	2.87%	1.5	-0.6	46	0.7
17	Oct_5_2021	192.97	214.72	211.64	204.06	203.82	201.56	203.78(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-80	-17	-88	1.13	45%	0.2	-46.9	2.85%	1.1	-1.4	45	0.5
18	Oct_4_2021	192.58	215.58	213.07	205.8	204.19	201.96	198.68(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-124	-100	-125	-119	1.72	45%	0.19	-36.7	2.85%	-0.8	-2.3	42	-0.2
19	Oct_1_2021	192.21	216.43	215.98	211.23	207.47	206.07	204.58(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-71	-100	-74	-63	1.81	45%	0.26	-19.3	2.83%	-0.8	-1.9	43	-0
20	Sep_30_2021	191.72	217.15	217.98	214.89	212.8	206.41	207.96(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-77	-240	-88	-43	1.99	45%	0.26	9	2.86%	0.1	-1.7	45	-0.8

21	Sep_29_2021	191.22	217.63	219.06	217.15	216.42	208.88	205.3(-3.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-191	-250	-227	-84	1.92	45%	0.19	35.9	2.86%	-1.3	-2.4	45	-1.1
22	Sep_28_2021	190.86	218.32	220.16	220.21	219.92	219.19	212.5(-5.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-87	-30	-109	-22	2.46	53%	0.25	88.5	2.84%	-1	-1.4	48	-1.1
23	Sep_27_2021	190.39	218.29	220.34	221.22	221.95	223.96	225.83(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	74	70	81	53	1.39	58%	0.33	114.8	2.87%	2.2	1.9	55	1.3
24	Sep_24_2021	189.76	217.62	219.41	221.52	219.64	220.66	222.85(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	10	-2	25	1.31	58%	0.39	142.6	2.88%	0	1.3	60	1.8
25	Sep_22_2021	189.02	216.64	218.77	221.74	220.96	219.94	219.26(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	-40	11	31	1.48	61%		126.8	2.85%	-0.1	0.5	52	-0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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